Elite FC 2
Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U19 · 13 teams · SoCal Elite FC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 06:00 PM
Ruben S. Ayala Park, Stadium Field ↗ · turf?
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.5 against · 0.55 expected points)
| Season so far | Elite FC 2 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 10th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-5 | 4-1-1 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 2.17 |
| Goals for / game | 0.7 | 2.2 |
| Goals against / game | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L L L | W W L D W |
| Biggest win | 1–0 at Crusaders SC | 3–1 vs Chula Vista FC 2 |
| Worst loss | 1–8 at Rangers FC 2 | 2–3 vs Rangers FC 2 |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.50 | +0.44 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.21 | +0.14 |
Common opponents: Rangers FC 2 — we 1–8; they 2–3. EMPIRE SC — we 1–3; they 2–1. Rayados Academy San Diego — we 0–1; they 1–1. Chula Vista FC 2 — we 0–3; they 3–1. Crusaders SC — we 1–0; they 4–3.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 at Rayados Academy San Diego, 0–3 vs Chula Vista FC 2.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 13%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
Crusaders SC sit 9th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.50.A point moves us above Crusaders SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC San Diego (1) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Elite FC 2 – ALBION SC San Diego (1)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.43 PPG |
10th— holds | 11th▼ down 1 | 12th▼ down 2 |
| Win 0.86 PPG |
9th▲ up 1 | 10th— holds | 11th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 0.57 PPG |
10th— holds | 11th▼ down 1 | 12th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 0.43 PPG |
10th— holds | 11th▼ down 1 | 12th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th <1%
- 9th 1%
- 10th 7%
- 11th 22%
- 12th 41%
- 13th 30%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOCA OC (2) | 3.00 (+2.50) | 1st (2.45) | 69 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | EMPIRE SC | 2.25 (+1.75) | 2nd (1.83) | 51 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 3 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 2.17 (+1.67) | 3rd (1.82) | 50 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 4 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 2.00 (+1.50) | 5th (1.74) | 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 5 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 1.80 (+1.30) | 4th (1.80) | 41 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 6 | Rangers FC 2 | 1.67 (+1.17) | 6th (1.71) | 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 7 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 1.50 (+1.00) | 7th (1.58) | 33 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection |
| 8 | Reds FC 2 | 1.40 (+0.90) | 9th (1.33) | 31 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 9 | Crusaders SC | 0.75 (+0.25) | 11th (0.78) | A point next game |
How the results connect
19 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Elite FC 2 to ALBION SC San Diego (1) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.05 · 3rd hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 06:00 PM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +4 |
Home Ruben S. Ayala Park · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
0–2 | 0.55 | 0.51 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 08:00 AM |
BOCA OC (2) 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11 |
Away El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–3 | 0.13 | 0.46 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 07:00 PM |
Reds FC 2 8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0 |
Away Orange County Great Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–2 | 0.55 | 0.47 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 06:00 PM |
AC Brea (2) 11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Rosetta Canyon Sports Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 17% |
1–2 | 0.69 | 0.49 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
Rangers FC 2 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.49 | 0.49 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +5 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–3 | 0.28 | 0.47 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
AC Brea (2) 11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–2 | 0.50 | 0.48 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
EMPIRE SC 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.46 | 0.47 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -9 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
1–1 | 1.50 | 0.54 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
Rayados Academy San Diego 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +3 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
0–2 | 0.58 | 0.55 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
Chula Vista FC 2 7th · 3-0-3 · GD +4 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
1–3 | 0.34 | 0.53 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Crusaders SC 9th · 2-0-6 · GD -10 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–1 | 1.26 | 0.57 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +4 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
0–2 | 0.39 | 0.56 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
BOCA OC (2) 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
0–3 | 0.20 | 0.55 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
Reds FC 2 8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.76 | 0.56 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 05:00 PM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -9 |
Away South Fontana |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
1–1 | 1.24 | 0.59 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Zeta Academy 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Away Portola Springs Community Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.83 | 0.60 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Zeta Academy 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–1 | 1.06 | 0.62 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | BOCA OC (2) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | +0.04 | -0.20 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at EMPIRE SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | EMPIRE SC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | -0.18 | -0.05 | 62% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Rangers FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at Crusaders SC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 13 | 2.17 | WDLWW | +0.14 | -0.12 | 60% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Elite FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 | 2.00 | LDWWW | +0.07 | -0.10 | 44% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at AC Brea (2) · Sun Oct 25 vs Reds FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLWL | -0.03 | -0.09 | 58% | 4.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 at AC Brea (2) · Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Rangers FC 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 10 | 1.67 | LWLWD | -0.04 | -0.08 | 40% | 5.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at AC Brea (2) · Sun Nov 1 vs EMPIRE SC · Sun Nov 8 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 9 | 1.50 | WLWWL | -0.16 | -0.02 | 23% | 6.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Crusaders SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at AC Brea (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Reds FC 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 7 | 1.40 | WLLWD | -0.21 | +0.04 | 3% | 8.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Rayados Academy San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at AC Brea (2) See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Crusaders SC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 6 | 0.75 | WLLLL | -0.02 | +0.09 | 0% | 11.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs AC Brea (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs EMPIRE SC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Elite FC 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLLW | +0.21 | +0.05 | 0% | 11.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at BOCA OC (2) · Sun Nov 8 at Reds FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | AC Brea (2) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.02 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Rayados Academy San Diego · Sun Oct 18 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 · Sun Oct 25 vs Rangers FC 2 See all 24 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Zeta Academy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.00 | +0.04 | 0% | 10.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Tue May 25 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Tue May 25 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Tue May 25 at Chula Vista FC 2 See all 24 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | -0.29 | +0.16 | 0% | 12.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs Rayados Academy San Diego See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.11 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.