TableChase Clubs

Eclipse Select Soccer Club

ECNL Girls · Midwest GU17 · 16 teams · Eclipse Select Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
11th
3-1-6 record · 10 played
1.00 points per game
+1 goal diff · 19–18
DWLLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.2
+0.48 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:00 PM

Open the match preview →

Eclipse Select Soccer Club
11th · 1.00 PPG
at
Gretna Elite Academy
5th · 1.91 PPG

HyVee Multiplex, White 1 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.2 for, 2.3 against · 0.75 expected points)

Season so farEclipse Select Soccer ClubGretna Elite Academy
Position11th5th
Record (W-D-L)3-1-66-3-2
Points per game1.001.91
Goals for / game1.92.5
Goals against / game1.81.0
Clean sheets16
Held scoreless32
Form (recent first)W L L W DW D L L D
Biggest win6–0 vs FC Wisconsin8–1 at Liverpool FC MI
Worst loss0–5 vs Michigan Hawks1–5 at Michigan Hawks Magic
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.21+1.09
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.48+0.14

Common opponents: Kansas City Athletics — we 0–1; they 3–0. St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy — we 2–3; they 0–0. St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green — we 0–1; they 2–0. Rockford Raptors FC — we 1–1; they 4–1. FC Wisconsin — we 6–0; they 2–0. Nationals SC — we 1–2; they 0–0. Michigan Hawks — we 0–5; they 1–2. Michigan Hawks Magic — we 3–1; they 1–5.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–1 at Kansas City Athletics, 0–1 at St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green, 0–5 vs Michigan Hawks.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 19%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 02:00 PM at HyVee Multiplex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Rockford Raptors FC sit 10th on 1.10 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above Rockford Raptors FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Gretna Elite Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eclipse Select Soccer Club – Gretna Elite Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.91 PPG		 13th▼ down 2 12th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 2
Win
1.18 PPG		 10th▲ up 1 9th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 1
Draw
1.00 PPG		 11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Loss
0.91 PPG		 13th▼ down 2 12th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 10%
  7. 7th 16%
  8. 8th 17%
  9. 9th 15%
  10. 10th 12%
  11. 11th 10%
  12. 12th 10%
  13. 13th 8%
  14. 14th 2%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 1.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Michigan Hawks 3.00 (+2.00) 1st (2.80) 35 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy 2.82 (+1.82) 2nd (2.69) 33 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Nationals SC 2.11 (+1.11) 3rd (2.02) 22 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Michigan Hawks Magic 2.00 (+1.00) 5th (1.85) 20 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Gretna Elite Academy 1.91 (+0.91) 4th (2.00) 19 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Chicago Inter 1.44 (+0.44) 6th (1.42) 12 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
7 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green 1.36 (+0.36) 11th (1.22) 11 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection
8 Sporting Iowa 1.27 (+0.27) 12th (1.19) 10 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection
9 Missouri Rush 1.25 (+0.25) 10th (1.22) 9 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection
10 Rockford Raptors FC 1.10 (+0.10) 9th (1.24) A point next game

How the results connect

79 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Eclipse Select Soccer Club to Gretna Elite Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

26 favour us
9 even
44 favour them
-1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 0–0 2–3 0–0 1–1 1–4 0–1 0–2 0–5 2–1 6–0 0–2 0–1 0–3 3–1 5–1 1–4 5–4 2–1 2–2 3–2 Eclipse Select Socc… 11th Nationals SC 3rd St. Louis Scott Gal… 2nd Rockford Raptors FC 10th St. Louis Scott Gal… 7th Michigan Hawks 1st FC Wisconsin 12th Kansas City Athleti… 13th Michigan Hawks Magic 4th Missouri Rush 9th Gretna Elite Academy 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 29 Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.80 · 16th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
02:00 PM		 Gretna Elite Academy
5th · 6-3-2 · GD +16		 Away far trip
HyVee Multiplex		 ●●●●● Very tough
19%		 1–2 0.75 0.98 Upside
Sun Oct 25
10:00 AM		 Sporting Iowa
8th · 4-2-5 · GD -17		 Away far trip
Hy-Vee Multiplex		 ●●○○○ Lean win
62%		 2–1 2.04 1.07 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM		 Liverpool FC MI
16th · 0-0-11 · GD -56		 Away far trip
Avondale High School		 ●○○○○ Favorable
94%		 4–0 2.85 1.20 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
01:00 PM		 Missouri Rush
9th · 4-3-5 · GD +1		 Away far trip
Missouri Rush Sports Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 1–1 1.36 1.21 Upside
Sat Nov 21
10:00 AM		 MN Thunder Academy
15th · 0-0-0 · GD +0		 Home
Oak Brook Park District · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
49%		 2–1 1.67 1.24 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Michigan Hawks 101000 506+44 303.00 WWWWW -0.25 -0.15 100% 1.3
2 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Navy 111010 392+37 312.82 WWWDW -0.59 +1.12 100% 1.7
3 Nationals SC 9612 247+17 192.11 WWWLW -0.55 +0.55 77% 3.8
4 Michigan Hawks Magic 11713 4223+19 222.00 WLWWL -0.38 +0.81 37% 4.6
5 Gretna Elite Academy 11632 2711+16 211.91 DLLDW +0.14 -0.38 81% 3.8
6 Chicago Inter 9414 1722-5 131.44 DWLLL +0.44 -0.54 1% 7.8
7 St. Louis Scott Gallagher Green 11506 1217-5 151.36 LLWLL -0.32 +1.02 0% 10.0
8 Sporting Iowa 11425 1128-17 141.27 DWLWL +0.32 -0.38 0% 10.7
9 Missouri Rush 12435 2322+1 151.25 WDWLD -0.26 +0.89 0% 9.6
10 Rockford Raptors FC 10325 1722-5 111.10 WDWLL +0.32 -0.37 0% 9.7
11 Eclipse Select Soccer Club 10316 1918+1 101.00 DWLLW +0.48 -0.80 0% 9.2
12 FC Wisconsin 10316 1119-8 101.00 WLWWD +0.18 -0.33 0% 11.2
13 Kansas City Athletics 12327 1231-19 110.92 DLDWW +0.15 -0.27 0% 13.6
14 Sporting Blue Valley 10127 929-20 50.50 LLDWL +0.17 -0.17 0% 14.9
15 MN Thunder Academy 0000 00+0 00.00 — +0.01 ——
16 Liverpool FC MI 110011 561-56 00.00 LLLLL +0.02 +0.79 0% 16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.