TableChase Clubs

Los Angeles SC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U15 · 12 teams · Los Angeles SC (all teams)

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11th
0-1-5 record · 6 played
0.17 points per game
-19 goal diff · 2–21
LDLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.2
+0.04 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:00 PM

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Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0.17 PPG
vs
Pride FC
7th · 1.20 PPG

West Covina High School, Thyberg Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.6 against · 0.55 expected points)

Season so farLos Angeles SC 2Pride FC
Position11th7th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-52-0-3
Points per game0.171.20
Goals for / game0.32.0
Goals against / game3.52.0
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless51
Form (recent first)L L L D LL L L W W
Biggest win—5–0 at City SC Los Angeles 2
Worst loss0–6 vs Autobahn SA0–5 at Bell Gardens Football Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.01-0.16
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.04-0.42

Common opponents: FC Golden State Force (2) — we 2–2; they 3–0. City SC Los Angeles 2 — we 0–2; they 5–0. Bell Gardens Football Club — we 0–4; they 0–5. Downey United Football Club — we 0–3; they 1–3.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 5 time(s): 0–4 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club, 0–6 vs Autobahn SA, 0–2 vs City SC Los Angeles 2, 0–4 at Bell Gardens Football Club, 0–3 at Downey United Football Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 13%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Pride FC have lost 3 straight (form: WWLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • What a win does
    LAIFC (2) sit 10th on 0.57 PPG; we are on 0.17.

    A point moves us above LAIFC (2) on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pride FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Los Angeles SC 2 – Pride FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.14 PPG
12th▼ down 1 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Win
0.57 PPG
11th— holds 9th▲ up 2 12th▼ down 1
Draw
0.29 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1
Loss
0.14 PPG
12th▼ down 1 11th— holds 12th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 4%
  11. 11th 69%
  12. 12th 27%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.23 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Culver City 3.00 (+2.83) 1st (2.72) 65 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 59 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Autobahn SA 2.50 (+2.33) 2nd (2.53) 54 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.50 (+2.33) 4th (1.86) 54 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
4 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 2.00 (+1.83) 5th (1.79) 43 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
5 Bell Gardens Football Club 1.83 (+1.66) 3rd (1.90) 40 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
6 Downey United Football Club 1.43 (+1.26) 6th (1.53) 31 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
7 Pride FC 1.20 (+1.03) 7th (1.28) 26 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
8 City SC Los Angeles 2 1.00 (+0.83) 10th (0.89) 21 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
9 FC Premier 0.67 (+0.50) 8th (1.16) 14 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
10 LAIFC (2) 0.57 (+0.40) 9th (0.92) A point next game

How the results connect

13 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Los Angeles SC 2 to Pride FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
1 even
8 favour them
-1.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 3–1 0–4 5–0 2–2 0–3 0–2 0–5 0–4 7–0 1–2 0–6 11–1 1–2 2–1 8–0 2–1 0–5 Los Angeles SC 2 11th Downey United Footb… 6th Bell Gardens Footba… 5th FC Golden State For… 12th City SC Los Angeles… 8th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 4th Autobahn SA 2nd Total Futbol Academ… 3rd Pride FC 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.22 · 1st hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
03:00 PM
Pride FC
7th · 2-0-3 · GD +0
Home
West Covina High School
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.55 0.22 Upside
Sun Nov 1
12:20 PM
FC Premier
9th · 0-2-1 · GD -4
Away
Fullerton High School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–2 0.49 0.26 Upside
Sun Nov 8
10:30 AM
LAIFC (2)
10th · 1-1-5 · GD -8
Away
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–2 0.57 0.29 Upside
Sat Nov 14
03:00 PM
Culver City
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +24
Away
Culver City High School
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–4 0.03 0.26 Upside
Sun Nov 15
03:00 PM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +7
Home
West Covina High School
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.30 0.27 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +26
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–6 0.02 0.25 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
12th · 0-1-5 · GD -31
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
1–1 1.49 0.34 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -12
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.79 0.37 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +9
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–3 0.25 0.37 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.21 0.36 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
6th · 3-1-3 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.43 0.36 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Pride FC
7th · 2-0-3 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.39 0.36 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
FC Premier
9th · 0-2-1 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.68 0.38 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
10th · 1-1-5 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.77 0.40 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +5
Home
West Covina High School
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.33 0.40 Upside
Thu May 27
03:00 PM
Culver City
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +24
Home
West Covina High School
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–4 0.06 0.38 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Culver City 6600 251+24 183.00 WWWWW -0.21 -0.28 100% 1.3
2 Autobahn SA 6501 315+26 152.50 WWWWW -0.19 -0.29 100% 1.8
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6501 1712+5 152.50 WLWWW +0.03 -0.10 63% 4.2
4 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6402 1811+7 122.00 WLWWL -0.25 +0.02 49% 4.5
5 Bell Gardens Football Club 6321 156+9 111.83 WDWLW -0.07 -0.10 75% 3.9
6 Downey United Football Club 7313 1411+3 101.43 DWWLW +0.11 -0.11 11% 5.9
7 Pride FC 5203 1010+0 61.20 WWLLL -0.42 +0.16 1% 7.2
8 City SC Los Angeles 2 6204 618-12 61.00 LWLLW +0.12 +0.10 0% 9.3
9 FC Premier 3021 48-4 20.67 DDL +0.60 -0.05 0% 7.9
10 LAIFC (2) 7115 1119-8 40.57 LDLLL +0.07 +0.05 0% 9.1
11 Los Angeles SC 2 6015 221-19 10.17 LDLLL +0.04 +0.22 0% 11.2
12 FC Golden State Force (2) 6015 334-31 10.17 LDLLL +0.60 +0.20 0% 11.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.