TableChase Clubs

AC Brea (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · South U12 · 14 teams · AC Brea (all teams)

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14th
0-0-4 record · 4 played
0.00 points per game
-13 goal diff · 4–17
LLLLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 12.7
+0.51 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 02:30 PM

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AC Brea (2)
14th · 0.00 PPG
vs
City SC Los Angeles 2
12th · 0.75 PPG

Brea Sports Park, Brea Sports Park #5 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.2 for, 3.0 against · 1.03 expected points)

Season so farAC Brea (2)City SC Los Angeles 2
Position14th12th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-41-0-3
Points per game0.000.75
Goals for / game1.02.5
Goals against / game4.33.5
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L L L LL W L L
Biggest win—5–2 vs FC Premier
Worst loss0–8 at Laguna United 21–6 vs ALBION SC Riverside 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.68-0.63
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.51+0.13

Common opponents: Rangers FC 2 — we 1–3; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–8 at Laguna United 2.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 29%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) sit 13th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the City SC Los Angeles 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (AC Brea (2) – City SC Los Angeles 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG		 14th— holds 14th— holds 14th— holds
Win
0.60 PPG		 13th▲ up 1 13th▲ up 1 14th— holds
Draw
0.20 PPG		 13th▲ up 1 13th▲ up 1 14th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG		 14th— holds 14th— holds 14th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 14th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
12.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 6%
  12. 12th 29%
  13. 13th 43%
  14. 14th 21%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.54 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 EMPIRE SC 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (2.10) 78 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection
2 Laguna United 2 2.60 (+2.60) 1st (2.64) 68 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 69 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Reds FC 2 2.25 (+2.25) 3rd (2.07) 59 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 1.75 (+1.75) 6th (1.64) 46 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
5 Rayados Academy San Diego 1.75 (+1.75) 9th (1.36) 46 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
6 FC Premier 1.50 (+1.50) 5th (1.70) 39 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
7 Los Angeles SC 2 1.50 (+1.50) 7th (1.49) 39 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
8 ALBION SC Riverside 2 1.40 (+1.40) 4th (1.75) 37 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
9 Rangers FC 2 1.40 (+1.40) 8th (1.48) 37 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
10 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 1.20 (+1.20) 11th (1.06) 32 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
11 Fram Soccer Club 2 0.80 (+0.80) 14th (0.45) 21 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
12 City SC Los Angeles 2 0.75 (+0.75) 10th (1.10) 20 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 0.00 (+0.00) 12th (0.69) Already ahead

How the results connect

7 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link AC Brea (2) to City SC Los Angeles 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
5 favour them
-3.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 2–1 0–8 11–1 4–3 2–4 4–3 2–5 6–3 6–1 3–3 1–2 0–8 0–7 AC Brea (2) 14th Rangers FC 2 9th Laguna United 2 2nd EMPIRE SC 1st Fram Soccer Club 2 11th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 10th FC Premier 6th ALBION SC Riverside… 8th City SC Los Angeles… 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.05 · 3rd hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
02:30 PM		 City SC Los Angeles 2
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -4		 Home
Brea Sports Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
29%		 2–3 1.03 0.21 Upside
Sun Nov 8
12:00 AM		 Reds FC 2
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 1–4 0.22 0.21 Upside
Sun Nov 15
02:25 PM		 Rayados Academy San Diego
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +0		 Away
LAUDERBACH PARK		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 1–2 0.67 0.28 Upside
Sun Nov 22
01:30 PM		 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -10		 Home
Brea Sports Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
34%		 2–3 1.19 0.39 Upside
Sun Dec 6
09:00 AM		 Los Angeles SC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD -1		 Away
Charter Oak High School · grass		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 2–4 0.50 0.40 Upside
Sun Dec 13
04:00 PM		 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -11		 Home
Brea Sports Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 2–2 1.55 0.52 Swing game
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM		 FC Premier
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +5		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
14%		 1–3 0.55 0.52 Upside
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM		 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.45 0.52 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM		 Fram Soccer Club 2
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -24		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
63%		 3–1 2.04 0.63 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM		 EMPIRE SC
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +8		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 1–4 0.26 0.61 Upside
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM		 Laguna United 2
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +32		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–6 0.08 0.57 Upside
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Riverside 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +7		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–4 0.49 0.57 Upside
Sun Feb 21
10:30 AM		 Rangers FC 2
9th · 2-1-2 · GD -1		 Away
Serrano Elementary		 ●●●●● Very tough
14%		 1–3 0.56 0.57 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 City SC Los Angeles 2
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -4		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
20%		 1–3 0.74 0.58 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Reds FC 2
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–4 0.37 0.56 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM		 Rayados Academy San Diego
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +0		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
24%		 1–2 0.92 0.58 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -10		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
24%		 2–3 0.86 0.60 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 Los Angeles SC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD -1		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 2–3 0.77 0.60 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -11		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 2–2 1.24 0.63 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 FC Premier
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +5		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–4 0.35 0.62 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 1–3 0.68 0.62 Upside
Tue May 25
09:30 AM		 ALBION SC Riverside 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +7		 Away
SilverLakes		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–4 0.30 0.61 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 EMPIRE SC 4400 179+8 123.00 WWWW +0.06 -0.13 92% 2.8
2 Laguna United 2 5410 364+32 132.60 DWWWW -1.47 -0.01 100% 1.0
3 Reds FC 2 4301 177+10 92.25 WWWL -0.18 -0.10 90% 3.0
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 4211 1210+2 71.75 DWWL +0.23 -0.08 21% 6.0
5 Rayados Academy San Diego 4211 77+0 71.75 LWWD -0.98 +0.16 2% 8.3
6 FC Premier 4202 1611+5 61.50 LLWW -0.30 -0.03 35% 5.4
7 Los Angeles SC 2 4202 1314-1 61.50 WLLW +0.37 -0.08 8% 7.2
8 ALBION SC Riverside 2 5212 2013+7 71.40 DLLWW -0.15 -0.08 43% 5.0
9 Rangers FC 2 5212 1213-1 71.40 DWLWL +0.42 -0.14 8% 7.3
10 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5203 1424-10 61.20 WLWLL +0.36 +0.04 0% 10.4
11 Fram Soccer Club 2 5113 428-24 40.80 WLLDL +0.25 +0.20 0% 13.6
12 City SC Los Angeles 2 4103 1014-4 30.75 LLWL +0.13 +0.03 0% 10.0
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 112-11 00.00 LLL +1.69 -0.09 0% 12.3
14 AC Brea (2) 4004 417-13 00.00 LLLL +0.51 +0.05 0% 12.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.