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City SC Los Angeles 2

Elite Academy League 2 · South U12 · 14 teams · City SC Los Angeles (all teams)

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12th
1-0-3 record · 4 played
0.75 points per game
-4 goal diff · 10–14
LLWLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.0
+0.13 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 02:30 PM

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City SC Los Angeles 2
12th · 0.75 PPG
at
AC Brea (2)
14th · 0.00 PPG

Brea Sports Park, Brea Sports Park #5 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.0 for, 2.2 against · 1.80 expected points)

Season so farCity SC Los Angeles 2AC Brea (2)
Position12th14th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-30-0-4
Points per game0.750.00
Goals for / game2.51.0
Goals against / game3.54.3
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)L W L LL L L L
Biggest win5–2 vs FC Premier—
Worst loss1–6 vs ALBION SC Riverside 20–8 at Laguna United 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.63-1.68
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.13+0.51

Common opponents: Rangers FC 2 — we 1–2; they 1–3.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    AC Brea (2) average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 3.0); blanked in 1 of 4.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 54% / draw 17% / loss 29%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    AC Brea (2) have lost 4 straight (form: LLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 02:30 PM at Brea Sports Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Fram Soccer Club 2 sit 11th on 0.80 PPG; we are on 0.75.

    A point moves us above Fram Soccer Club 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the AC Brea (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (City SC Los Angeles 2 – AC Brea (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.20 PPG
10th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 2 11th▲ up 1
Win
1.20 PPG
10th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 2 11th▲ up 1
Draw
0.80 PPG
11th▲ up 1 11th▲ up 1 12th— holds
Loss
0.60 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 9th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th 7%
  9. 9th 16%
  10. 10th 32%
  11. 11th 32%
  12. 12th 7%
  13. 13th 1%
  14. 14th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.65 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 EMPIRE SC 3.00 (+2.25) 2nd (2.10) 75 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection
2 Laguna United 2 2.60 (+1.85) 1st (2.64) 65 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 66 for their projection
3 Reds FC 2 2.25 (+1.50) 3rd (2.07) 56 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 1.75 (+1.00) 6th (1.64) 43 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
5 Rayados Academy San Diego 1.75 (+1.00) 9th (1.36) 43 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
6 FC Premier 1.50 (+0.75) 5th (1.70) 36 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
7 Los Angeles SC 2 1.50 (+0.75) 7th (1.49) 36 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
8 ALBION SC Riverside 2 1.40 (+0.65) 4th (1.75) 34 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
9 Rangers FC 2 1.40 (+0.65) 8th (1.48) 34 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
10 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 1.20 (+0.45) 11th (1.06) Win next game
11 Fram Soccer Club 2 0.80 (+0.05) 14th (0.45) A point next game

How the results connect

7 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link City SC Los Angeles 2 to AC Brea (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
2 favour them
+3.1 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 3–1 3–4 1–11 8–0 5–2 3–4 4–2 1–6 3–6 3–3 8–0 2–1 7–0 City SC Los Angeles… 12th Rangers FC 2 9th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 10th FC Premier 6th ALBION SC Riverside… 8th Laguna United 2 2nd EMPIRE SC 1st Fram Soccer Club 2 11th AC Brea (2) 14th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.03 · 5th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
02:30 PM
AC Brea (2)
14th · 0-0-4 · GD -13
Away
Brea Sports Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
3–2 1.80 0.96 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
06:45 PM
Fram Soccer Club 2
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -24
Home
Manhattan Village Field
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
4–1 2.52 1.22 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
10:30 AM
Reds FC 2
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10
Away
Eastwood Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–4 0.46 1.11 Upside
Sun Nov 22
04:00 PM
Los Angeles SC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Home
Marine Ave Park
●●●●○ Tough
38%
3–3 1.31 1.14 Upside
Sat Dec 5
06:45 PM
EMPIRE SC
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +8
Home
Manhattan Village Field
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.80 1.10 Upside
Sun Dec 6
12:15 PM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Away
Hoover High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.82 1.07 Upside
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -11
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–2 1.78 1.13 Swing game
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM
Laguna United 2
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +32
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–5 0.19 1.06 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
3–3 1.43 1.08 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
10:30 AM
Rangers FC 2
9th · 2-1-2 · GD -1
Away
Serrano Elementary
●●●●○ Tough
27%
2–3 0.97 1.08 Upside
Sun Feb 7
09:00 AM
FC Premier
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +5
Away
Dunrobin field (Behind - St John Bosco HS - Dunrobin (behind turf) · turf
●●●●● Very tough
19%
2–4 0.69 1.05 Upside
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.39 1.07 Upside
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
2–4 0.61 1.04 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
14th · 0-0-4 · GD -13
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
3–1 2.11 1.10 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
19%
2–3 0.70 1.08 Upside
Sun Mar 21
10:30 AM
Fram Soccer Club 2
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -24
Away
Ridgecrest Intermediate · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.27 1.14 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
27%
2–3 0.94 1.13 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–3 1.14 1.13 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +8
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
14%
2–4 0.53 1.11 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -11
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
3–1 2.08 1.15 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Laguna United 2
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +32
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–6 0.10 1.11 Upside
Tue May 25
02:25 PM
Rayados Academy San Diego
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +0
Away
LAUDERBACH PARK
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.08 1.10 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 EMPIRE SC 4400 179+8 123.00 WWWW +0.06 -0.13 92% 2.8
2 Laguna United 2 5410 364+32 132.60 DWWWW -1.47 -0.01 100% 1.0
3 Reds FC 2 4301 177+10 92.25 WWWL -0.18 -0.10 91% 2.9
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 4211 1210+2 71.75 DWWL +0.23 -0.08 22% 5.9
5 Rayados Academy San Diego 4211 77+0 71.75 LWWD -0.98 +0.16 3% 8.3
6 FC Premier 4202 1611+5 61.50 LLWW -0.30 -0.03 35% 5.4
7 Los Angeles SC 2 4202 1314-1 61.50 WLLW +0.37 -0.08 8% 7.3
8 ALBION SC Riverside 2 5212 2013+7 71.40 DLLWW -0.15 -0.08 44% 5.0
9 Rangers FC 2 5212 1213-1 71.40 DWLWL +0.42 -0.14 6% 7.3
10 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5203 1424-10 61.20 WLWLL +0.36 +0.04 0% 10.4
11 Fram Soccer Club 2 5113 428-24 40.80 WLLDL +0.25 +0.20 0% 13.6
12 City SC Los Angeles 2 4103 1014-4 30.75 LLWL +0.13 +0.03 0% 10.0
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 112-11 00.00 LLL +1.69 -0.09 0% 12.3
14 AC Brea (2) 4004 417-13 00.00 LLLL +0.51 +0.05 0% 12.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.