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Kansas City Athletics

ECNL Girls · Midwest GU17 · 16 teams · KC Athletics (all teams)

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13th
3-2-7 record · 12 played
0.92 points per game
-19 goal diff · 12–31
DLDWWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.6
+0.15 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 12:00 PM

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Kansas City Athletics
13th · 0.92 PPG
at
FC Wisconsin
12th · 1.00 PPG

Mercy Health Sportscore 2 , Field 1 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.1 for, 1.7 against · 0.94 expected points)

Season so farKansas City AthleticsFC Wisconsin
Position13th12th
Record (W-D-L)3-2-73-1-6
Points per game0.921.00
Goals for / game1.01.1
Goals against / game2.61.9
Clean sheets23
Held scoreless56
Form (recent first)W W D L DD W W L W
Biggest win4–1 vs Liverpool FC MI4–0 vs Liverpool FC MI
Worst loss0–9 at Michigan Hawks0–6 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.18-0.52
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.15+0.18

Common opponents: Eclipse Select Soccer Club — we 1–0; they 0–6. Chicago Inter — we 2–3; they 2–0. St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green — we 1–2; they 4–1. Missouri Rush — we 1–2; they 0–0. Michigan Hawks — we 0–9; they 1–3. Michigan Hawks Magic — we 0–7; they 0–2. Gretna Elite Academy — we 0–3; they 0–2. Sporting Iowa — we 1–1; they 0–1. St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy — we 0–2; they 0–4. Liverpool FC MI — we 4–1; they 4–0.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 5 time(s): 0–9 at Michigan Hawks, 0–7 at Michigan Hawks Magic, 0–3 vs Gretna Elite Academy, 0–2 vs St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy, 0–0 at Sporting Blue Valley.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 23%; a draw (24%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Mercy Health Sportscore 2 .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    FC Wisconsin sit 12th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.92.

    A point moves us above FC Wisconsin on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Wisconsin game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Kansas City Athletics – FC Wisconsin) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.92 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds
Win
1.08 PPG
11th▲ up 2 12th▲ up 1 13th— holds
Draw
0.92 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds
Loss
0.85 PPG
13th— holds 13th— holds 14th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 11th if every rival drops points, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
13.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th 3%
  12. 12th 7%
  13. 13th 16%
  14. 14th 64%
  15. 15th 7%
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 1.33 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Michigan Hawks 3.00 (+2.08) 1st (2.80) 34 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy 2.82 (+1.90) 2nd (2.69) 32 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Nationals SC 2.11 (+1.19) 3rd (2.02) 21 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Michigan Hawks Magic 2.00 (+1.08) 5th (1.85) 19 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Gretna Elite Academy 1.91 (+0.99) 4th (2.00) 18 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Chicago Inter 1.44 (+0.52) 6th (1.42) 11 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green 1.36 (+0.44) 11th (1.22) 10 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection
8 Sporting Iowa 1.27 (+0.35) 12th (1.19) 9 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 7 for their projection
9 Missouri Rush 1.25 (+0.33) 10th (1.22) 8 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection
10 Rockford Raptors FC 1.10 (+0.18) 9th (1.24) 6 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection
11 Eclipse Select Soccer Club 1.00 (+0.08) 8th (1.24) A point next game
12 FC Wisconsin 1.00 (+0.08) 13th (1.11) A point next game

How the results connect

87 chains · 13 teams

Paths of results that link Kansas City Athletics to FC Wisconsin through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

28 favour us
10 even
49 favour them
-0.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–1 0–4 1–1 1–0 0–3 2–0 1–2 0–0 0–2 4–0 2–3 0–2 1–2 1–4 0–7 2–0 0–9 3–1 1–0 6–0 1–4 2–1 3–1 Kansas City Athleti… 13th Liverpool FC MI 16th Sporting Iowa 8th Gretna Elite Academy 5th Missouri Rush 9th St. Louis Scott Gal… 2nd Chicago Inter 6th St. Louis Scott Gal… 7th Michigan Hawks Magic 4th Michigan Hawks 1st Eclipse Select Socc… 11th Nationals SC 3rd FC Wisconsin 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 29 Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.27 · 10th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 31
12:00 PM
FC Wisconsin
12th · 3-1-6 · GD -8
Away far trip
Mercy Health Sportscore 2
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–1 0.94 0.92 Upside
Sun Nov 1
10:00 AM
Rockford Raptors FC
10th · 3-2-5 · GD -5
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.74 0.91 Upside
Sun Nov 8
08:00 AM
MN Thunder Academy
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away far trip
Academy of Holy Angels · turf
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–2 0.61 0.89 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Michigan Hawks 101000 506+44 303.00 WWWWW -0.25 -0.15 100% 1.4
2 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy 111010 392+37 312.82 WWWDW -0.59 +1.12 100% 1.6
3 Nationals SC 9612 247+17 192.11 WWWLW -0.55 +0.55 76% 3.8
4 Michigan Hawks Magic 11713 4223+19 222.00 WLWWL -0.38 +0.81 38% 4.6
5 Gretna Elite Academy 11632 2711+16 211.91 DLLDW +0.14 -0.38 80% 3.9
6 Chicago Inter 9414 1722-5 131.44 DWLLL +0.44 -0.54 1% 7.7
7 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green 11506 1217-5 151.36 LLWLL -0.32 +1.02 0% 10.1
8 Sporting Iowa 11425 1128-17 141.27 DWLWL +0.32 -0.38 0% 10.6
9 Missouri Rush 12435 2322+1 151.25 WDWLD -0.26 +0.89 0% 9.6
10 Rockford Raptors FC 10325 1722-5 111.10 WDWLL +0.32 -0.37 0% 9.7
11 Eclipse Select Soccer Club 10316 1918+1 101.00 DWLLW +0.48 -0.80 0% 9.3
12 FC Wisconsin 10316 1119-8 101.00 WLWWD +0.18 -0.33 0% 11.3
13 Kansas City Athletics 12327 1231-19 110.92 DLDWW +0.15 -0.27 0% 13.6
14 Sporting Blue Valley 10127 929-20 50.50 LLDWL +0.17 -0.17 0% 14.9
15 MN Thunder Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
16 Liverpool FC MI 110011 561-56 00.00 LLLLL +0.02 +0.79 0% 16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.