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Michigan Hawks

ECNL Girls · Midwest GU17 · 16 teams · Michigan Hawks (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 33 minutes ago.
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1st
10-0-0 record · 10 played
3.00 points per game
+44 goal diff · 50–6
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.4
-0.25 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 09:45 AM

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Michigan Hawks
1st · 3.00 PPG
at

SLSG Creve Coeur Facility, Field 2 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.3 for, 1.6 against · 1.15 expected points)

Season so farMichigan HawksSt. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy
Position1st2nd
Record (W-D-L)10-0-010-1-0
Points per game3.002.82
Goals for / game5.03.5
Goals against / game0.60.2
Clean sheets510
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W W W WW D W W W
Biggest win9–0 vs Kansas City Athletics10–0 at Liverpool FC MI
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+3.27+2.46
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.25-0.59

Common opponents: Chicago Inter — we 7–1; they 3–0. FC Wisconsin — we 3–1; they 4–0. Kansas City Athletics — we 9–0; they 2–0. Sporting Blue Valley — we 7–0; they 4–0. Gretna Elite Academy — we 2–1; they 0–0. Sporting Iowa — we 7–0; they 6–0. Eclipse Select Soccer Club — we 5–0; they 3–2. Rockford Raptors FC — we 3–0; they 4–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy score 3.5/game — well above the league's 2.0.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy concede only 0.2/game with 10 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 30%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:45 AM at SLSG Creve Coeur Facility.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:45 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Michigan Hawks – St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.82 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.82 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.73 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

65% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.4 average finish
  1. 1st 65%
  2. 2nd 35%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

79 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Michigan Hawks to St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

49 favour us
8 even
22 favour them
+1.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 0–4 7–0 0–6 2–1 0–0 3–1 0–4 7–0 0–4 7–1 0–3 5–0 2–3 9–0 0–2 1–4 0–2 0–2 Michigan Hawks 1st Rockford Raptors FC 10th Sporting Iowa 8th Gretna Elite Academy 5th FC Wisconsin 12th Sporting Blue Valley 14th Chicago Inter 6th Eclipse Select Socc… 11th Kansas City Athleti… 13th St. Louis Scott Gal… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 29 Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.15 · 8th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 31
09:45 AM
St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy
2nd · 10-1-0 · GD +37
Away far trip
SLSG Creve Coeur Facility
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.15 2.83 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:45 AM
St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green
7th · 5-0-6 · GD -5
Away far trip
SLSG Creve Coeur Facility
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
3–0 2.73 2.82 Bank it
Sat Dec 5
12:00 PM
MN Thunder Academy
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
St. Joe's Sports Dome
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
4–0 2.82 2.82 Bank it
Sat Dec 12
11:00 AM
Liverpool FC MI
16th · 0-0-11 · GD -56
Away far trip
UWM Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
9–0 3.00 2.84 Bank it
Sat Jan 16
10:00 AM
Nationals SC
3rd · 6-1-2 · GD +17
Home
St. Joe's Sports Dome
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
2–1 2.29 2.80 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Michigan Hawks 101000 506+44 303.00 WWWWW -0.25 -0.15 100% 1.4
2 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy 111010 392+37 312.82 WWWDW -0.59 +1.12 100% 1.7
3 Nationals SC 9612 247+17 192.11 WWWLW -0.55 +0.55 78% 3.8
4 Michigan Hawks Magic 11713 4223+19 222.00 WLWWL -0.38 +0.81 36% 4.6
5 Gretna Elite Academy 11632 2711+16 211.91 DLLDW +0.14 -0.38 81% 3.8
6 Chicago Inter 9414 1722-5 131.44 DWLLL +0.44 -0.54 1% 7.7
7 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green 11506 1217-5 151.36 LLWLL -0.32 +1.02 0% 10.0
8 Sporting Iowa 11425 1128-17 141.27 DWLWL +0.32 -0.38 0% 10.7
9 Missouri Rush 12435 2322+1 151.25 WDWLD -0.26 +0.89 0% 9.7
10 Rockford Raptors FC 10325 1722-5 111.10 WDWLL +0.32 -0.37 0% 9.6
11 Eclipse Select Soccer Club 10316 1918+1 101.00 DWLLW +0.48 -0.80 0% 9.2
12 FC Wisconsin 10316 1119-8 101.00 WLWWD +0.18 -0.33 0% 11.3
13 Kansas City Athletics 12327 1231-19 110.92 DLDWW +0.15 -0.27 0% 13.6
14 Sporting Blue Valley 10127 929-20 50.50 LLDWL +0.17 -0.17 0% 14.9
15 MN Thunder Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
16 Liverpool FC MI 110011 561-56 00.00 LLLLL +0.02 +0.79 0% 16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.