TableChase Clubs

Chula Vista FC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · SD / OC / IE U19 · 13 teams · Chula Vista FC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
7th
3-0-3 record · 6 played
1.50 points per game
+4 goal diff · 18–14
WLWWLlast 5
21% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.0
-0.14 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

Open the match preview →

Chula Vista FC 2
7th · 1.50 PPG
vs
Crusaders SC
9th · 0.75 PPG

O'Farrell Charter High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.4 for, 1.4 against · 2.36 expected points)

Season so farChula Vista FC 2Crusaders SC
Position7th9th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-32-0-6
Points per game1.500.75
Goals for / game3.01.3
Goals against / game2.32.5
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless04
Form (recent first)L W W L WL L L L W
Biggest win4–1 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)3–0 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
Worst loss1–3 at ALBION SC San Diego (1)0–5 at BOCA OC (2)
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.40-1.09
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.14+0.01

Common opponents: ALBION SC San Diego (1) — we 1–3; they 3–4. FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) — we 4–1; they 3–0. ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 — we 5–3; they 1–6. Elite FC 2 — we 3–0; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 74% chance; likely score 3–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Crusaders SC have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Rangers FC 2 sit 6th on 1.67 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above Rangers FC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Crusaders SC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chula Vista FC 2 – Crusaders SC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.71 PPG
6th▲ up 1 6th▲ up 1 6th▲ up 1
Win
1.71 PPG
6th▲ up 1 6th▲ up 1 6th▲ up 1
Draw
1.43 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1
Loss
1.29 PPG
8th▼ down 1 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
21% top 4
79% below the top 4
6.0 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 4%
  3. 3rd 7%
  4. 4th 9%
  5. 5th 16%
  6. 6th 19%
  7. 7th 23%
  8. 8th 14%
  9. 9th 6%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 BOCA OC (2) 3.00 (+1.50) 1st (2.45) 63 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
2 EMPIRE SC 2.25 (+0.75) 3rd (1.84) 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
3 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 2.17 (+0.67) 4th (1.83) 44 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 2.00 (+0.50) 2nd (1.91) 39 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
5 Rayados Academy San Diego 1.83 (+0.33) 6th (1.70) 35 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
6 Rangers FC 2 1.67 (+0.17) 5th (1.72) A point next game

How the results connect

18 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Chula Vista FC 2 to Crusaders SC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

11 favour us
4 even
3 favour them
+2.1 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–1 0–3 1–3 4–3 3–0 1–0 5–3 6–1 3–4 1–1 2–3 3–0 1–0 1–0 1–0 1–8 2–3 1–2 0–3 0–2 Chula Vista FC 2 7th FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 13th ALBION SC San Diego… 3rd Elite FC 2 11th ALBION SC Santa Ana… 4th Rayados Academy San… 5th EMPIRE SC 2nd Rangers FC 2 6th Reds FC 2 8th Crusaders SC 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 7th 13th Sep 5 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.05 · 6th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
Crusaders SC
9th · 2-0-6 · GD -10
Home
O'Farrell Charter High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.36 1.62 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
Reds FC 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0
Home
O'Farrell Charter High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–2 1.85 1.65 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2
Away
Whittier College · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
3–2 1.64 1.65 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego (1)
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +4
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.47 1.63 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2)
13th · 0-0-3 · GD -9
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.55 1.72 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
EMPIRE SC
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
2–3 1.10 1.66 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
BOCA OC (2)
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–3 0.74 1.59 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–3 1.16 1.56 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana 2
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
29%
2–3 1.04 1.53 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Elite FC 2
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -15
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.54 1.59 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Rayados Academy San Diego
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–2 1.20 1.57 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Crusaders SC
9th · 2-0-6 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.11 1.60 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Reds FC 2
8th · 2-1-2 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–2 1.52 1.59 Swing game
Sat May 1
05:50 PM
BOCA OC (2)
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +11
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.51 1.54 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
AC Brea (2)
10th · 0-1-1 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
3–2 1.99 1.56 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Rangers FC 2
6th · 3-1-2 · GD +5
Home
Hoover High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–2 1.51 1.56 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Zeta Academy
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
3–1 2.19 1.59 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Zeta Academy
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Away
Portola Springs Community Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.90 1.60 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 BOCA OC (2) 3300 121+11 93.00 WWW +0.10 -0.22 100% 1.1
2 EMPIRE SC 4301 138+5 92.25 WWWL -0.17 -0.07 63% 4.0
3 ALBION SC San Diego (1) 6411 139+4 132.17 WDLWW +0.14 -0.14 57% 4.3
4 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2 6402 2114+7 122.00 WLWLW -0.08 -0.12 75% 3.5
5 Rayados Academy San Diego 6321 118+3 111.83 DWWDW +0.03 -0.11 38% 5.2
6 Rangers FC 2 6312 1712+5 101.67 LWLWD -0.04 -0.10 42% 5.0
7 Chula Vista FC 2 6303 1814+4 91.50 WLWWL -0.14 -0.05 21% 6.0
8 Reds FC 2 5212 1010+0 71.40 WLLWD -0.21 +0.02 3% 7.9
9 Crusaders SC 8206 1020-10 60.75 WLLLL +0.01 +0.06 0% 11.1
10 AC Brea (2) 2011 57-2 10.50 DL +0.58 -0.06 2% 8.6
11 Elite FC 2 6105 419-15 30.50 LLLLW +0.24 +0.03 0% 11.9
12 Zeta Academy 1001 03-3 00.00 +0.00 +0.03 0% 10.0
13 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (2) 3003 110-9 00.00 LLL -0.28 +0.15 0% 12.4

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.21 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.