TableChase Clubs

Los Angeles SC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · South U11 · 14 teams · Los Angeles SC (all teams)

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4th
2-1-1 record · 4 played
1.75 points per game
+8 goal diff · 13–5
WDWLlast 4
43% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.8
-0.18 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:00 PM

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Los Angeles SC 2
4th · 1.75 PPG
at
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
10th · 1.00 PPG

RJRSP, Field #10 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.6 for, 1.9 against · 2.53 expected points)

Season so farLos Angeles SC 2FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
Position4th10th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-11-0-2
Points per game1.751.00
Goals for / game3.32.3
Goals against / game1.36.3
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L W D WL W L
Biggest win5–0 at Rayados Academy San Diego4–1 vs Rayados Academy San Diego
Worst loss1–2 at Rangers FC 22–11 vs Laguna United 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.06-1.92
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.18+0.43

Common opponents: Rayados Academy San Diego — we 5–0; they 4–1. Reds FC 2 — we 1–1; they 1–7.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) concede 6.3/game; worst result 2–11 vs Laguna United 2.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 81% chance; likely score 4–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:00 PM at RJRSP.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Reds FC 2 sit 3rd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.75.

    A win moves us above Reds FC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Los Angeles SC 2 – FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.00 PPG		 4th— holds 3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds
Win
2.00 PPG		 4th— holds 3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds
Draw
1.60 PPG		 8th▼ down 4 7th▼ down 3 9th▼ down 5
Loss
1.40 PPG		 10th▼ down 6 8th▼ down 4 10th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
43% top 4
57% below the top 4
4.8 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 10%
  3. 3rd 12%
  4. 4th 19%
  5. 5th 23%
  6. 6th 21%
  7. 7th 9%
  8. 8th 4%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea (2) 3.00 (+1.25) 1st (2.49) 71 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection
2 ALBION SC Riverside 2 2.20 (+0.45) 4th (1.96) 51 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
3 Reds FC 2 2.00 (+0.25) 2nd (2.06) Win next game

How the results connect

6 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Los Angeles SC 2 to FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
0 favour them
+4.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
5–0 1–4 1–1 7–1 6–0 1–2 3–3 4–4 11–2 Los Angeles SC 2 4th Rayados Academy San… 13th Reds FC 2 3rd Rangers FC 2 9th Laguna United 2 8th FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.08 · 11th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
03:00 PM		 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -12		 Away
RJRSP		 ●○○○○ Favorable
81%		 4–1 2.53 1.91 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
10:30 AM		 EMPIRE SC
7th · 2-1-1 · GD -1		 Home
Charter Oak High School · grass		 ●●○○○ Lean win
64%		 2–1 2.10 1.94 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
11:00 AM		 ALBION SC Riverside 2
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +13		 Home
Fremont Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 2–2 1.50 1.88 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
02:30 PM		 City SC Los Angeles 2
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2		 Away
Marine Ave Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
49%		 2–1 1.69 1.85 Swing game
Sun Dec 6
10:30 AM		 AC Brea (2)
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +14		 Home
Charter Oak High School · grass		 ●●●●○ Tough
27%		 1–2 1.01 1.76 Upside
Sun Dec 13
12:00 AM		 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-5 · GD -22		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
88%		 4–1 2.72 1.85 Bank it
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM		 Fram Soccer Club 2
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +0		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 2–1 2.10 1.88 Swing game
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM		 Rayados Academy San Diego
13th · 0-0-5 · GD -18		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
90%		 4–1 2.75 1.95 Bank it
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM		 Reds FC 2
3rd · 2-2-0 · GD +12		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
29%		 1–2 1.07 1.88 Upside
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM		 Laguna United 2
8th · 2-2-1 · GD +14		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
41%		 2–2 1.41 1.85 Upside
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM		 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
11th · 1-0-3 · GD -7		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
71%		 3–1 2.26 1.88 Bank it
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM		 Rangers FC 2
9th · 2-2-1 · GD +3		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 2–1 1.76 1.87 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -12		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
88%		 5–1 2.72 1.92 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 EMPIRE SC
7th · 2-1-1 · GD -1		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
54%		 2–1 1.81 1.91 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM		 FC Premier
12th · 0-0-2 · GD -6		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
80%		 3–1 2.51 1.94 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Riverside 2
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +13		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
33%		 2–2 1.18 1.91 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 City SC Los Angeles 2
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
59%		 2–1 1.97 1.91 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 AC Brea (2)
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +14		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
19%		 1–2 0.76 1.86 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-5 · GD -22		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
93%		 4–0 2.83 1.90 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
09:00 AM		 Fram Soccer Club 2
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +0		 Away
Ridgecrest Intermediate · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
54%		 2–1 1.82 1.90 Swing game
Tue May 25
10:00 AM		 Laguna United 2
8th · 2-2-1 · GD +14		 Away
La Paz Sports Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
30%		 2–3 1.07 1.86 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM		 FC Premier
12th · 0-0-2 · GD -6		 Away
Marina High school		 ●●○○○ Lean win
72%		 2–1 2.29 1.88 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea (2) 4400 162+14 123.00 WWWW +0.62 -0.32 100% 1.2
2 ALBION SC Riverside 2 5320 207+13 112.20 WWDDW -1.14 +0.12 61% 4.1
3 Reds FC 2 4220 175+12 82.00 WDDW -0.58 -0.06 78% 3.4
4 Los Angeles SC 2 4211 135+8 71.75 WDWL -0.18 -0.08 43% 4.8
5 City SC Los Angeles 2 4211 86+2 71.75 WLWD -0.35 +0.04 3% 7.6
6 Fram Soccer Club 2 4211 99+0 71.75 LDWW -0.31 +0.02 1% 8.0
7 EMPIRE SC 4211 89-1 71.75 WLDW +0.28 -0.07 3% 7.8
8 Laguna United 2 5221 2410+14 81.60 DDLWW -0.46 -0.11 74% 3.5
9 Rangers FC 2 5221 1411+3 81.60 DWDLW +1.33 -0.41 39% 4.9
10 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3102 719-12 31.00 LWL +0.43 +0.09 0% 11.6
11 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 4103 916-7 30.75 LWLL -0.04 +0.09 0% 10.5
12 FC Premier 2002 06-6 00.00 LL +0.04 +0.07 0% 11.2
13 Rayados Academy San Diego 5005 624-18 00.00 LLLLL +0.39 +0.08 0% 12.9
14 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5005 325-22 00.00 LLLLL +0.49 +0.13 0% 13.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.61 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.