Chula Vista FC 2
Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U19 · 13 teams · Chula Vista FC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM
O'Farrell Charter High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.4 for, 1.4 against · 2.36 expected points)
| Season so far | Chula Vista FC 2 | Crusaders SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-3 | 2-0-6 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W L W | L L L L W |
| Biggest win | 4–1 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) | 3–0 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) |
| Worst loss | 1–3 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 0–5 at BOCA OC (2) |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.40 | -1.09 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.14 | +0.01 |
Common opponents: ALBION SC San Diego (1) — we 1–3; they 3–4. FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) — we 4–1; they 3–0. ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 — we 5–3; they 1–6. Elite FC 2 — we 3–0; they 0–1.
Game plan
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 74% chance; likely score 3–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Confidence is low on their side
Crusaders SC have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
Rangers FC 2 sit 6th on 1.67 PPG; we are on 1.50.A point moves us above Rangers FC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Crusaders SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chula Vista FC 2 – Crusaders SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.71 PPG |
6th▲ up 1 | 6th▲ up 1 | 6th▲ up 1 |
| Win 1.71 PPG |
6th▲ up 1 | 6th▲ up 1 | 6th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.43 PPG |
7th— holds | 7th— holds | 8th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.29 PPG |
8th▼ down 1 | 7th— holds | 8th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 4%
- 3rd 7%
- 4th 9%
- 5th 16%
- 6th 19%
- 7th 23%
- 8th 14%
- 9th 6%
- 10th 1%
- 11th <1%
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOCA OC (2) | 3.00 (+1.50) | 1st (2.45) | 63 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection |
| 2 | EMPIRE SC | 2.25 (+0.75) | 3rd (1.84) | 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection |
| 3 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 2.17 (+0.67) | 4th (1.83) | 44 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 2.00 (+0.50) | 2nd (1.91) | 39 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection |
| 5 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 1.83 (+0.33) | 6th (1.70) | 35 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 6 | Rangers FC 2 | 1.67 (+0.17) | 5th (1.72) | A point next game |
How the results connect
18 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Chula Vista FC 2 to Crusaders SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.05 · 6th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 09:00 AM |
Crusaders SC 9th · 2-0-6 · GD -10 |
Home O'Farrell Charter High School · turf? |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
3–1 | 2.36 | 1.62 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 09:00 AM |
Reds FC 2 8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0 |
Home O'Farrell Charter High School · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
2–2 | 1.85 | 1.65 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
AC Brea (2) 10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2 |
Away Whittier College · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
3–2 | 1.64 | 1.65 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC San Diego (1) 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +4 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.47 | 1.63 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 13th · 0-0-3 · GD -9 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
3–1 | 2.55 | 1.72 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
EMPIRE SC 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–3 | 1.10 | 1.66 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
BOCA OC (2) 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–3 | 0.74 | 1.59 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
Rangers FC 2 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–3 | 1.16 | 1.56 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 4th · 4-0-2 · GD +7 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
2–3 | 1.04 | 1.53 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
Elite FC 2 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -15 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
3–1 | 2.54 | 1.59 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Rayados Academy San Diego 5th · 3-2-1 · GD +3 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
1–2 | 1.20 | 1.57 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
Crusaders SC 9th · 2-0-6 · GD -10 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–1 | 2.11 | 1.60 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
Reds FC 2 8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–2 | 1.52 | 1.59 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 05:50 PM |
BOCA OC (2) 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11 |
Away El Rancho Charter School (Track Field) |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–3 | 0.51 | 1.54 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
AC Brea (2) 10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
3–2 | 1.99 | 1.56 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Rangers FC 2 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5 |
Home Hoover High School · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–2 | 1.51 | 1.56 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Zeta Academy 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
3–1 | 2.19 | 1.59 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
Zeta Academy 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Away Portola Springs Community Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 58% |
2–1 | 1.90 | 1.60 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | BOCA OC (2) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | +11 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | +0.10 | -0.22 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at EMPIRE SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Elite FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | EMPIRE SC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | -0.17 | -0.07 | 63% | 4.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs BOCA OC (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Rangers FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at Crusaders SC See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | ALBION SC San Diego (1) | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 13 | 2.17 | WDLWW | +0.14 | -0.14 | 57% | 4.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Elite FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 12 | 2.00 | WLWLW | -0.08 | -0.12 | 75% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 21 at Rangers FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Rayados Academy San Diego | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 11 | 1.83 | DWWDW | +0.03 | -0.11 | 38% | 5.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Reds FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sun Nov 8 vs EMPIRE SC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Rangers FC 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 10 | 1.67 | LWLWD | -0.04 | -0.10 | 42% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs EMPIRE SC · Sun Nov 8 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) · Sat Nov 21 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Chula Vista FC 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 9 | 1.50 | WLWWL | -0.14 | -0.05 | 21% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Crusaders SC · Sun Nov 1 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at AC Brea (2) See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Reds FC 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 7 | 1.40 | WLLWD | -0.21 | +0.02 | 3% | 7.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Rayados Academy San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Nov 7 at AC Brea (2) See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Crusaders SC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 6 | 0.75 | WLLLL | +0.01 | +0.06 | 0% | 11.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Chula Vista FC 2 · Sat Oct 31 vs AC Brea (2) · Sat Nov 7 vs EMPIRE SC See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | AC Brea (2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | 0.50 | DL | +0.58 | -0.06 | 2% | 8.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Crusaders SC · Sat Nov 7 vs Reds FC 2 · Sun Nov 8 vs Chula Vista FC 2 See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Elite FC 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLLW | +0.24 | +0.03 | 0% | 11.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sat Nov 7 at BOCA OC (2) · Sun Nov 8 at Reds FC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Zeta Academy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.00 | +0.03 | 0% | 10.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Tue May 25 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 · Tue May 25 at Rayados Academy San Diego · Tue May 25 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) See all 24 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | -0.28 | +0.15 | 0% | 12.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC San Diego (1) · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 · Sat Nov 7 vs Rayados Academy San Diego See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.21 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.