TableChase Clubs

Nido Dallas NTX Morales

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU18/19 · 16 teams · Club America Nido Dallas (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
3rd
5-2-0 record · 7 played
2.43 points per game
+13 goal diff · 21–8
WDWWDlast 5
72% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.8
-0.55 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:30 PM

Open the match preview →

Nido Dallas NTX Morales
3rd · 2.43 PPG
vs

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 13 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.1 for, 2.0 against · 1.45 expected points)

Season so farNido Dallas NTX MoralesFC Dallas Youth NTX Torres
Position3rd4th
Record (W-D-L)5-2-06-2-1
Points per game2.432.22
Goals for / game3.03.0
Goals against / game1.11.2
Clean sheets13
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)D W W D WW L D W W
Biggest win4–0 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba7–1 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz
Worst loss—2–3 vs Dallas Texans Red NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.11+1.30
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.55-0.11

Common opponents: FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba — we 4–0; they 2–1. DKSC WHITE NTX — we 5–1; they 1–0. FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh — we 1–1; they 3–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres score 3.0/game — well above the league's 1.9.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 42%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Nido Dallas NTX Morales – FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.25 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Win
2.50 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
2.25 PPG
3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Loss
2.13 PPG
4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

4% finish 1st
72% top 4
28% below the top 4
3.8 average finish
  1. 1st 4%
  2. 2nd 11%
  3. 3rd 27%
  4. 4th 31%
  5. 5th 18%
  6. 6th 8%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.78 (+0.35) 1st (2.54) 25 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
2 Dallas Texans Red NTX 2.67 (+0.24) 2nd (2.45) 24 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection

How the results connect

37 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link Nido Dallas NTX Morales to FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

11 favour us
11 even
15 favour them
-0.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 1–3 5–1 0–1 4–0 1–2 2–1 0–1 1–3 2–1 5–0 1–7 1–2 3–3 1–3 3–2 0–0 3–3 3–2 4–3 2–1 2–4 Nido Dallas NTX Mor… 3rd FC Dallas Youth NTX… 6th DKSC WHITE NTX 14th FC Dallas Youth NTX… 13th Sting NTX 10th SOLAR BLUE NTX 8th Texas Warriors FC N… 11th Nido Dallas White N… 9th Kernow Storm FC NTX… 15th SOLAR RED NTX 12th Dallas Texans Red N… 2nd FC Dallas Youth NTX… 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 21 Aug 30 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.32 · 1st hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Mon Jan 1
TBD
no score posted
Nido Dallas White NTX
9th · 3-1-4 · GD +3
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.69 2.34 Swing game
Mon Jan 1
TBD
no score posted
Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz
15th · 0-1-6 · GD -26
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
4–0 2.90 2.40 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
01:30 PM
FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres
4th · 6-2-1 · GD +16
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
42%
2–2 1.45 2.30 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:40 AM
SOLAR RED NTX
12th · 2-2-5 · GD -2
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.92 2.27 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
01:30 PM
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
5th · 5-1-2 · GD +9
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.77 2.23 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
08:00 AM
Dallas Texans Red NTX
2nd · 8-0-1 · GD +21
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–2 1.28 2.16 Upside
Sun Apr 18
08:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
7th · 4-1-4 · GD -3
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.06 2.15 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
05:10 PM
Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
1st · 8-1-0 · GD +16
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.29 2.09 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 9810 248+16 252.78 WWWWW +0.11 -0.42 100% 1.6
2 Dallas Texans Red NTX 9801 3110+21 242.67 WLWWW -0.33 +0.16 99% 1.9
3 Nido Dallas NTX Morales 7520 218+13 172.43 WDWWD -0.55 +0.32 72% 3.8
4 FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres 9621 2711+16 202.22 WWDLW -0.11 -0.08 83% 3.5
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 8512 2112+9 162.00 LLWDW -0.09 -0.01 31% 5.1
6 FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh 9531 1611+5 182.00 WWDWD -0.03 -0.03 15% 5.6
7 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 9414 1518-3 131.44 DWLLL +0.08 -0.02 0% 9.2
8 SOLAR BLUE NTX 10424 1918+1 141.40 DWDWW +0.10 -0.39 0% 8.0
9 Nido Dallas White NTX 8314 1512+3 101.25 DLWWL -0.08 -0.01 0% 8.8
10 Sting NTX 9315 1512+3 101.11 DLLWW -0.21 +0.20 0% 10.1
11 Texas Warriors FC NTX 10325 2016+4 111.10 WWDLL +0.12 -0.39 0% 9.4
12 SOLAR RED NTX 9225 1315-2 80.89 DLDLL +0.31 -0.46 0% 11.1
13 FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba 9126 1218-6 50.56 LDLLW -0.07 +0.09 0% 12.9
14 DKSC WHITE NTX 8107 523-18 30.38 LLLLL +0.30 -0.14 0% 14.1
15 Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz 7016 228-26 10.14 LDLLL +0.56 -0.19 0% 15.1
16 Fever United FC NTX 8017 238-36 10.13 LDLLL +0.40 -0.10 0% 15.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.85 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.