Crusaders SC
Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U19 · 13 teams · Crusaders SC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM
O'Farrell Charter High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.4 for, 3.4 against · 0.50 expected points)
| Season so far | Crusaders SC | Chula Vista FC 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-6 | 3-0-3 |
| Points per game | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 1.3 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 4 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L W | L W W L W |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) | 4–1 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) |
| Worst loss | 0–5 at BOCA OC (2) | 1–3 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.09 | +0.40 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.01 | -0.14 |
Common opponents: ALBION SC San Diego (1) — we 3–4; they 1–3. FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) — we 3–0; they 4–1. ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 — we 1–6; they 5–3. Elite FC 2 — we 0–1; they 3–0.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–5 at BOCA OC (2), 0–3 at Rangers FC 2, 0–1 at Reds FC 2, 0–1 vs Elite FC 2.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 12%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 09:00 AM at O'Farrell Charter High School.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Chula Vista FC 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Crusaders SC – Chula Vista FC 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.67 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 10th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.00 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
| Draw 0.78 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
| Loss 0.67 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 10th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 9th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th <1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th 1%
- 9th 5%
- 10th 20%
- 11th 40%
- 12th 25%
- 13th 8%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.28 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOCA OC (2) | 3.00 (+2.25) | 1st (2.45) | 69 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | EMPIRE SC | 2.25 (+1.50) | 3rd (1.84) | 51 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 3 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 2.17 (+1.42) | 4th (1.83) | 49 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 2.00 (+1.25) | 2nd (1.91) | 44 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection |
| 5 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 1.83 (+1.08) | 6th (1.70) | 40 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection |
| 6 | Rangers FC 2 | 1.67 (+0.92) | 5th (1.72) | 36 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection |
| 7 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 1.50 (+0.75) | 7th (1.60) | 32 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection |
| 8 | Reds FC 2 | 1.40 (+0.65) | 8th (1.34) | 29 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
How the results connect
18 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Crusaders SC to Chula Vista FC 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.06 · 2nd hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 09:00 AM |
Chula Vista FC 2 7th · 3-0-3 · GD +4 |
Away O'Farrell Charter High School · turf? |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.50 | 0.72 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 09:00 AM |
AC Brea (2) 10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2 |
Home Pershing Middle School |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.03 | 0.75 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 09:00 AM |
EMPIRE SC 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Home Pershing Middle School |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–2 | 0.65 | 0.74 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 01:00 PM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +4 |
Away Hickman Fields |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–2 | 0.53 | 0.73 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
BOCA OC (2) 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
0–3 | 0.30 | 0.69 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -9 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
1–1 | 1.49 | 0.75 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 4th · 4-0-2 · GD +7 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.38 | 0.73 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
Rayados Academy San Diego 5th · 3-2-1 · GD +3 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.78 | 0.73 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
Rangers FC 2 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.69 | 0.73 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
Reds FC 2 8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–2 | 0.99 | 0.74 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Elite FC 2 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -15 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
1–1 | 1.49 | 0.78 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
Chula Vista FC 2 7th · 3-0-3 · GD +4 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.73 | 0.78 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
AC Brea (2) 10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.76 | 0.78 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
EMPIRE SC 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.44 | 0.76 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Rayados Academy San Diego 5th · 3-2-1 · GD +3 |
Away SONIA SOTOMAYOR ELEMENTARY SCHOOL |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
0–2 | 0.59 | 0.75 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Zeta Academy 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Home Town Center Community Park East |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–1 | 1.31 | 0.78 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Zeta Academy 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.05 | 0.79 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | BOCA OC (2) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | +0.10 | -0.22 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at EMPIRE SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | EMPIRE SC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | -0.17 | -0.07 | 62% | 4.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Rangers FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at Crusaders SC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 13 | 2.17 | WDLWW | +0.14 | -0.14 | 61% | 4.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Elite FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 12 | 2.00 | WLWLW | -0.08 | -0.12 | 74% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 21 at Rangers FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 11 | 1.83 | DWWDW | +0.03 | -0.11 | 35% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Reds FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 8 vs EMPIRE SC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Rangers FC 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 10 | 1.67 | LWLWD | -0.04 | -0.10 | 41% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs EMPIRE SC · Sun Nov 8 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sat Nov 21 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 9 | 1.50 | WLWWL | -0.14 | -0.05 | 23% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Crusaders SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at AC Brea (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Reds FC 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 7 | 1.40 | WLLWD | -0.21 | +0.02 | 3% | 8.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Rayados Academy San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at AC Brea (2) See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Crusaders SC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 6 | 0.75 | WLLLL | +0.01 | +0.06 | 0% | 11.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs AC Brea (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs EMPIRE SC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | AC Brea (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | 0.50 | DL | +0.58 | -0.06 | 2% | 8.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Crusaders SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs Chula Vista FC 2 See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Elite FC 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLLW | +0.24 | +0.03 | 0% | 11.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at BOCA OC (2) · Sun Nov 8 at Reds FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Zeta Academy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | 0% | 10.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Tue May 25 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Tue May 25 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 · Tue May 25 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) See all 24 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | -0.28 | +0.15 | 0% | 12.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs Rayados Academy San Diego See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.21 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.