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FC Premier

Elite Academy League 2 · South U12 · 14 teams · FC Premier (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 18 hours ago.
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6th
2-0-2 record · 4 played
1.50 points per game
+5 goal diff · 16–11
LLWWlast 4
35% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.4
-0.30 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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FC Premier
6th · 1.50 PPG
vs
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 1.75 PPG

Marina High school, 9v9 field #1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.3 for, 2.7 against · 1.73 expected points)

Season so farFC PremierTotal Futbol Academy - OC 2
Position6th4th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-22-1-1
Points per game1.501.75
Goals for / game4.03.0
Goals against / game2.82.5
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W L LL W W D
Biggest win7–0 vs Fram Soccer Club 23–0 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
Worst loss2–5 at City SC Los Angeles 21–3 vs EMPIRE SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.66+0.32
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.30+0.23

Common opponents: EMPIRE SC — we 3–4; they 1–3.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 52% / draw 16% / loss 31%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Rayados Academy San Diego sit 5th on 1.75 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above Rayados Academy San Diego on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Premier – Total Futbol Academy - OC 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.80 PPG		 4th▲ up 2 4th▲ up 2 4th▲ up 2
Win
1.80 PPG		 4th▲ up 2 4th▲ up 2 4th▲ up 2
Draw
1.40 PPG		 8th▼ down 2 9th▼ down 3 10th▼ down 4
Loss
1.20 PPG		 9th▼ down 3 9th▼ down 3 10th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
35% top 4
65% below the top 4
5.4 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 2%
  3. 3rd 10%
  4. 4th 22%
  5. 5th 22%
  6. 6th 19%
  7. 7th 11%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 4%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.77 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 EMPIRE SC 3.00 (+1.50) 2nd (2.10) 72 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
2 Laguna United 2 2.60 (+1.10) 1st (2.64) 62 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 63 for their projection
3 Reds FC 2 2.25 (+0.75) 3rd (2.07) 53 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 1.75 (+0.25) 6th (1.64) A point next game
5 Rayados Academy San Diego 1.75 (+0.25) 9th (1.36) A point next game

How the results connect

6 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link FC Premier to Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
3 favour them
-2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–4 3–1 6–3 2–2 4–2 5–2 5–6 7–0 0–8 0–3 2–5 3–4 1–6 FC Premier 6th EMPIRE SC 1st Reds FC 2 3rd Fram Soccer Club 2 11th City SC Los Angeles… 12th ALBION SC Riverside… 8th Los Angeles SC 2 7th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 10th Total Futbol Academ… 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.03 · 7th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM		 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2		 Home
Marina High school		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 3–2 1.73 1.55 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
10:15 AM		 Laguna United 2
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +32		 Away
Rancho Niguel (Berguson Elementary)		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–5 0.26 1.33 Upside
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM		 Los Angeles SC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD -1		 Home
Marina High school		 ●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 4–2 1.95 1.42 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
12:00 AM		 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -11		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
72%		 3–1 2.29 1.53 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
10:30 AM		 Rangers FC 2
9th · 2-1-2 · GD -1		 Away
Serrano Elementary		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 2–2 1.53 1.53 Swing game
Sun Dec 6
09:00 AM		 ALBION SC Riverside 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +7		 Home
Dunrobin field (Behind - St John Bosco HS - Dunrobin (behind turf) · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 3–3 1.51 1.53 Swing game
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM		 AC Brea (2)
14th · 0-0-4 · GD -13		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
73%		 3–1 2.33 1.60 Bank it
Sun Jan 17
09:00 AM		 Rayados Academy San Diego
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +0		 Home
Dunrobin field (Behind - St John Bosco HS - Dunrobin (behind turf) · turf		 ●●○○○ Lean win
59%		 3–1 1.93 1.63 Swing game
Sun Jan 24
09:00 AM		 EMPIRE SC
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +8		 Home
Dunrobin field (Behind - St John Bosco HS - Dunrobin (behind turf) · turf		 ●●●●○ Tough
40%		 3–3 1.37 1.61 Upside
Sun Feb 7
09:00 AM		 City SC Los Angeles 2
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -4		 Home
Dunrobin field (Behind - St John Bosco HS - Dunrobin (behind turf) · turf		 ●●○○○ Lean win
69%		 4–2 2.19 1.65 Swing game
Sun Feb 14
09:00 AM		 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -10		 Home
Dunrobin field (Behind - St John Bosco HS - Dunrobin (behind turf) · turf		 ●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 5–2 2.39 1.70 Bank it
Sun Feb 21
10:30 AM		 Fram Soccer Club 2
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -24		 Away
Ridgecrest Intermediate · turf		 ●○○○○ Favorable
87%		 5–1 2.67 1.76 Bank it
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM		 Reds FC 2
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
25%		 2–3 0.89 1.71 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
40%		 2–3 1.37 1.69 Upside
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM		 Laguna United 2
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +32		 Home
St John Bosco High School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 2–4 0.45 1.62 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM		 Los Angeles SC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD -1		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 3–3 1.57 1.62 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
09:00 AM		 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -11		 Home
St John Bosco High School · turf		 ●○○○○ Favorable
81%		 4–1 2.53 1.66 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
09:00 AM		 Rangers FC 2
9th · 2-1-2 · GD -1		 Home
St John Bosco High School · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
57%		 3–2 1.88 1.67 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Riverside 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +7		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
33%		 3–3 1.13 1.65 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 AC Brea (2)
14th · 0-0-4 · GD -13		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
82%		 4–1 2.56 1.69 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 Rayados Academy San Diego
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +0		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
48%		 2–2 1.61 1.69 Swing game
Sun May 23
05:30 PM		 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -10		 Away
Pacific Community Center		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 4–2 2.07 1.70 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 EMPIRE SC 4400 179+8 123.00 WWWW +0.06 -0.13 91% 2.8
2 Laguna United 2 5410 364+32 132.60 DWWWW -1.47 -0.01 100% 1.0
3 Reds FC 2 4301 177+10 92.25 WWWL -0.18 -0.10 91% 2.9
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 4211 1210+2 71.75 DWWL +0.23 -0.08 22% 6.0
5 Rayados Academy San Diego 4211 77+0 71.75 LWWD -0.98 +0.16 2% 8.3
6 FC Premier 4202 1611+5 61.50 LLWW -0.30 -0.03 35% 5.4
7 Los Angeles SC 2 4202 1314-1 61.50 WLLW +0.37 -0.08 8% 7.2
8 ALBION SC Riverside 2 5212 2013+7 71.40 DLLWW -0.15 -0.08 42% 5.0
9 Rangers FC 2 5212 1213-1 71.40 DWLWL +0.42 -0.14 8% 7.3
10 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5203 1424-10 61.20 WLWLL +0.36 +0.04 0% 10.4
11 Fram Soccer Club 2 5113 428-24 40.80 WLLDL +0.25 +0.20 0% 13.6
12 City SC Los Angeles 2 4103 1014-4 30.75 LLWL +0.13 +0.03 0% 10.0
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 112-11 00.00 LLL +1.69 -0.09 0% 12.3
14 AC Brea (2) 4004 417-13 00.00 LLLL +0.51 +0.05 0% 12.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.