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Liverpool FC MI

ECNL Girls · Midwest GU17 · 16 teams · Liverpool FC-IA Michigan (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 55 minutes ago.
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16th
0-0-11 record · 11 played
0.00 points per game
-56 goal diff · 5–61
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 16.0
+0.02 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 09:00 AM

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Liverpool FC MI
16th · 0.00 PPG
vs

Avondale High School, Auxiliary ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–4 (expected goals 0.8 for, 4.7 against · 0.11 expected points)

Season so farLiverpool FC MIEclipse Select Soccer Club
Position16th11th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-113-1-6
Points per game0.001.00
Goals for / game0.51.9
Goals against / game5.51.8
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless73
Form (recent first)L L L L LW L L W D
Biggest win—6–0 vs FC Wisconsin
Worst loss0–10 vs St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy0–5 vs Michigan Hawks
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-4.01+0.21
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.02+0.48

Common opponents: St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green — we 0–1; they 0–1. St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy — we 0–10; they 2–3. Michigan Hawks Magic — we 2–8; they 3–1. Rockford Raptors FC — we 0–5; they 1–1. Nationals SC — we 0–10; they 1–2. FC Wisconsin — we 0–4; they 6–0. Sporting Blue Valley — we 0–5; they 4–1. Kansas City Athletics — we 1–4; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 7 time(s): 0–1 vs St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green, 0–10 vs St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy, 0–5 at Rockford Raptors FC, 0–2 at Sporting Iowa, 0–10 at Nationals SC, 0–4 at FC Wisconsin, 0–5 at Sporting Blue Valley.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 2%; a draw (4%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    MN Thunder Academy sit 15th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above MN Thunder Academy on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eclipse Select Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Liverpool FC MI – Eclipse Select Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds
Win
0.25 PPG
15th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 1
Draw
0.08 PPG
15th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–4 loss we stay 16th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
16.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th 100%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 0.80 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Michigan Hawks 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.80) 45 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy 2.82 (+2.82) 2nd (2.69) 43 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Nationals SC 2.11 (+2.11) 3rd (2.02) 32 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Michigan Hawks Magic 2.00 (+2.00) 5th (1.85) 30 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Gretna Elite Academy 1.91 (+1.91) 4th (2.00) 29 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Chicago Inter 1.44 (+1.44) 6th (1.42) 22 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green 1.36 (+1.36) 11th (1.22) 21 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 Sporting Iowa 1.27 (+1.27) 12th (1.19) 20 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
9 Missouri Rush 1.25 (+1.25) 10th (1.22) 19 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
10 Rockford Raptors FC 1.10 (+1.10) 9th (1.24) 17 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
11 Eclipse Select Soccer Club 1.00 (+1.00) 8th (1.24) 15 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
12 FC Wisconsin 1.00 (+1.00) 13th (1.11) 15 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
13 Kansas City Athletics 0.92 (+0.92) 14th (0.89) 14 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
14 Sporting Blue Valley 0.50 (+0.50) 15th (0.57) 8 of 12 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection
15 MN Thunder Academy 0.00 (+0.00) 7th (1.40) Already ahead

How the results connect

80 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link Liverpool FC MI to Eclipse Select Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
3 even
74 favour them
-5.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 1–0 1–4 1–0 0–5 1–1 0–5 1–4 2–8 1–3 0–10 2–1 0–10 3–2 0–4 0–6 4–1 0–2 2–1 2–1 1–3 5–0 Liverpool FC MI 16th St. Louis Scott Gal… 7th Kansas City Athleti… 13th Rockford Raptors FC 10th Sporting Blue Valley 14th Michigan Hawks Magic 4th Nationals SC 3rd St. Louis Scott Gal… 2nd FC Wisconsin 12th Sporting Iowa 8th Michigan Hawks 1st Eclipse Select Socc… 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 29 Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.79 · 5th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
Eclipse Select Soccer Club
11th · 3-1-6 · GD +1
Home
Avondale High School
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.11 0.01 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
Chicago Inter
6th · 4-1-4 · GD -5
Home
Avondale High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–4 0.16 0.02 Upside
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM
MN Thunder Academy
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Avondale High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–4 0.13 0.03 Upside
Sat Dec 12
11:00 AM
Michigan Hawks
1st · 10-0-0 · GD +44
Home
UWM Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–9 0.00 0.03 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Michigan Hawks 101000 506+44 303.00 WWWWW -0.25 -0.15 100% 1.4
2 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy 111010 392+37 312.82 WWWDW -0.59 +1.12 100% 1.6
3 Nationals SC 9612 247+17 192.11 WWWLW -0.55 +0.55 75% 3.8
4 Michigan Hawks Magic 11713 4223+19 222.00 WLWWL -0.38 +0.81 37% 4.6
5 Gretna Elite Academy 11632 2711+16 211.91 DLLDW +0.14 -0.38 82% 3.8
6 Chicago Inter 9414 1722-5 131.44 DWLLL +0.44 -0.54 1% 7.8
7 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green 11506 1217-5 151.36 LLWLL -0.32 +1.02 0% 10.1
8 Sporting Iowa 11425 1128-17 141.27 DWLWL +0.32 -0.38 0% 10.7
9 Missouri Rush 12435 2322+1 151.25 WDWLD -0.26 +0.89 0% 9.6
10 Rockford Raptors FC 10325 1722-5 111.10 WDWLL +0.32 -0.37 0% 9.6
11 Eclipse Select Soccer Club 10316 1918+1 101.00 DWLLW +0.48 -0.80 0% 9.3
12 FC Wisconsin 10316 1119-8 101.00 WLWWD +0.18 -0.33 0% 11.2
13 Kansas City Athletics 12327 1231-19 110.92 DLDWW +0.15 -0.27 0% 13.6
14 Sporting Blue Valley 10127 929-20 50.50 LLDWL +0.17 -0.17 0% 14.9
15 MN Thunder Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
16 Liverpool FC MI 110011 561-56 00.00 LLLLL +0.02 +0.79 0% 16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.