TableChase Clubs

BOCA OC (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U19 · 13 teams · BOCA OC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 18 hours ago.
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1st
3-0-0 record · 3 played
3.00 points per game
+11 goal diff · 12–1
WWWlast 3
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.1
+0.04 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:00 PM

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BOCA OC (2)
1st · 3.00 PPG
at
EMPIRE SC
2nd · 2.25 PPG

Eastvale Community Park, Full Size Field 13 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.8 for, 1.7 against · 1.98 expected points)

Season so farBOCA OC (2)EMPIRE SC
Position1st2nd
Record (W-D-L)3-0-03-0-1
Points per game3.002.25
Goals for / game4.03.3
Goals against / game0.32.0
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W WL W W W
Biggest win5–0 vs Crusaders SC6–3 at Reds FC 2
Worst loss—1–2 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.73+0.62
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.04-0.18

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    EMPIRE SC score 3.2/game — well above the league's 2.1.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 60% / draw 17% / loss 22%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Eastvale Community Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the EMPIRE SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (BOCA OC (2) – EMPIRE SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.50 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 2nd▼ down 1
Loss
2.25 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 2 4th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

92% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.1 average finish
  1. 1st 92%
  2. 2nd 6%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

8 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link BOCA OC (2) to EMPIRE SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
2 even
0 favour them
+3.1 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–1 3–5 2–3 3–0 3–3 3–6 5–0 0–1 0–1 1–3 4–1 3–2 2–1 3–4 8–1 BOCA OC (2) 1st ALBION SC Santa Ana… 5th Rangers FC 2 6th Crusaders SC 9th Chula Vista FC 2 7th Reds FC 2 8th Elite FC 2 10th ALBION SC San Diego… 3rd EMPIRE SC 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.20 · 13th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
12:00 PM
EMPIRE SC
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +5
Away
Eastvale Community Park
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.98 2.75 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
08:00 AM
Elite FC 2
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -15
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
3–0 2.82 2.76 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
06:30 PM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +4
Away
Madison High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.94 2.62 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
10:30 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +3
Away
MEADOW PARK
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.91 2.52 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
9th · 2-0-6 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–0 2.61 2.53 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
08:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
3–1 2.29 2.51 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
08:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +5
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Upper)
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.28 2.48 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
7th · 3-0-3 · GD +4
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
3–1 2.12 2.45 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.21 2.43 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
08:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +3
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.15 2.41 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
2–1 2.25 2.40 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
08:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -9
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
4–0 2.83 2.43 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
08:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +5
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
3–1 2.25 2.42 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
06:15 PM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -9
Away
RJRSP
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
3–0 2.73 2.43 Bank it
Sat May 1
05:50 PM
Chula Vista FC 2
7th · 3-0-3 · GD +4
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
3–1 2.38 2.43 Bank it
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
10th · 1-0-5 · GD -15
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
3–0 2.71 2.45 Bank it
Sun May 2
08:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +4
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–1 2.18 2.43 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.44 2.43 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.47 2.43 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Zeta Academy
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Away
Portola Springs Community Park
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–0 2.49 2.44 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Zeta Academy
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Home
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
3–0 2.66 2.45 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 BOCA OC (2) 3300 121+11 93.00 WWW +0.04 -0.20 100% 1.1
2 EMPIRE SC 4301 138+5 92.25 WWWL -0.18 -0.05 62% 4.1
3 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 6411 139+4 132.17 WDLWW +0.14 -0.12 60% 4.2
4 Rayados Academy San Diego 5311 96+3 102.00 LDWWW +0.07 -0.10 44% 4.9
5 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 5302 1611+5 91.80 WWLWL -0.03 -0.09 58% 4.3
6 Rangers FC 2 6312 1712+5 101.67 LWLWD -0.04 -0.08 40% 5.1
7 Chula Vista FC 2 6303 1814+4 91.50 WLWWL -0.16 -0.02 23% 6.1
8 Reds FC 2 5212 1010+0 71.40 WLLWD -0.21 +0.04 3% 8.2
9 Crusaders SC 8206 1020-10 60.75 WLLLL -0.02 +0.09 0% 11.1
10 Elite FC 2 6105 419-15 30.50 LLLLW +0.21 +0.05 0% 11.9
11 AC Brea (2) 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.02 ——
12 Zeta Academy 1001 03-3 00.00 +0.00 +0.04 0% 10.2
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 110-9 00.00 LLL -0.29 +0.16 0% 12.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.11 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.