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Rayados Academy San Diego

Elite Academy League 2 · South U12 · 14 teams · Rayados Academy San Diego (all teams)

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5th
2-1-1 record · 4 played
1.75 points per game
+0 goal diff · 7–7
LWWDlast 4
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.3
-0.98 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 15, 02:25 PM

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Rayados Academy San Diego
5th · 1.75 PPG
vs
AC Brea (2)
14th · 0.00 PPG

LAUDERBACH PARK, FIELD 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.9 for, 1.4 against · 2.17 expected points)

Season so farRayados Academy San DiegoAC Brea (2)
Position5th14th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-10-0-4
Points per game1.750.00
Goals for / game1.81.0
Goals against / game1.84.3
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)D W W LL L L L
Biggest win3–2 vs ALBION SC Riverside 2—
Worst loss0–2 vs Los Angeles SC 20–8 at Laguna United 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.17-1.68
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.98+0.51

Common opponents: Fram Soccer Club 2 — we 2–2; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    AC Brea (2) average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 3.0); blanked in 1 of 4.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs Los Angeles SC 2.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 67% / draw 16% / loss 17%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    AC Brea (2) have lost 4 straight (form: LLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • What a win does
    Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 sit 4th on 1.75 PPG; we are on 1.75.

    A point moves us above Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the AC Brea (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rayados Academy San Diego – AC Brea (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Nov 9 – Sun Nov 15); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.00 PPG
4th▲ up 1 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds
Win
2.00 PPG
4th▲ up 1 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds
Draw
1.60 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 8th▼ down 3
Loss
1.40 PPG
9th▼ down 4 7th▼ down 2 10th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
8.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 5%
  6. 6th 8%
  7. 7th 15%
  8. 8th 20%
  9. 9th 27%
  10. 10th 15%
  11. 11th 7%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 EMPIRE SC 3.00 (+1.25) 2nd (2.10) 71 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
2 Laguna United 2 2.60 (+0.85) 1st (2.64) 61 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 62 for their projection
3 Reds FC 2 2.25 (+0.50) 3rd (2.07) 52 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 1.75 (+0.00) 6th (1.64) A point next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Rayados Academy San Diego to AC Brea (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
+1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 2–1 3–2 3–6 4–2 0–2 4–3 3–1 0–10 8–0 2–1 0–4 Rayados Academy San… 5th Fram Soccer Club 2 11th ALBION SC Riverside… 8th Los Angeles SC 2 7th FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 13th EMPIRE SC 1st Rangers FC 2 9th Laguna United 2 2nd AC Brea (2) 14th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.16 · 2nd hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 17
01:30 PM
no score posted
Reds FC 2
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10
Away
Brywood Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.66 1.53 Upside
Sun Nov 15
02:25 PM
AC Brea (2)
14th · 0-0-4 · GD -13
Home
LAUDERBACH PARK
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.17 1.64 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
02:25 PM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -10
Home
LAUDERBACH PARK
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
3–2 1.94 1.68 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
01:00 PM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Away
Hoover High School · turf
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.03 1.60 Upside
Sun Dec 6
02:25 PM
Laguna United 2
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +32
Home
LAUDERBACH PARK
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–4 0.33 1.46 Upside
Sun Dec 13
02:25 PM
Rangers FC 2
9th · 2-1-2 · GD -1
Home
LAUDERBACH PARK
●●●●○ Tough
42%
2–2 1.46 1.46 Upside
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
2–2 1.01 1.42 Upside
Sun Jan 17
09:00 AM
FC Premier
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +5
Away
Dunrobin field (Behind - St John Bosco HS - Dunrobin (behind turf) · turf
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–3 0.90 1.38 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD -1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.16 1.36 Upside
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–3 0.82 1.32 Upside
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -11
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.14 1.37 Swing game
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
41%
2–2 1.42 1.38 Upside
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.92 1.35 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club 2
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -24
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.53 1.42 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
14th · 0-0-4 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.90 1.44 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–2 1.61 1.45 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
38%
2–2 1.33 1.44 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Laguna United 2
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +32
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.20 1.39 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
9th · 2-1-2 · GD -1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.16 1.38 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +8
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–3 0.73 1.35 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
FC Premier
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
2–2 1.21 1.34 Upside
Tue May 25
02:25 PM
City SC Los Angeles 2
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -4
Home
LAUDERBACH PARK
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.74 1.36 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 EMPIRE SC 4400 179+8 123.00 WWWW +0.06 -0.13 92% 2.8
2 Laguna United 2 5410 364+32 132.60 DWWWW -1.47 -0.01 100% 1.0
3 Reds FC 2 4301 177+10 92.25 WWWL -0.18 -0.10 90% 3.0
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 4211 1210+2 71.75 DWWL +0.23 -0.08 21% 6.0
5 Rayados Academy San Diego 4211 77+0 71.75 LWWD -0.98 +0.16 2% 8.3
6 FC Premier 4202 1611+5 61.50 LLWW -0.30 -0.03 35% 5.4
7 Los Angeles SC 2 4202 1314-1 61.50 WLLW +0.37 -0.08 8% 7.2
8 ALBION SC Riverside 2 5212 2013+7 71.40 DLLWW -0.15 -0.08 43% 5.0
9 Rangers FC 2 5212 1213-1 71.40 DWLWL +0.42 -0.14 8% 7.3
10 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5203 1424-10 61.20 WLWLL +0.36 +0.04 0% 10.4
11 Fram Soccer Club 2 5113 428-24 40.80 WLLDL +0.25 +0.20 0% 13.6
12 City SC Los Angeles 2 4103 1014-4 30.75 LLWL +0.13 +0.03 0% 10.0
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 112-11 00.00 LLL +1.69 -0.09 0% 12.3
14 AC Brea (2) 4004 417-13 00.00 LLLL +0.51 +0.05 0% 12.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.