TableChase Clubs

Fever United FC NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU18/19 · 16 teams · Fever United (all teams)

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16th
0-1-7 record · 8 played
0.13 points per game
-36 goal diff · 2–38
LDLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 15.6
+0.40 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:30 PM

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Fever United FC NTX
16th · 0.13 PPG
vs
Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
1st · 2.78 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–4 (expected goals 0.5 for, 4.7 against · 0.05 expected points)

Season so farFever United FC NTXAtletico Dallas Youth NTX
Position16th1st
Record (W-D-L)0-1-78-1-0
Points per game0.132.78
Goals for / game0.32.7
Goals against / game4.80.9
Clean sheets14
Held scoreless60
Form (recent first)L L L D LW W W W W
Biggest win—3–0 vs FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
Worst loss0–7 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-3.02+1.32
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.40+0.11

Common opponents: Dallas Texans Red NTX — we 0–6; they 3–1. FC Dallas Youth Red NTX — we 0–7; they 4–2. FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX — we 0–7; they 3–0. FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba — we 0–0; they 2–0. Texas Warriors FC NTX — we 1–5; they 2–1. SOLAR BLUE NTX — we 0–4; they 4–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Atletico Dallas Youth NTX score 2.7/game — well above the league's 1.9.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Atletico Dallas Youth NTX concede only 0.9/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 6 time(s): 0–6 vs Dallas Texans Red NTX, 0–7 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX, 0–7 at FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX, 0–0 at FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba, 0–4 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX, 0–5 vs Sting NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 1%; a draw (3%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Atletico Dallas Youth NTX have won 8 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • What a win does
    Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz sit 15th on 0.14 PPG; we are on 0.13.

    A point moves us above Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Atletico Dallas Youth NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fever United FC NTX – Atletico Dallas Youth NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.11 PPG		 16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds
Win
0.44 PPG		 14th▲ up 2 14th▲ up 2 16th— holds
Draw
0.22 PPG		 15th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 1 16th— holds
Loss
0.11 PPG		 16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–4 loss we stay 16th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
15.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th 1%
  14. 14th 5%
  15. 15th 23%
  16. 16th 71%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 1.47 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.78 (+2.65) 1st (2.54) 41 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Dallas Texans Red NTX 2.67 (+2.54) 2nd (2.45) 40 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Nido Dallas NTX Morales 2.43 (+2.30) 4th (2.09) 36 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres 2.22 (+2.09) 3rd (2.14) 33 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.00 (+1.87) 5th (1.88) 29 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh 2.00 (+1.87) 6th (1.83) 29 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 1.44 (+1.31) 9th (1.38) 21 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
8 SOLAR BLUE NTX 1.40 (+1.27) 7th (1.49) 20 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
9 Nido Dallas White NTX 1.25 (+1.12) 8th (1.39) 18 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
10 Sting NTX 1.11 (+0.98) 11th (1.24) 16 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
11 Texas Warriors FC NTX 1.10 (+0.97) 10th (1.32) 16 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
12 SOLAR RED NTX 0.89 (+0.76) 12th (1.13) 13 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
13 FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba 0.56 (+0.43) 13th (0.77) 8 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
14 DKSC WHITE NTX 0.38 (+0.25) 14th (0.52) A point next game
15 Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz 0.14 (+0.01) 15th (0.32) Already ahead

How the results connect

42 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link Fever United FC NTX to Atletico Dallas Youth NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 even
41 favour them
-6.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–0 0–2 1–5 1–2 0–4 2–4 0–6 1–3 0–7 2–4 0–7 0–3 8–0 0–2 1–1 1–2 2–2 1–4 4–0 0–5 5–0 5–1 Fever United FC NTX 16th FC Dallas Youth NTX… 13th Texas Warriors FC N… 11th SOLAR BLUE NTX 8th Dallas Texans Red N… 2nd FC Dallas Youth Red… 5th FC Dallas Youth Nav… 7th Nido Dallas NTX Mor… 3rd Sting NTX 10th Kernow Storm FC NTX… 15th FC Dallas Youth NTX… 4th Atletico Dallas You… 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 21 Aug 30 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.10 · 10th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:30 PM		 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
1st · 8-1-0 · GD +16		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–4 0.05 0.12 Upside
Thu Nov 5
06:30 PM		 DKSC WHITE NTX
14th · 1-0-7 · GD -18		 Away
Railroad Park 		●●●●● Very tough
15%		 0–2 0.65 0.17 Upside
Sun Nov 8
03:20 PM		 FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh
6th · 5-3-1 · GD +5		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–3 0.11 0.17 Upside
Sun Apr 4
01:30 PM		 FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres
4th · 6-2-1 · GD +16		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–5 0.05 0.16 Upside
Sun Apr 11
05:10 PM		 Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz
15th · 0-1-6 · GD -26		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
25%		 1–1 0.99 0.22 Upside
Sun Apr 18
03:20 PM		 SOLAR RED NTX
12th · 2-2-5 · GD -2		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 0–3 0.18 0.22 Upside
Sun Apr 25
08:00 AM		 Nido Dallas White NTX
9th · 3-1-4 · GD +3		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 0–3 0.18 0.21 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 9810 248+16 252.78 WWWWW +0.11 -0.42 100% 1.6
2 Dallas Texans Red NTX 9801 3110+21 242.67 WLWWW -0.33 +0.16 99% 1.9
3 Nido Dallas NTX Morales 7520 218+13 172.43 WDWWD -0.55 +0.32 71% 3.8
4 FC Dallas Youth NTX Torres 9621 2711+16 202.22 WWDLW -0.11 -0.08 83% 3.5
5 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 8512 2112+9 162.00 LLWDW -0.09 -0.01 32% 5.1
6 FC Dallas Youth NTX Sedeh 9531 1611+5 182.00 WWDWD -0.03 -0.03 15% 5.6
7 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 9414 1518-3 131.44 DWLLL +0.08 -0.02 0% 9.2
8 SOLAR BLUE NTX 10424 1918+1 141.40 DWDWW +0.10 -0.39 0% 8.0
9 Nido Dallas White NTX 8314 1512+3 101.25 DLWWL -0.08 -0.01 1% 8.8
10 Sting NTX 9315 1512+3 101.11 DLLWW -0.21 +0.20 0% 10.1
11 Texas Warriors FC NTX 10325 2016+4 111.10 WWDLL +0.12 -0.39 0% 9.4
12 SOLAR RED NTX 9225 1315-2 80.89 DLDLL +0.31 -0.46 0% 11.1
13 FC Dallas Youth NTX Mbemba 9126 1218-6 50.56 LDLLW -0.07 +0.09 0% 13.0
14 DKSC WHITE NTX 8107 523-18 30.38 LLLLL +0.30 -0.14 0% 14.1
15 Kernow Storm FC NTX Resendiz 7016 228-26 10.14 LDLLL +0.56 -0.19 0% 15.1
16 Fever United FC NTX 8017 238-36 10.13 LDLLL +0.40 -0.10 0% 15.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.85 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.