TableChase Clubs

Laguna United 2

Elite Academy League 2 · South U12 · 14 teams · Laguna United (all teams)

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2nd
4-1-0 record · 5 played
2.60 points per game
+32 goal diff · 36–4
DWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.0
-1.47 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM

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Laguna United 2
2nd · 2.60 PPG
vs
Reds FC 2
3rd · 2.25 PPG

Marina Hills Soccer Fields, Marina Hills Lower ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 4–2 (expected goals 4.5 for, 2.0 against · 2.42 expected points)

Season so farLaguna United 2Reds FC 2
Position2nd3rd
Record (W-D-L)4-1-03-0-1
Points per game2.602.25
Goals for / game7.24.3
Goals against / game0.81.8
Clean sheets31
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W W W DL W W W
Biggest win10–0 at Fram Soccer Club 26–0 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
Worst loss—2–4 at FC Premier
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+3.59+1.37
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-1.47-0.18

Common opponents: Rangers FC 2 — we 3–3; they 4–1. FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) — we 4–0; they 6–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Reds FC 2 score 4.2/game — well above the league's 3.0.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 77% chance; likely score 4–2.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Reds FC 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Laguna United 2 – Reds FC 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.67 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Win
2.67 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.33 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Loss
2.17 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–2 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

97% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.0 average finish
  1. 1st 97%
  2. 2nd 3%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.92 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 EMPIRE SC 3.00 (+0.40) 2nd (2.10) 65 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection

How the results connect

5 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Laguna United 2 to Reds FC 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
3 favour them
-0.2 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–0 0–6 3–3 1–4 8–0 1–3 3–4 2–5 10–0 0–7 4–2 Laguna United 2 2nd FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 13th Rangers FC 2 9th AC Brea (2) 14th Fram Soccer Club 2 11th Los Angeles SC 2 7th FC Premier 6th Reds FC 2 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 6th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
Reds FC 2
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10
Home
Marina Hills Soccer Fields
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
4–2 2.42 2.57 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
10:15 AM
FC Premier
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +5
Home
Rancho Niguel (Berguson Elementary)
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
5–1 2.67 2.58 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
11:15 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Home
La Paz Sports Park
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
5–1 2.69 2.60 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
08:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +8
Away
Eastvale Community Park
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
4–2 2.27 2.56 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
10:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +7
Home
La Paz Sports Park
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
5–2 2.62 2.57 Bank it
Sun Dec 6
02:25 PM
Rayados Academy San Diego
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +0
Away
LAUDERBACH PARK
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
4–1 2.57 2.57 Bank it
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
5–1 2.75 2.58 Bank it
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
9th · 2-1-2 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
5–1 2.74 2.60 Bank it
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club 2
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -24
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
8–0 2.98 2.62 Bank it
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
14th · 0-0-4 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
95%
6–1 2.89 2.64 Bank it
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
5–2 2.66 2.64 Bank it
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -10
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
7–1 2.92 2.66 Bank it
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -11
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
6–0 2.94 2.67 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
3–2 2.14 2.65 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM
FC Premier
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +5
Away
St John Bosco High School · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
4–2 2.45 2.64 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
4–1 2.50 2.63 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
4–2 2.53 2.62 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
4–2 2.38 2.61 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
4–1 2.73 2.62 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
6–1 2.87 2.63 Bank it
Tue May 25
11:15 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Home
La Paz Sports Park
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
6–1 2.81 2.64 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 EMPIRE SC 4400 179+8 123.00 WWWW +0.06 -0.13 93% 2.8
2 Laguna United 2 5410 364+32 132.60 DWWWW -1.47 -0.01 100% 1.0
3 Reds FC 2 4301 177+10 92.25 WWWL -0.18 -0.10 92% 2.9
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 4211 1210+2 71.75 DWWL +0.23 -0.08 22% 6.0
5 Rayados Academy San Diego 4211 77+0 71.75 LWWD -0.98 +0.16 3% 8.2
6 FC Premier 4202 1611+5 61.50 LLWW -0.30 -0.03 34% 5.4
7 Los Angeles SC 2 4202 1314-1 61.50 WLLW +0.37 -0.08 7% 7.2
8 ALBION SC Riverside 2 5212 2013+7 71.40 DLLWW -0.15 -0.08 44% 5.0
9 Rangers FC 2 5212 1213-1 71.40 DWLWL +0.42 -0.14 6% 7.3
10 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5203 1424-10 61.20 WLWLL +0.36 +0.04 0% 10.4
11 Fram Soccer Club 2 5113 428-24 40.80 WLLDL +0.25 +0.20 0% 13.6
12 City SC Los Angeles 2 4103 1014-4 30.75 LLWL +0.13 +0.03 0% 10.1
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 112-11 00.00 LLL +1.69 -0.09 0% 12.3
14 AC Brea (2) 4004 417-13 00.00 LLLL +0.51 +0.05 0% 12.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.