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Rangers FC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U19 · 13 teams · Rangers FC (all teams)

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6th
3-1-2 record · 6 played
1.67 points per game
+5 goal diff · 17–12
LWLWDlast 5
40% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.0
-0.04 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 09:00 AM

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Rangers FC 2
6th · 1.67 PPG
vs
EMPIRE SC
2nd · 2.25 PPG

Fullerton College, Sherbeck Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.8 for, 2.6 against · 1.53 expected points)

Season so farRangers FC 2EMPIRE SC
Position6th2nd
Record (W-D-L)3-1-23-0-1
Points per game1.672.25
Goals for / game2.83.3
Goals against / game2.02.0
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)D W L W LL W W W
Biggest win8–1 vs Elite FC 26–3 at Reds FC 2
Worst loss0–3 vs BOCA OC (2)1–2 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.52+0.63
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.04-0.17

Common opponents: Elite FC 2 — we 8–1; they 3–1. ALBION SC San Diego (1) — we 3–2; they 1–2. Reds FC 2 — we 3–3; they 6–3.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    EMPIRE SC score 3.2/game — well above the league's 2.2.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 vs BOCA OC (2), 0–3 at Rayados Academy San Diego.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 45% / draw 18% / loss 37%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Rayados Academy San Diego sit 5th on 1.83 PPG; we are on 1.67.

    A point moves us above Rayados Academy San Diego on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the EMPIRE SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rangers FC 2 – EMPIRE SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.57 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 8th▼ down 2
Win
1.86 PPG
4th▲ up 2 4th▲ up 2 4th▲ up 2
Draw
1.57 PPG
6th— holds 6th— holds 8th▼ down 2
Loss
1.43 PPG
7th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
40% top 4
60% below the top 4
5.0 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 10%
  3. 3rd 15%
  4. 4th 16%
  5. 5th 19%
  6. 6th 16%
  7. 7th 15%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 BOCA OC (2) 3.00 (+1.33) 1st (2.45) 62 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
2 EMPIRE SC 2.25 (+0.58) 3rd (1.84) 44 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
3 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 2.17 (+0.50) 4th (1.83) 43 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 2.00 (+0.33) 2nd (1.91) 38 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
5 Rayados Academy San Diego 1.83 (+0.16) 6th (1.70) A point next game

How the results connect

13 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Rangers FC 2 to EMPIRE SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
2 even
6 favour them
+0.1 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–2 2–1 3–3 3–6 8–1 1–3 0–1 3–0 0–1 0–1 0–3 1–1 3–1 2–3 3–4 4–3 0–3 Rangers FC 2 6th ALBION SC San Diego… 3rd Reds FC 2 8th Elite FC 2 11th Crusaders SC 9th Rayados Academy San… 5th Chula Vista FC 2 7th EMPIRE SC 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.10 · 9th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +5
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–2 1.53 1.65 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
06:15 PM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -9
Away
RJRSP
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
3–1 2.37 1.74 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
09:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +7
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
3–2 1.48 1.71 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -15
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.36 1.77 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
08:00 AM
BOCA OC (2)
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.57 1.66 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +4
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–2 1.54 1.65 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.56 1.65 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
7th · 3-0-3 · GD +4
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
3–2 1.67 1.65 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
9th · 2-0-6 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.15 1.68 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.90 1.70 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
3–2 2.04 1.72 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
2–2 1.18 1.69 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -9
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.57 1.73 Bank it
Sat May 8
12:00 PM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +7
Away
Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–3 1.12 1.70 Upside
Sun May 23
08:30 AM
AC Brea (2)
10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2
Away
Grass - Whittier College · grass
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
3–2 1.71 1.70 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Chula Vista FC 2
7th · 3-0-3 · GD +4
Away
Hoover High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
38%
2–2 1.32 1.69 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Zeta Academy
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.23 1.71 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Zeta Academy
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.96 1.72 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 BOCA OC (2) 3300 121+11 93.00 WWW +0.10 -0.22 100% 1.1
2 EMPIRE SC 4301 138+5 92.25 WWWL -0.17 -0.07 64% 4.0
3 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 6411 139+4 132.17 WDLWW +0.14 -0.14 59% 4.2
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6402 2114+7 122.00 WLWLW -0.08 -0.12 73% 3.6
5 Rayados Academy San Diego 6321 118+3 111.83 DWWDW +0.03 -0.11 38% 5.1
6 Rangers FC 2 6312 1712+5 101.67 LWLWD -0.04 -0.10 40% 5.0
7 Chula Vista FC 2 6303 1814+4 91.50 WLWWL -0.14 -0.05 20% 6.1
8 Reds FC 2 5212 1010+0 71.40 WLLWD -0.21 +0.02 3% 8.0
9 Crusaders SC 8206 1020-10 60.75 WLLLL +0.01 +0.06 0% 11.0
10 AC Brea (2) 2011 57-2 10.50 DL +0.58 -0.06 2% 8.5
11 Elite FC 2 6105 419-15 30.50 LLLLW +0.24 +0.03 0% 11.9
12 Zeta Academy 1001 03-3 00.00 +0.00 +0.03 0% 10.0
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 110-9 00.00 LLL -0.28 +0.15 0% 12.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.21 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.