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Zeta Academy

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U19 · 13 teams · Zeta Academy (all teams)

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12th
0-0-1 record · 1 played
0.00 points per game
-3 goal diff · 0–3
last 0
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.0
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Tue May 25, 12:00 AM

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Zeta Academy
12th · 0.00 PPG
at

TBD, TBD ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.0 for, 1.5 against · 1.71 expected points)

Season so farZeta AcademyFLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
Position12th13th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-10-0-3
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.3
Goals against / game3.03.3
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)—L L L
Biggest win——
Worst loss—0–3 vs Reds FC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.75-1.55
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00-0.28

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) average 0.3 goals/game (league avg 2.2); blanked in 2 of 3.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) concede 3.3/game; worst result 0–3 vs Reds FC 2.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 50% / draw 22% / loss 29%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 AM at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Elite FC 2 sit 11th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Elite FC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Tuesday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Zeta Academy – FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon May 24 – Sun May 30); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.50 PPG
8th▲ up 4 7th▲ up 5 10th▲ up 2
Win
1.50 PPG
8th▲ up 4 7th▲ up 5 10th▲ up 2
Draw
0.50 PPG
11th▲ up 1 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
13th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 7%
  9. 9th 18%
  10. 10th 42%
  11. 11th 18%
  12. 12th 9%
  13. 13th 3%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 24 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 BOCA OC (2) 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.45) 75 of 72 pts to pass their current pace, 62 for their projection
2 EMPIRE SC 2.25 (+2.25) 3rd (1.84) 57 of 72 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
3 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 2.17 (+2.17) 4th (1.83) 55 of 72 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 2.00 (+2.00) 2nd (1.91) 50 of 72 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
5 Rayados Academy San Diego 1.83 (+1.83) 6th (1.70) 46 of 72 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
6 Rangers FC 2 1.67 (+1.67) 5th (1.72) 42 of 72 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
7 Chula Vista FC 2 1.50 (+1.50) 7th (1.60) Win next game
8 Reds FC 2 1.40 (+1.40) 8th (1.34) A point next game
9 Crusaders SC 0.75 (+0.75) 11th (0.79) A point next game
10 AC Brea (2) 0.50 (+0.50) 9th (1.24) A point next game
11 Elite FC 2 0.50 (+0.50) 12th (0.63) A point next game

Position over the season

10 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.03 · 4th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -9
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.71 0.85 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.92 0.88 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.67 0.82 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.51 0.76 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.72 0.76 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
7th · 3-0-3 · GD +4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.66 0.74 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Rangers FC 2
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.87 0.76 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
BOCA OC (2)
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.26 0.70 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Crusaders SC
9th · 2-0-6 · GD -10
Away
Town Center Community Park East
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.46 0.78 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Chula Vista FC 2
7th · 3-0-3 · GD +4
Home
Portola Springs Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.92 0.79 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Reds FC 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0
Home
Portola Springs Community Park
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–2 1.19 0.82 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Rayados Academy San Diego
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +3
Home
Portola Springs Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.94 0.83 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
AC Brea (2)
10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2
Away
Whittier College · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.96 0.84 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
EMPIRE SC
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +5
Home
Oak Creek Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.82 0.84 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +4
Home
Portola Springs Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.90 0.84 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Elite FC 2
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -15
Home
Portola Springs Community Park
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.97 0.91 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
BOCA OC (2)
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11
Home
Portola Springs Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.39 0.88 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Rangers FC 2
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5
Away
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–3 0.62 0.87 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +7
Home
Portola Springs Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–3 0.75 0.86 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Crusaders SC
9th · 2-0-6 · GD -10
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.74 0.90 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
AC Brea (2)
10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.26 0.92 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
EMPIRE SC
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.58 0.91 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -9
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.97 0.95 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Elite FC 2
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -15
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
1–1 1.71 0.98 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 BOCA OC (2) 3300 121+11 93.00 WWW +0.10 -0.22 100% 1.1
2 EMPIRE SC 4301 138+5 92.25 WWWL -0.17 -0.07 62% 4.1
3 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 6411 139+4 132.17 WDLWW +0.14 -0.14 61% 4.2
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6402 2114+7 122.00 WLWLW -0.08 -0.12 75% 3.5
5 Rayados Academy San Diego 6321 118+3 111.83 DWWDW +0.03 -0.11 35% 5.2
6 Rangers FC 2 6312 1712+5 101.67 LWLWD -0.04 -0.10 42% 5.0
7 Chula Vista FC 2 6303 1814+4 91.50 WLWWL -0.14 -0.05 21% 6.0
8 Reds FC 2 5212 1010+0 71.40 WLLWD -0.21 +0.02 3% 8.0
9 Crusaders SC 8206 1020-10 60.75 WLLLL +0.01 +0.06 0% 11.0
10 AC Brea (2) 2011 57-2 10.50 DL +0.58 -0.06 2% 8.5
11 Elite FC 2 6105 419-15 30.50 LLLLW +0.24 +0.03 0% 12.0
12 Zeta Academy 1001 03-3 00.00 +0.00 +0.03 0% 10.0
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 110-9 00.00 LLL -0.28 +0.15 0% 12.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.21 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.