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Total Futbol Academy - OC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · South U12 · 14 teams · Total Futbol Academy - OC (all teams)

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4th
2-1-1 record · 4 played
1.75 points per game
+2 goal diff · 12–10
DWWLlast 4
22% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.0
+0.23 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
4th · 1.75 PPG
at
FC Premier
6th · 1.50 PPG

Marina High school, 9v9 field #1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.7 for, 3.3 against · 1.11 expected points)

Season so farTotal Futbol Academy - OC 2FC Premier
Position4th6th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-12-0-2
Points per game1.751.50
Goals for / game3.04.0
Goals against / game2.52.8
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L W W DW W L L
Biggest win3–0 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club7–0 vs Fram Soccer Club 2
Worst loss1–3 vs EMPIRE SC2–5 at City SC Los Angeles 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.32+0.66
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.23-0.30

Common opponents: EMPIRE SC — we 1–3; they 3–4.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 31%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Marina High school.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Premier game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 – FC Premier) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.40 PPG		 8th▼ down 4 9th▼ down 5 10th▼ down 6
Win
2.00 PPG		 4th— holds 3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds
Draw
1.60 PPG		 5th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 3 7th▼ down 3
Loss
1.40 PPG		 8th▼ down 4 9th▼ down 5 10th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we fall to at least 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
22% top 4
79% below the top 4
6.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd 2%
  3. 3rd 6%
  4. 4th 14%
  5. 5th 19%
  6. 6th 19%
  7. 7th 18%
  8. 8th 12%
  9. 9th 8%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 EMPIRE SC 3.00 (+1.25) 2nd (2.10) 71 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
2 Laguna United 2 2.60 (+0.85) 1st (2.64) 61 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 62 for their projection
3 Reds FC 2 2.25 (+0.50) 3rd (2.07) 52 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection

How the results connect

6 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 to FC Premier through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
3 favour them
+2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 4–3 2–2 3–6 6–5 2–5 2–4 3–0 8–0 0–7 4–3 5–2 6–1 Total Futbol Academ… 4th EMPIRE SC 1st ALBION SC Riverside… 8th Los Angeles SC 2 7th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 10th Reds FC 2 3rd Fram Soccer Club 2 11th City SC Los Angeles… 12th FC Premier 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.08 · 9th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM		 FC Premier
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +5		 Away
Marina High school		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 2–3 1.11 1.62 Upside
Sun Nov 8
03:30 PM		 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -11		 Away
RJRSP		 ●●○○○ Lean win
66%		 3–1 2.14 1.71 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
11:15 AM		 Laguna United 2
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +32		 Away
La Paz Sports Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 1–5 0.24 1.50 Upside
Sat Nov 21
01:15 PM		 Rangers FC 2
9th · 2-1-2 · GD -1		 Home
Hoover High School · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 2–2 1.72 1.53 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
01:00 PM		 Rayados Academy San Diego
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +0		 Home
Hoover High School · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
53%		 2–1 1.78 1.56 Swing game
Sun Dec 6
12:15 PM		 City SC Los Angeles 2
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -4		 Home
Hoover High School · turf		 ●●○○○ Lean win
63%		 3–2 2.03 1.60 Swing game
Sun Dec 13
10:30 AM		 Fram Soccer Club 2
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -24		 Away
Ridgecrest Intermediate · turf		 ●○○○○ Favorable
82%		 4–1 2.56 1.69 Bank it
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM		 AC Brea (2)
14th · 0-0-4 · GD -13		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
77%		 3–1 2.43 1.75 Bank it
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Riverside 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +7		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
40%		 2–3 1.36 1.72 Upside
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM		 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
10th · 2-0-3 · GD -10		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
59%		 3–2 1.91 1.73 Swing game
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM		 Reds FC 2
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 2–3 1.11 1.69 Upside
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM		 Los Angeles SC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD -1		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
54%		 3–2 1.79 1.70 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM		 EMPIRE SC
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +8		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
25%		 2–3 0.90 1.65 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 FC Premier
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +5		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 3–2 1.46 1.64 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -11		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 3–1 2.40 1.68 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM		 Laguna United 2
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +32		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–4 0.41 1.62 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Rangers FC 2
9th · 2-1-2 · GD -1		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
40%		 2–2 1.39 1.61 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 Rayados Academy San Diego
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +0		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–2 1.47 1.60 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 City SC Los Angeles 2
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -4		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 3–2 1.69 1.60 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 Fram Soccer Club 2
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -24		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
89%		 4–1 2.73 1.65 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 AC Brea (2)
14th · 0-0-4 · GD -13		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
68%		 3–1 2.17 1.67 Swing game
Tue May 25
10:30 AM		 Reds FC 2
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +10		 Away
Orchard Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 2–3 0.80 1.64 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 EMPIRE SC 4400 179+8 123.00 WWWW +0.06 -0.13 92% 2.8
2 Laguna United 2 5410 364+32 132.60 DWWWW -1.47 -0.01 100% 1.0
3 Reds FC 2 4301 177+10 92.25 WWWL -0.18 -0.10 92% 2.9
4 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 4211 1210+2 71.75 DWWL +0.23 -0.08 22% 6.0
5 Rayados Academy San Diego 4211 77+0 71.75 LWWD -0.98 +0.16 3% 8.2
6 FC Premier 4202 1611+5 61.50 LLWW -0.30 -0.03 33% 5.5
7 Los Angeles SC 2 4202 1314-1 61.50 WLLW +0.37 -0.08 8% 7.2
8 ALBION SC Riverside 2 5212 2013+7 71.40 DLLWW -0.15 -0.08 43% 4.9
9 Rangers FC 2 5212 1213-1 71.40 DWLWL +0.42 -0.14 7% 7.3
10 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5203 1424-10 61.20 WLWLL +0.36 +0.04 0% 10.4
11 Fram Soccer Club 2 5113 428-24 40.80 WLLDL +0.25 +0.20 0% 13.6
12 City SC Los Angeles 2 4103 1014-4 30.75 LLWL +0.13 +0.03 0% 10.0
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 112-11 00.00 LLL +1.69 -0.09 0% 12.4
14 AC Brea (2) 4004 417-13 00.00 LLLL +0.51 +0.05 0% 12.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.96 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.