Rayados Academy San Diego
Elite Academy League 2 · South U12 · 14 teams · Rayados Academy San Diego (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 15, 02:25 PM
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.9 for, 1.4 against · 2.17 expected points)
| Season so far | Rayados Academy San Diego | AC Brea (2) |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 14th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-1 | 0-0-4 |
| Points per game | 1.75 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 4.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | D W W L | L L L L |
| Biggest win | 3–2 vs ALBION SC Riverside 2 | — |
| Worst loss | 0–2 vs Los Angeles SC 2 | 0–8 at Laguna United 2 |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.17 | -1.68 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.98 | +0.51 |
Common opponents: Fram Soccer Club 2 — we 2–2; they 1–2.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
AC Brea (2) average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 3.0); blanked in 1 of 4.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs Los Angeles SC 2.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 67% / draw 16% / loss 17%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Confidence is low on their side
AC Brea (2) have lost 4 straight (form: LLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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What a win does
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 sit 4th on 1.75 PPG; we are on 1.75.A point moves us above Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the AC Brea (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rayados Academy San Diego – AC Brea (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.00 PPG |
4th▲ up 1 | 4th▲ up 1 | 5th— holds |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
4th▲ up 1 | 4th▲ up 1 | 5th— holds |
| Draw 1.60 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 8th▼ down 3 |
| Loss 1.40 PPG |
9th▼ down 4 | 7th▼ down 2 | 10th▼ down 5 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 2%
- 5th 5%
- 6th 8%
- 7th 15%
- 8th 20%
- 9th 27%
- 10th 15%
- 11th 7%
- 12th 1%
- 13th <1%
- 14th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EMPIRE SC | 3.00 (+1.25) | 2nd (2.10) | 71 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection |
| 2 | Laguna United 2 | 2.60 (+0.85) | 1st (2.64) | 61 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 62 for their projection |
| 3 | Reds FC 2 | 2.25 (+0.50) | 3rd (2.07) | 52 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection |
| 4 | Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 1.75 (+0.00) | 6th (1.64) | A point next game |
How the results connect
5 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Rayados Academy San Diego to AC Brea (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
6 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.16 · 2nd hardest of 14
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 17 01:30 PM no score posted |
Reds FC 2 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Away Brywood Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–3 | 0.66 | 1.53 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 02:25 PM |
AC Brea (2) 14th · 0-0-4 · GD -13 |
Home LAUDERBACH PARK |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
2–1 | 2.17 | 1.64 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 21 02:25 PM |
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 10th · 2-0-3 · GD -10 |
Home LAUDERBACH PARK |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
3–2 | 1.94 | 1.68 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 01:00 PM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2 |
Away Hoover High School · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.03 | 1.60 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 6 02:25 PM |
Laguna United 2 2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +32 |
Home LAUDERBACH PARK |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–4 | 0.33 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 02:25 PM |
Rangers FC 2 9th · 2-1-2 · GD -1 |
Home LAUDERBACH PARK |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
2–2 | 1.46 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 10 12:00 AM |
EMPIRE SC 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +8 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
2–2 | 1.01 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 17 09:00 AM |
FC Premier 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +5 |
Away Dunrobin field (Behind - St John Bosco HS - Dunrobin (behind turf) · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
1–3 | 0.90 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 24 12:00 AM |
Los Angeles SC 2 7th · 2-0-2 · GD -1 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–2 | 1.16 | 1.36 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 31 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Riverside 2 8th · 2-1-2 · GD +7 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–3 | 0.82 | 1.32 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 7 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -11 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–1 | 2.14 | 1.37 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 14 12:00 AM |
City SC Los Angeles 2 12th · 1-0-3 · GD -4 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.42 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 21 12:00 AM |
Reds FC 2 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.92 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 12:00 AM |
Fram Soccer Club 2 11th · 1-1-3 · GD -24 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
3–1 | 2.53 | 1.42 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
AC Brea (2) 14th · 0-0-4 · GD -13 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.90 | 1.44 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 10th · 2-0-3 · GD -10 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–2 | 1.61 | 1.45 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
2–2 | 1.33 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Laguna United 2 2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +32 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
1–4 | 0.20 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
Rangers FC 2 9th · 2-1-2 · GD -1 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–2 | 1.16 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
EMPIRE SC 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +8 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–3 | 0.73 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
FC Premier 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +5 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–2 | 1.21 | 1.34 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 02:25 PM |
City SC Los Angeles 2 12th · 1-0-3 · GD -4 |
Home LAUDERBACH PARK |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–1 | 1.74 | 1.36 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | EMPIRE SC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | +0.06 | -0.13 | 92% | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 at Los Angeles SC 2 · Sat Nov 14 vs Rangers FC 2 See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Laguna United 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 4 | +32 | 13 | 2.60 | DWWWW | -1.47 | -0.01 | 100% | 1.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Premier · Sun Nov 15 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Reds FC 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | -0.18 | -0.10 | 90% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Rayados Academy San Diego · Sun Oct 25 at Laguna United 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs AC Brea (2) See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 7 | 1.75 | DWWL | +0.23 | -0.08 | 21% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Premier · Sun Nov 8 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 15 at Laguna United 2 See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 7 | 1.75 | LWWD | -0.98 | +0.16 | 2% | 8.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 15 vs AC Brea (2) · Sat Nov 21 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FC Premier | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 6 | 1.50 | LLWW | -0.30 | -0.03 | 35% | 5.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Laguna United 2 · Sun Nov 15 vs Los Angeles SC 2 See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Los Angeles SC 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 6 | 1.50 | WLLW | +0.37 | -0.08 | 8% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 8 vs EMPIRE SC · Sun Nov 15 at FC Premier See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | ALBION SC Riverside 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 7 | 1.40 | DLLWW | -0.15 | -0.08 | 43% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs Fram Soccer Club 2 · Sat Nov 21 at Los Angeles SC 2 · Sun Nov 22 at Laguna United 2 See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Rangers FC 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 7 | 1.40 | DWLWL | +0.42 | -0.14 | 8% | 7.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Fram Soccer Club 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sat Nov 14 at EMPIRE SC See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 6 | 1.20 | WLWLL | +0.36 | +0.04 | 0% | 10.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at EMPIRE SC · Sun Nov 8 vs Rangers FC 2 · Sun Nov 15 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Fram Soccer Club 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 28 | -24 | 4 | 0.80 | WLLDL | +0.25 | +0.20 | 0% | 13.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Rangers FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 8 at ALBION SC Riverside 2 See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | City SC Los Angeles 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 3 | 0.75 | LLWL | +0.13 | +0.03 | 0% | 10.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at AC Brea (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs Fram Soccer Club 2 · Sun Nov 15 at Reds FC 2 See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.69 | -0.09 | 0% | 12.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Los Angeles SC 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 15 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | AC Brea (2) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.51 | +0.05 | 0% | 12.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 15 at Rayados Academy San Diego See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.