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Total Futbol Academy - OC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · South U11 · 14 teams · Total Futbol Academy - OC (all teams)

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11th
1-0-3 record · 4 played
0.75 points per game
-7 goal diff · 9–16
LWLLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.5
-0.04 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 8, 02:00 PM

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Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
11th · 0.75 PPG
at

RJRSP, Field #10 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 3–3 (expected goals 3.8 for, 3.5 against · 1.57 expected points)

Season so farTotal Futbol Academy - OC 2FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
Position11th10th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-31-0-2
Points per game0.751.00
Goals for / game2.32.3
Goals against / game4.06.3
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L L W LL W L
Biggest win3–0 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club4–1 vs Rayados Academy San Diego
Worst loss2–6 at ALBION SC Riverside 22–11 vs Laguna United 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.04-1.92
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.04+0.43

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) concede 6.3/game; worst result 2–11 vs Laguna United 2.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 47% / draw 15% / loss 37%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 02:00 PM at RJRSP.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) sit 10th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.75.

    A point moves us above FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 – FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.80 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Win
1.20 PPG
10th▲ up 1 9th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 1
Draw
0.80 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Loss
0.60 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–3 draw we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 9%
  10. 10th 45%
  11. 11th 28%
  12. 12th 14%
  13. 13th 3%
  14. 14th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.65 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea (2) 3.00 (+2.25) 1st (2.49) 75 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 62 for their projection
2 ALBION SC Riverside 2 2.20 (+1.45) 4th (1.96) 55 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
3 Reds FC 2 2.00 (+1.25) 2nd (2.06) 49 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
4 Los Angeles SC 2 1.75 (+1.00) 5th (1.88) 43 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
5 City SC Los Angeles 2 1.75 (+1.00) 7th (1.47) 43 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
6 Fram Soccer Club 2 1.75 (+1.00) 9th (1.42) 43 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
7 EMPIRE SC 1.75 (+1.00) 8th (1.46) 43 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
8 Laguna United 2 1.60 (+0.85) 3rd (2.02) 39 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
9 Rangers FC 2 1.60 (+0.85) 6th (1.85) 39 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
10 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 1.00 (+0.25) 12th (0.76) A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 to FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
2 favour them
+0.0 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–6 5–0 1–4 1–1 7–1 3–0 1–7 11–2 2–6 4–3 Total Futbol Academ… 11th Los Angeles SC 2 4th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 14th ALBION SC Riverside… 2nd Rayados Academy San… 13th Reds FC 2 3rd Laguna United 2 8th FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.09 · 4th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 8
02:00 PM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -12
Away
RJRSP
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
3–3 1.57 0.91 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
10:00 AM
Laguna United 2
8th · 2-2-1 · GD +14
Away
La Paz Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–5 0.24 0.80 Upside
Sat Nov 21
12:00 PM
Rangers FC 2
9th · 2-2-1 · GD +3
Home
Hoover High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
20%
2–3 0.74 0.79 Upside
Sun Nov 22
11:45 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
13th · 0-0-5 · GD -18
Home
Hoover High School · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
3–2 2.15 0.96 Swing game
Sun Dec 6
11:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Home
Hoover High School · turf
●●●●○ Tough
29%
2–2 1.04 0.97 Upside
Sun Dec 13
09:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club 2
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +0
Away
Ridgecrest Intermediate · turf
●●●●● Very tough
22%
2–3 0.82 0.96 Upside
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +14
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.27 0.90 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside 2
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +13
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–4 0.53 0.87 Upside
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-5 · GD -22
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
3–2 2.14 0.96 Swing game
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
3rd · 2-2-0 · GD +12
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–4 0.45 0.93 Upside
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +8
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.61 0.90 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
7th · 2-1-1 · GD -1
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
2–3 0.83 0.90 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
FC Premier
12th · 0-0-2 · GD -6
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–2 1.77 0.95 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -12
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
4–3 1.96 1.01 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Laguna United 2
8th · 2-2-1 · GD +14
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
2–4 0.42 0.98 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
9th · 2-2-1 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–4 0.49 0.95 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
13th · 0-0-5 · GD -18
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
3–2 1.82 0.99 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–3 0.76 0.98 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club 2
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–2 1.14 0.99 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +14
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–4 0.16 0.96 Upside
Tue May 25
09:00 AM
Reds FC 2
3rd · 2-2-0 · GD +12
Away
Orchard Park
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.27 0.93 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
FC Premier
12th · 0-0-2 · GD -6
Away
Marina High school
●●●●○ Tough
42%
2–2 1.44 0.95 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea (2) 4400 162+14 123.00 WWWW +0.62 -0.32 100% 1.2
2 ALBION SC Riverside 2 5320 207+13 112.20 WWDDW -1.14 +0.12 60% 4.1
3 Reds FC 2 4220 175+12 82.00 WDDW -0.58 -0.06 78% 3.3
4 Los Angeles SC 2 4211 135+8 71.75 WDWL -0.18 -0.08 44% 4.7
5 City SC Los Angeles 2 4211 86+2 71.75 WLWD -0.35 +0.04 2% 7.7
6 Fram Soccer Club 2 4211 99+0 71.75 LDWW -0.31 +0.02 2% 8.0
7 EMPIRE SC 4211 89-1 71.75 WLDW +0.28 -0.07 2% 7.8
8 Laguna United 2 5221 2410+14 81.60 DDLWW -0.46 -0.11 74% 3.5
9 Rangers FC 2 5221 1411+3 81.60 DWDLW +1.33 -0.41 38% 4.9
10 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3102 719-12 31.00 LWL +0.43 +0.09 0% 11.6
11 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 4103 916-7 30.75 LWLL -0.04 +0.09 0% 10.5
12 FC Premier 2002 06-6 00.00 LL +0.04 +0.07 0% 11.2
13 Rayados Academy San Diego 5005 624-18 00.00 LLLLL +0.39 +0.08 0% 12.9
14 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5005 325-22 00.00 LLLLL +0.49 +0.13 0% 13.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.61 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.