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Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U15 · 12 teams · Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (all teams)

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4th
4-0-2 record · 6 played
2.00 points per game
+7 goal diff · 18–11
WLWWLlast 5
50% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.5
-0.25 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:15 PM

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Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
4th · 2.00 PPG
at
FC Premier
9th · 0.67 PPG

Ocean View High School, Stadium Turf ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.7 for, 1.8 against · 1.91 expected points)

Season so farSporting So-Cal Soccer ClubFC Premier
Position4th9th
Record (W-D-L)4-0-20-2-1
Points per game2.000.67
Goals for / game3.01.3
Goals against / game1.82.7
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L W W L WL D D
Biggest win7–0 at FC Golden State Force (2)—
Worst loss0–4 at Culver City1–5 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.68-0.53
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.25+0.60

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 at Culver City.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 58% / draw 18% / loss 24%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 02:15 PM at Ocean View High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Premier game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club – FC Premier) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.14 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Win
2.14 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Draw
1.86 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 4th— holds
Loss
1.71 PPG
5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
50% top 4
50% below the top 4
4.5 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 22%
  4. 4th 28%
  5. 5th 30%
  6. 6th 15%
  7. 7th 4%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Culver City 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.72) 54 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
2 Autobahn SA 2.50 (+0.50) 2nd (2.53) 43 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.50 (+0.50) 4th (1.86) 43 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection

How the results connect

9 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club to FC Premier through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
2 even
2 favour them
+1.1 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–2 2–3 2–2 4–0 0–4 1–1 3–1 0–5 5–1 2–2 0–3 1–4 2–1 0–4 2–1 1–3 8–0 Sporting So-Cal Soc… 4th LAIFC (2) 10th Los Angeles SC 2 11th City SC Los Angeles… 8th Autobahn SA 2nd Culver City 1st Downey United Footb… 6th Bell Gardens Footba… 5th Total Futbol Academ… 3rd FC Premier 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.02 · 6th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
02:15 PM
FC Premier
9th · 0-2-1 · GD -4
Away
Ocean View High School · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.91 1.99 Swing game
Sun Oct 25
11:20 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +5
Home
Glendale High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–2 1.66 1.95 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
01:30 PM
Downey United Football Club
6th · 3-1-3 · GD +3
Home
Glendale High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.70 1.92 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
04:40 PM
Pride FC
7th · 2-0-3 · GD +0
Home
John Ferraro Athletic Fields · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.00 1.93 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
03:00 PM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0-1-5 · GD -19
Away
West Covina High School
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–0 2.60 1.99 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Pride FC
7th · 2-0-3 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.70 1.96 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Culver City
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +24
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–2 0.50 1.85 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
12th · 0-1-5 · GD -31
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
5–0 2.90 1.93 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +9
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 1.00 1.87 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -12
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
3–1 2.50 1.91 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +26
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.39 1.82 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
FC Premier
9th · 0-2-1 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
3–1 2.19 1.84 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
38%
2–2 1.33 1.81 Upside
Sun May 9
01:00 PM
LAIFC (2)
10th · 1-1-5 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
3–1 2.31 1.84 Bank it
Sun May 16
12:05 PM
Downey United Football Club
6th · 3-1-3 · GD +3
Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–1 1.41 1.81 Upside
Sun May 23
11:30 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +9
Home
Glendale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–2 1.29 1.79 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Culver City 6600 251+24 183.00 WWWWW -0.21 -0.28 100% 1.2
2 Autobahn SA 6501 315+26 152.50 WWWWW -0.19 -0.29 100% 1.8
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6501 1712+5 152.50 WLWWW +0.03 -0.10 62% 4.2
4 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6402 1811+7 122.00 WLWWL -0.25 +0.02 50% 4.5
5 Bell Gardens Football Club 6321 156+9 111.83 WDWLW -0.07 -0.10 75% 3.9
6 Downey United Football Club 7313 1411+3 101.43 DWWLW +0.11 -0.11 10% 5.9
7 Pride FC 5203 1010+0 61.20 WWLLL -0.42 +0.16 2% 7.3
8 City SC Los Angeles 2 6204 618-12 61.00 LWLLW +0.12 +0.10 0% 9.3
9 FC Premier 3021 48-4 20.67 DDL +0.60 -0.05 0% 7.9
10 LAIFC (2) 7115 1119-8 40.57 LDLLL +0.07 +0.05 0% 9.1
11 Los Angeles SC 2 6015 221-19 10.17 LDLLL +0.04 +0.22 0% 11.2
12 FC Golden State Force (2) 6015 334-31 10.17 LDLLL +0.60 +0.20 0% 11.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.