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Elite FC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U19 · 13 teams · SoCal Elite FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 19 hours ago.
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10th
1-0-5 record · 6 played
0.50 points per game
-15 goal diff · 4–19
LLLLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.9
+0.21 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 06:00 PM

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Elite FC 2
10th · 0.50 PPG
vs

Ruben S. Ayala Park, Stadium Field ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.5 against · 0.55 expected points)

Season so farElite FC 2ALBION SC San Diego (1)
Position10th3rd
Record (W-D-L)1-0-54-1-1
Points per game0.502.17
Goals for / game0.72.2
Goals against / game3.21.5
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)W L L L LW W L D W
Biggest win1–0 at Crusaders SC3–1 vs Chula Vista FC 2
Worst loss1–8 at Rangers FC 22–3 vs Rangers FC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.50+0.44
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.21+0.14

Common opponents: Rangers FC 2 — we 1–8; they 2–3. EMPIRE SC — we 1–3; they 2–1. Rayados Academy San Diego — we 0–1; they 1–1. Chula Vista FC 2 — we 0–3; they 3–1. Crusaders SC — we 1–0; they 4–3.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–1 at Rayados Academy San Diego, 0–3 vs Chula Vista FC 2.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 13%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Crusaders SC sit 9th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.50.

    A point moves us above Crusaders SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC San Diego (1) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Elite FC 2 – ALBION SC San Diego (1)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.43 PPG
10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2
Win
0.86 PPG
9th▲ up 1 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1
Draw
0.57 PPG
10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2
Loss
0.43 PPG
10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 7%
  11. 11th 22%
  12. 12th 41%
  13. 13th 30%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 BOCA OC (2) 3.00 (+2.50) 1st (2.45) 69 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 EMPIRE SC 2.25 (+1.75) 2nd (1.83) 51 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
3 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 2.17 (+1.67) 3rd (1.82) 50 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
4 Rayados Academy San Diego 2.00 (+1.50) 5th (1.74) 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
5 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 1.80 (+1.30) 4th (1.80) 41 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
6 Rangers FC 2 1.67 (+1.17) 6th (1.71) 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
7 Chula Vista FC 2 1.50 (+1.00) 7th (1.58) 33 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
8 Reds FC 2 1.40 (+0.90) 9th (1.33) 31 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
9 Crusaders SC 0.75 (+0.25) 11th (0.78) A point next game

How the results connect

19 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Elite FC 2 to ALBION SC San Diego (1) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
2 even
15 favour them
-3.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–0 3–4 0–1 1–1 1–3 1–2 0–3 1–3 1–8 3–2 6–3 0–1 0–3 0–1 1–4 2–0 6–1 4–3 3–0 Elite FC 2 10th Crusaders SC 9th Rayados Academy San… 4th EMPIRE SC 2nd Chula Vista FC 2 7th Rangers FC 2 6th ALBION SC Santa Ana… 5th Reds FC 2 8th ALBION SC San Diego… 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.05 · 3rd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
06:00 PM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +4
Home
Ruben S. Ayala Park · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–2 0.55 0.51 Upside
Sat Nov 7
08:00 AM
BOCA OC (2)
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–3 0.13 0.46 Upside
Sun Nov 8
07:00 PM
Reds FC 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0
Away
Orange County Great Park
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.55 0.47 Upside
Sat Nov 14
06:00 PM
AC Brea (2)
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Rosetta Canyon Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.69 0.49 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–3 0.49 0.49 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–3 0.28 0.47 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
11th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–2 0.50 0.48 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.46 0.47 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -9
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
42%
1–1 1.50 0.54 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–2 0.58 0.55 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
7th · 3-0-3 · GD +4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.34 0.53 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
9th · 2-0-6 · GD -10
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.26 0.57 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.39 0.56 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
BOCA OC (2)
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.20 0.55 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.76 0.56 Upside
Tue May 25
05:00 PM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -9
Away
South Fontana
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.24 0.59 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Zeta Academy
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Away
Portola Springs Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.83 0.60 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Zeta Academy
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–1 1.06 0.62 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 BOCA OC (2) 3300 121+11 93.00 WWW +0.04 -0.20 100% 1.1
2 EMPIRE SC 4301 138+5 92.25 WWWL -0.18 -0.05 62% 4.1
3 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 6411 139+4 132.17 WDLWW +0.14 -0.12 60% 4.2
4 Rayados Academy San Diego 5311 96+3 102.00 LDWWW +0.07 -0.10 44% 4.9
5 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 5302 1611+5 91.80 WWLWL -0.03 -0.09 58% 4.3
6 Rangers FC 2 6312 1712+5 101.67 LWLWD -0.04 -0.08 40% 5.1
7 Chula Vista FC 2 6303 1814+4 91.50 WLWWL -0.16 -0.02 23% 6.1
8 Reds FC 2 5212 1010+0 71.40 WLLWD -0.21 +0.04 3% 8.2
9 Crusaders SC 8206 1020-10 60.75 WLLLL -0.02 +0.09 0% 11.1
10 Elite FC 2 6105 419-15 30.50 LLLLW +0.21 +0.05 0% 11.9
11 AC Brea (2) 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.02 ——
12 Zeta Academy 1001 03-3 00.00 +0.00 +0.04 0% 10.2
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 110-9 00.00 LLL -0.29 +0.16 0% 12.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.11 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.