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City SC Los Angeles 2

Elite Academy League 2 · South U11 · 14 teams · City SC Los Angeles (all teams)

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5th
2-1-1 record · 4 played
1.75 points per game
+2 goal diff · 8–6
WLWDlast 4
3% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.6
-0.35 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM

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City SC Los Angeles 2
5th · 1.75 PPG
at
AC Brea (2)
1st · 3.00 PPG

Brea Sports Park, Brea Sports Park #5 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.1 for, 3.0 against · 0.47 expected points)

Season so farCity SC Los Angeles 2AC Brea (2)
Position5th1st
Record (W-D-L)2-1-14-0-0
Points per game1.753.00
Goals for / game2.04.0
Goals against / game1.50.5
Clean sheets23
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)D W L WW W W W
Biggest win3–0 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club6–0 vs EMPIRE SC
Worst loss1–5 vs Rangers FC 2—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.14+2.10
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.35+0.62

Common opponents: Rangers FC 2 — we 1–5; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    AC Brea (2) score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.6.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    AC Brea (2) concede only 0.5/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 11%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    AC Brea (2) have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Brea Sports Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Los Angeles SC 2 sit 4th on 1.75 PPG; we are on 1.75.

    A point moves us above Los Angeles SC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the AC Brea (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (City SC Los Angeles 2 – AC Brea (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.40 PPG
9th▼ down 4 8th▼ down 3 10th▼ down 5
Win
2.00 PPG
4th▲ up 1 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds
Draw
1.60 PPG
9th▼ down 4 8th▼ down 3 9th▼ down 4
Loss
1.40 PPG
9th▼ down 4 8th▼ down 3 10th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
3% top 4
97% below the top 4
7.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 5%
  6. 6th 9%
  7. 7th 26%
  8. 8th 29%
  9. 9th 24%
  10. 10th 4%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea (2) 3.00 (+1.25) 1st (2.49) 71 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection
2 ALBION SC Riverside 2 2.20 (+0.45) 4th (1.96) 51 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
3 Reds FC 2 2.00 (+0.25) 2nd (2.06) Win next game
4 Los Angeles SC 2 1.75 (+0.00) 5th (1.88) A point next game

How the results connect

6 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link City SC Los Angeles 2 to AC Brea (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
6 favour them
-5.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–5 0–2 3–0 2–4 0–5 1–7 2–3 4–4 1–1 1–1 0–6 3–0 0–3 City SC Los Angeles… 5th Rangers FC 2 9th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 14th ALBION SC Riverside… 2nd FC Premier 12th Fram Soccer Club 2 6th Laguna United 2 8th EMPIRE SC 7th AC Brea (2) 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.04 · 7th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +14
Away
Brea Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–2 0.47 1.49 Upside
Sat Nov 7
05:30 PM
Fram Soccer Club 2
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +0
Home
Manhattan Village Field
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–1 1.64 1.52 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM
Reds FC 2
3rd · 2-2-0 · GD +12
Away
Eastwood Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.68 1.40 Upside
Sun Nov 22
02:30 PM
Los Angeles SC 2
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +8
Home
Marine Ave Park
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.10 1.36 Upside
Sat Dec 5
05:30 PM
EMPIRE SC
7th · 2-1-1 · GD -1
Home
Manhattan Village Field
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–1 1.64 1.39 Swing game
Sun Dec 6
11:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
11th · 1-0-3 · GD -7
Away
Hoover High School · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–2 1.78 1.43 Swing game
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -12
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–2 2.09 1.49 Swing game
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM
Laguna United 2
8th · 2-2-1 · GD +14
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
25%
2–2 0.93 1.44 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-5 · GD -22
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
76%
3–1 2.42 1.52 Bank it
Sun Jan 31
09:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
9th · 2-2-1 · GD +3
Away
Serrano Elementary
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 0.99 1.48 Upside
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
13th · 0-0-5 · GD -18
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.45 1.55 Bank it
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside 2
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.77 1.50 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +14
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.66 1.45 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
3rd · 2-2-0 · GD +12
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.94 1.42 Upside
Sun Mar 21
09:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club 2
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +0
Away
Ridgecrest Intermediate · turf
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–2 1.35 1.42 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +8
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.84 1.39 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
11th · 1-0-3 · GD -7
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
3–1 2.08 1.42 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
7th · 2-1-1 · GD -1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.35 1.42 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -12
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
3–1 2.37 1.46 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Laguna United 2
8th · 2-2-1 · GD +14
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.66 1.43 Upside
Tue May 25
01:00 PM
Rayados Academy San Diego
13th · 0-0-5 · GD -18
Away
LAUDERBACH PARK
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.22 1.46 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
FC Premier
12th · 0-0-2 · GD -6
Away
Dunrobin field (Behind - St John Bosco HS - Dunrobin (behind turf) · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.88 1.47 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea (2) 4400 162+14 123.00 WWWW +0.62 -0.32 100% 1.2
2 ALBION SC Riverside 2 5320 207+13 112.20 WWDDW -1.14 +0.12 61% 4.1
3 Reds FC 2 4220 175+12 82.00 WDDW -0.58 -0.06 78% 3.4
4 Los Angeles SC 2 4211 135+8 71.75 WDWL -0.18 -0.08 45% 4.7
5 City SC Los Angeles 2 4211 86+2 71.75 WLWD -0.35 +0.04 3% 7.6
6 Fram Soccer Club 2 4211 99+0 71.75 LDWW -0.31 +0.02 2% 8.0
7 EMPIRE SC 4211 89-1 71.75 WLDW +0.28 -0.07 2% 7.8
8 Laguna United 2 5221 2410+14 81.60 DDLWW -0.46 -0.11 73% 3.6
9 Rangers FC 2 5221 1411+3 81.60 DWDLW +1.33 -0.41 37% 5.0
10 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3102 719-12 31.00 LWL +0.43 +0.09 0% 11.6
11 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 4103 916-7 30.75 LWLL -0.04 +0.09 0% 10.4
12 FC Premier 2002 06-6 00.00 LL +0.04 +0.07 0% 11.2
13 Rayados Academy San Diego 5005 624-18 00.00 LLLLL +0.39 +0.08 0% 12.9
14 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5005 325-22 00.00 LLLLL +0.49 +0.13 0% 13.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.61 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.