TableChase Clubs

LAIFC (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U15 · 12 teams · LAIFC (all teams)

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10th
1-1-5 record · 7 played
0.57 points per game
-8 goal diff · 11–19
LDLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.1
+0.07 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:15 PM

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LAIFC (2)
10th · 0.57 PPG
at
Autobahn SA
2nd · 2.50 PPG

Historic Belmar Park, Historic Belmar Park ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–5 (expected goals 1.0 for, 5.1 against · 0.11 expected points)

Season so farLAIFC (2)Autobahn SA
Position10th2nd
Record (W-D-L)1-1-55-0-1
Points per game0.572.50
Goals for / game1.65.2
Goals against / game2.70.8
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L L L D LW W W W W
Biggest win3–0 at FC Golden State Force (2)11–1 at FC Golden State Force (2)
Worst loss0–5 vs Culver City0–2 vs Culver City
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.78+2.79
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.07-0.19

Common opponents: FC Golden State Force (2) — we 3–0; they 11–1. Culver City — we 0–5; they 0–2. Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club — we 2–3; they 4–1. Downey United Football Club — we 2–3; they 2–1. Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 — we 1–3; they 8–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Autobahn SA score 5.2/game — well above the league's 2.2.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Autobahn SA concede only 0.8/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–5 vs Culver City.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 2%; a draw (4%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Autobahn SA have won 5 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 02:15 PM at Historic Belmar Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    FC Premier sit 9th on 0.67 PPG; we are on 0.57.

    A point moves us above FC Premier on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Autobahn SA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LAIFC (2) – Autobahn SA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.50 PPG
10th— holds 9th▲ up 1 12th▼ down 2
Win
0.88 PPG
9th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 2 10th— holds
Draw
0.63 PPG
10th— holds 9th▲ up 1 11th▼ down 1
Loss
0.50 PPG
10th— holds 9th▲ up 1 12th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–5 loss we finish as high as 9th if every rival drops points, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 5%
  8. 8th 18%
  9. 9th 39%
  10. 10th 34%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.23 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Culver City 3.00 (+2.43) 1st (2.72) 62 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Autobahn SA 2.50 (+1.93) 2nd (2.53) 51 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.50 (+1.93) 4th (1.86) 51 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
4 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 2.00 (+1.43) 5th (1.79) 40 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
5 Bell Gardens Football Club 1.83 (+1.26) 3rd (1.90) 37 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
6 Downey United Football Club 1.43 (+0.86) 6th (1.53) 28 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
7 Pride FC 1.20 (+0.63) 7th (1.28) 23 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
8 City SC Los Angeles 2 1.00 (+0.43) 10th (0.89) 18 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
9 FC Premier 0.67 (+0.10) 8th (1.16) A point next game

How the results connect

23 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link LAIFC (2) to Autobahn SA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
21 favour them
-4.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 1–2 0–5 2–0 2–3 1–4 3–0 1–11 1–3 0–8 2–2 2–1 1–2 2–1 4–0 0–6 4–0 0–4 2–2 LAIFC (2) 10th Downey United Footb… 6th Culver City 1st Sporting So-Cal Soc… 4th FC Golden State For… 12th Total Futbol Academ… 3rd Bell Gardens Footba… 5th Los Angeles SC 2 11th Autobahn SA 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.05 · 5th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
02:15 PM
Autobahn SA
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +26
Away
Historic Belmar Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–5 0.11 0.51 Upside
Sun Oct 25
10:30 AM
Pride FC
7th · 2-0-3 · GD +0
Home
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–2 1.21 0.59 Upside
Sun Nov 8
10:30 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0-1-5 · GD -19
Home
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
2–1 2.27 0.76 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
10:30 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
12th · 0-1-5 · GD -31
Home
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.56 0.92 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Culver City
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +24
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.11 0.85 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +9
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.45 0.82 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
6th · 3-1-3 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.97 0.83 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
FC Premier
9th · 0-2-1 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.41 0.87 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.86 0.87 Upside
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -12
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–1 1.54 0.91 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +26
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.19 0.87 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Pride FC
7th · 2-0-3 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.93 0.87 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0-1-5 · GD -19
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.03 0.93 Swing game
Sun May 9
01:00 PM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.55 0.91 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
FC Premier
9th · 0-2-1 · GD -4
Away
Fullerton High School · turf
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.12 0.92 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Culver City 6600 251+24 183.00 WWWWW -0.21 -0.28 100% 1.2
2 Autobahn SA 6501 315+26 152.50 WWWWW -0.19 -0.29 100% 1.8
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6501 1712+5 152.50 WLWWW +0.03 -0.10 62% 4.2
4 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6402 1811+7 122.00 WLWWL -0.25 +0.02 52% 4.5
5 Bell Gardens Football Club 6321 156+9 111.83 WDWLW -0.07 -0.10 73% 3.9
6 Downey United Football Club 7313 1411+3 101.43 DWWLW +0.11 -0.11 11% 5.8
7 Pride FC 5203 1010+0 61.20 WWLLL -0.42 +0.16 1% 7.3
8 City SC Los Angeles 2 6204 618-12 61.00 LWLLW +0.12 +0.10 0% 9.3
9 FC Premier 3021 48-4 20.67 DDL +0.60 -0.05 0% 7.9
10 LAIFC (2) 7115 1119-8 40.57 LDLLL +0.07 +0.05 0% 9.1
11 Los Angeles SC 2 6015 221-19 10.17 LDLLL +0.04 +0.22 0% 11.2
12 FC Golden State Force (2) 6015 334-31 10.17 LDLLL +0.60 +0.20 0% 11.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.