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FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · South U11 · 14 teams · FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (all teams)

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10th
1-0-2 record · 3 played
1.00 points per game
-12 goal diff · 7–19
LWLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.6
+0.43 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:00 PM

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FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
10th · 1.00 PPG
vs
Los Angeles SC 2
4th · 1.75 PPG

RJRSP, Field #10 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.9 for, 4.6 against · 0.38 expected points)

Season so farFLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)Los Angeles SC 2
Position10th4th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-22-1-1
Points per game1.001.75
Goals for / game2.33.3
Goals against / game6.31.3
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L W LL W D W
Biggest win4–1 vs Rayados Academy San Diego5–0 at Rayados Academy San Diego
Worst loss2–11 vs Laguna United 21–2 at Rangers FC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.92+1.06
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.43-0.18

Common opponents: Reds FC 2 — we 1–7; they 1–1. Rayados Academy San Diego — we 4–1; they 5–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Los Angeles SC 2 concede only 1.2/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 10%; a draw (9%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Los Angeles SC 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) – Los Angeles SC 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.75 PPG
11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1
Win
1.50 PPG
9th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 3 9th▲ up 1
Draw
1.00 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 10th— holds
Loss
0.75 PPG
11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–4 loss we fall to at least 11th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 15%
  11. 11th 27%
  12. 12th 37%
  13. 13th 15%
  14. 14th 3%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 23 remaining known games (max 2.77 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 AC Brea (2) 3.00 (+2.00) 1st (2.49) 75 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 62 for their projection
2 ALBION SC Riverside 2 2.20 (+1.20) 4th (1.96) 55 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
3 Reds FC 2 2.00 (+1.00) 2nd (2.06) 49 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
4 Los Angeles SC 2 1.75 (+0.75) 5th (1.88) 43 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
5 City SC Los Angeles 2 1.75 (+0.75) 7th (1.47) 43 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
6 Fram Soccer Club 2 1.75 (+0.75) 9th (1.42) 43 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
7 EMPIRE SC 1.75 (+0.75) 8th (1.46) 43 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
8 Laguna United 2 1.60 (+0.60) 3rd (2.02) 39 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
9 Rangers FC 2 1.60 (+0.60) 6th (1.85) 39 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection

How the results connect

6 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) to Los Angeles SC 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
6 favour them
-4.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–1 0–5 1–7 1–1 0–6 3–3 2–1 2–11 4–4 FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 10th Rayados Academy San… 13th Reds FC 2 3rd Laguna United 2 8th Rangers FC 2 9th Los Angeles SC 2 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.09 · 3rd hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
03:00 PM
Los Angeles SC 2
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +8
Home
RJRSP
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–4 0.38 0.84 Upside
Sun Nov 8
02:00 PM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
11th · 1-0-3 · GD -7
Home
RJRSP
●●●●○ Tough
37%
3–3 1.28 0.93 Upside
Sun Nov 15
03:00 PM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-5 · GD -22
Away
Pacific Community Center
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
3–2 1.89 1.09 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
12:00 AM
FC Premier
12th · 0-0-2 · GD -6
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–2 1.49 1.15 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
7th · 2-1-1 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
2–3 0.84 1.11 Upside
Sun Dec 6
09:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
9th · 2-2-1 · GD +3
Away
Serrano Elementary
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–5 0.29 1.02 Upside
Sun Dec 13
02:30 PM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +14
Away
Brea Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–6 0.07 0.92 Upside
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
21%
2–3 0.76 0.91 Upside
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside 2
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +13
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–5 0.32 0.86 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
3rd · 2-2-0 · GD +12
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–6 0.14 0.81 Upside
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
13th · 0-0-5 · GD -18
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
3–3 1.52 0.86 Swing game
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club 2
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
2–3 0.83 0.85 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
Laguna United 2
8th · 2-2-1 · GD +14
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–7 0.12 0.81 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
4th · 2-1-1 · GD +8
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–5 0.22 0.77 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
11th · 1-0-3 · GD -7
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
26%
3–4 0.90 0.78 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-5 · GD -22
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
4–2 2.22 0.86 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
7th · 2-1-1 · GD -1
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
15%
2–4 0.56 0.84 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
9th · 2-2-1 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
2–4 0.48 0.83 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +14
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–5 0.14 0.79 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
5th · 2-1-1 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.51 0.78 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside 2
2nd · 3-2-0 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–5 0.18 0.76 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
FC Premier
12th · 0-0-2 · GD -6
Away
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–3 1.15 0.77 Upside
Mon May 31
09:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club 2
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +0
Away
Ridgecrest Intermediate · turf
●●●●● Very tough
15%
2–4 0.56 0.76 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 AC Brea (2) 4400 162+14 123.00 WWWW +0.62 -0.32 100% 1.2
2 ALBION SC Riverside 2 5320 207+13 112.20 WWDDW -1.14 +0.12 59% 4.1
3 Reds FC 2 4220 175+12 82.00 WDDW -0.58 -0.06 78% 3.4
4 Los Angeles SC 2 4211 135+8 71.75 WDWL -0.18 -0.08 45% 4.7
5 City SC Los Angeles 2 4211 86+2 71.75 WLWD -0.35 +0.04 3% 7.6
6 Fram Soccer Club 2 4211 99+0 71.75 LDWW -0.31 +0.02 2% 8.0
7 EMPIRE SC 4211 89-1 71.75 WLDW +0.28 -0.07 2% 7.8
8 Laguna United 2 5221 2410+14 81.60 DDLWW -0.46 -0.11 74% 3.5
9 Rangers FC 2 5221 1411+3 81.60 DWDLW +1.33 -0.41 38% 5.0
10 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3102 719-12 31.00 LWL +0.43 +0.09 0% 11.6
11 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 4103 916-7 30.75 LWLL -0.04 +0.09 0% 10.5
12 FC Premier 2002 06-6 00.00 LL +0.04 +0.07 0% 11.2
13 Rayados Academy San Diego 5005 624-18 00.00 LLLLL +0.39 +0.08 0% 12.9
14 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5005 325-22 00.00 LLLLL +0.49 +0.13 0% 13.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.61 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.