Culver City
Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U15 · 12 teams · Culver City Football Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:00 PM
Culver City High School, Helms Field ↗
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 3–0 (expected goals 4.0 for, 0.7 against · 2.80 expected points)
| Season so far | Culver City | FC Premier |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 9th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-0-0 | 0-2-1 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 0.67 |
| Goals for / game | 4.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.2 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W W | L D D |
| Biggest win | 8–0 vs FC Golden State Force (2) | — |
| Worst loss | — | 1–5 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.54 | -0.53 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.21 | +0.60 |
Common opponents: Bell Gardens Football Club — we 2–1; they 1–1.
Game plan
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 91% chance; likely score 3–0.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Premier game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Culver City – FC Premier) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.71 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Loss 2.57 PPG |
1st— holds | 2nd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 3–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 74%
- 2nd 25%
- 3rd <1%
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
8 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Culver City to FC Premier through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.28 · 11th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 03:00 PM |
FC Premier 9th · 0-2-1 · GD -4 |
Home Culver City High School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 91% |
3–0 | 2.80 | 2.97 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 01:30 PM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +5 |
Away Hoover High School · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
3–1 | 2.42 | 2.90 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 10:25 AM |
Pride FC 7th · 2-0-3 · GD +0 |
Away Borchard Community Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
3–0 | 2.58 | 2.87 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 14 03:00 PM |
Los Angeles SC 2 11th · 0-1-5 · GD -19 |
Home Culver City High School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 98% |
4–0 | 2.95 | 2.87 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 06:40 PM |
Autobahn SA 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +26 |
Home Culver City High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–1 | 1.79 | 2.78 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
LAIFC (2) 10th · 1-1-5 · GD -8 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
4–0 | 2.84 | 2.78 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM |
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 4th · 4-0-2 · GD +7 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–1 | 2.35 | 2.75 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
City SC Los Angeles 2 8th · 2-0-4 · GD -12 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 95% |
4–0 | 2.89 | 2.76 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 12:05 PM |
Downey United Football Club 6th · 3-1-3 · GD +3 |
Away St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf? |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–0 | 2.38 | 2.73 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Bell Gardens Football Club 5th · 3-2-1 · GD +9 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
2–0 | 2.29 | 2.71 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 12:00 AM |
FC Golden State Force (2) 12th · 0-1-5 · GD -31 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 99% |
6–0 | 2.98 | 2.72 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 12:20 PM |
FC Premier 9th · 0-2-1 · GD -4 |
Away St John Bosco High School · turf |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
3–0 | 2.69 | 2.72 | Bank it |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +5 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
3–0 | 2.60 | 2.71 | Bank it |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
Pride FC 7th · 2-0-3 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 88% |
3–0 | 2.72 | 2.71 | Bank it |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Downey United Football Club 6th · 3-1-3 · GD +3 |
Home Culver City High School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
2–0 | 2.55 | 2.71 | Bank it |
| Thu May 27 03:00 PM |
Los Angeles SC 2 11th · 0-1-5 · GD -19 |
Away West Covina High School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 96% |
4–0 | 2.91 | 2.72 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Culver City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | +24 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.21 | -0.28 | 100% | 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Premier · Sun Nov 1 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Pride FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Autobahn SA | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5 | +26 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWWW | -0.19 | -0.29 | 100% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LAIFC (2) · Sun Oct 25 vs City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 1 at Pride FC See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 15 | 2.50 | WLWWW | +0.03 | -0.10 | 63% | 4.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Oct 25 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Culver City See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 12 | 2.00 | WLWWL | -0.25 | +0.02 | 49% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Premier · Sun Oct 25 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 1 vs Downey United Football Club See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Bell Gardens Football Club | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 11 | 1.83 | WDWLW | -0.07 | -0.10 | 75% | 3.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sat Nov 7 at City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Autobahn SA See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Downey United Football Club | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 10 | 1.43 | DWWLW | +0.11 | -0.11 | 11% | 5.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sat Nov 14 at Autobahn SA See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Pride FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 6 | 1.20 | WWLLL | -0.42 | +0.16 | 1% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs FC Premier · Sat Oct 24 at Los Angeles SC 2 · Sun Oct 25 at LAIFC (2) See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | City SC Los Angeles 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 6 | 1.00 | LWLLW | +0.12 | +0.10 | 0% | 9.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Autobahn SA · Sat Nov 7 vs Bell Gardens Football Club · Sat Nov 14 at FC Premier See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | FC Premier | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 | 0.67 | DDL | +0.60 | -0.05 | 0% | 7.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at Pride FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Culver City See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | LAIFC (2) | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 4 | 0.57 | LDLLL | +0.07 | +0.05 | 0% | 9.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Autobahn SA · Sun Oct 25 vs Pride FC · Sun Nov 8 vs Los Angeles SC 2 See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Los Angeles SC 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 21 | -19 | 1 | 0.17 | LDLLL | +0.04 | +0.22 | 0% | 11.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Pride FC · Sun Nov 1 at FC Premier · Sun Nov 8 at LAIFC (2) See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | FC Golden State Force (2) | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 34 | -31 | 1 | 0.17 | LDLLL | +0.60 | +0.20 | 0% | 11.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Oct 25 at Downey United Football Club · Sun Nov 1 at Bell Gardens Football Club See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.