ALBION SC San Diego (1)
Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U19 · 13 teams · ALBION SC San Diego (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM
Hickman Fields, Hickman #1 11 v 11 ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 3.0 for, 0.9 against · 2.48 expected points)
| Season so far | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 13th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-1 | 0-0-3 |
| Points per game | 2.17 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W L D W | L L L |
| Biggest win | 3–1 vs Chula Vista FC 2 | — |
| Worst loss | 2–3 vs Rangers FC 2 | 0–3 vs Reds FC 2 |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.45 | -1.55 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.14 | -0.28 |
Common opponents: Crusaders SC — we 4–3; they 0–3. Chula Vista FC 2 — we 3–1; they 1–4. Reds FC 2 — we 1–0; they 0–3.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) average 0.3 goals/game (league avg 2.2); blanked in 2 of 3.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) concede 3.3/game; worst result 0–3 vs Reds FC 2.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 79% chance; likely score 2–0.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Confidence is low on their side
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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What a win does
EMPIRE SC sit 2nd on 2.25 PPG; we are on 2.17.A point moves us above EMPIRE SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC San Diego (1) – FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.29 PPG |
2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 | 3rd— holds |
| Win 2.29 PPG |
2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 | 3rd— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 3rd— holds | 4th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.86 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–0 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 2%
- 2nd 17%
- 3rd 22%
- 4th 20%
- 5th 15%
- 6th 13%
- 7th 7%
- 8th 3%
- 9th 1%
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.79 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOCA OC (2) | 3.00 (+0.83) | 1st (2.45) | 59 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection |
| 2 | EMPIRE SC | 2.25 (+0.08) | 3rd (1.84) | A point next game |
How the results connect
10 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link ALBION SC San Diego (1) to FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.14 · 12th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 01:00 PM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -9 |
Home Hickman Fields |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
2–0 | 2.48 | 2.21 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 06:00 PM |
Elite FC 2 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -15 |
Away Ruben S. Ayala Park · turf? |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
2–0 | 2.27 | 2.22 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 7 05:15 PM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 4th · 4-0-2 · GD +7 |
Away Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
2–2 | 1.16 | 2.10 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 06:30 PM |
BOCA OC (2) 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11 |
Home Madison High School · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.87 | 1.98 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 01:00 PM |
Crusaders SC 9th · 2-0-6 · GD -10 |
Home Hickman Fields |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
2–1 | 2.31 | 2.01 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
Chula Vista FC 2 7th · 3-0-3 · GD +4 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
2–2 | 1.34 | 1.95 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
Rayados Academy San Diego 5th · 3-2-1 · GD +3 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–1 | 1.28 | 1.90 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
Rangers FC 2 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–2 | 1.27 | 1.86 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
Reds FC 2 8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
2–1 | 1.85 | 1.86 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
AC Brea (2) 10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.69 | 1.85 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
EMPIRE SC 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
2–2 | 1.52 | 1.83 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -9 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
2–1 | 2.28 | 1.85 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
Elite FC 2 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -15 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
2–0 | 2.47 | 1.88 | Bank it |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 4th · 4-0-2 · GD +7 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.48 | 1.86 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 08:00 AM |
BOCA OC (2) 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11 |
Away El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–2 | 0.65 | 1.81 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
AC Brea (2) 10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2 |
Home Hickman Fields |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 1.99 | 1.81 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Zeta Academy 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
2–1 | 2.16 | 1.83 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Zeta Academy 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Away Portola Springs Community Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.90 | 1.83 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | BOCA OC (2) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | +0.10 | -0.22 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at EMPIRE SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | EMPIRE SC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | -0.17 | -0.07 | 62% | 4.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Rangers FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at Crusaders SC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 13 | 2.17 | WDLWW | +0.14 | -0.14 | 61% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Elite FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 12 | 2.00 | WLWLW | -0.08 | -0.12 | 74% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 21 at Rangers FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 11 | 1.83 | DWWDW | +0.03 | -0.11 | 35% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Reds FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 8 vs EMPIRE SC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Rangers FC 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 10 | 1.67 | LWLWD | -0.04 | -0.10 | 41% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs EMPIRE SC · Sun Nov 8 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sat Nov 21 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 9 | 1.50 | WLWWL | -0.14 | -0.05 | 23% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Crusaders SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at AC Brea (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Reds FC 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 7 | 1.40 | WLLWD | -0.21 | +0.02 | 3% | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Rayados Academy San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at AC Brea (2) See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Crusaders SC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 6 | 0.75 | WLLLL | +0.01 | +0.06 | 0% | 11.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs AC Brea (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs EMPIRE SC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | AC Brea (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | 0.50 | DL | +0.58 | -0.06 | 2% | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Crusaders SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs Chula Vista FC 2 See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Elite FC 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLLW | +0.24 | +0.03 | 0% | 11.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at BOCA OC (2) · Sun Nov 8 at Reds FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Zeta Academy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | 0% | 10.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Tue May 25 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Tue May 25 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 · Tue May 25 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) See all 24 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | -0.28 | +0.15 | 0% | 12.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs Rayados Academy San Diego See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.21 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.