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Pride FC

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U15 · 12 teams · SoCal Pride FC (all teams)

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7th
2-0-3 record · 5 played
1.20 points per game
+0 goal diff · 10–10
WWLLLlast 5
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.2
-0.42 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:00 PM

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Pride FC
7th · 1.20 PPG
at
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0.17 PPG

West Covina High School, Thyberg Field ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.6 for, 1.0 against · 2.28 expected points)

Season so farPride FCLos Angeles SC 2
Position7th11th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-30-1-5
Points per game1.200.17
Goals for / game2.00.3
Goals against / game2.03.5
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless15
Form (recent first)L L L W WL L L D L
Biggest win5–0 at City SC Los Angeles 2—
Worst loss0–5 at Bell Gardens Football Club0–6 vs Autobahn SA
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.16-2.01
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.42+0.04

Common opponents: FC Golden State Force (2) — we 3–0; they 2–2. City SC Los Angeles 2 — we 5–0; they 0–2. Downey United Football Club — we 1–3; they 0–3. Bell Gardens Football Club — we 0–5; they 0–4.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Los Angeles SC 2 average 0.3 goals/game (league avg 2.2); blanked in 5 of 6.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Los Angeles SC 2 concede 3.5/game; worst result 0–6 vs Autobahn SA.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–5 at Bell Gardens Football Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 71% chance; likely score 2–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Los Angeles SC 2 have lost 3 straight (form: LDLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:00 PM at West Covina High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Downey United Football Club sit 6th on 1.43 PPG; we are on 1.20.

    A point moves us above Downey United Football Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Los Angeles SC 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pride FC – Los Angeles SC 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.50 PPG
6th▲ up 1 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1
Win
1.50 PPG
6th▲ up 1 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1
Draw
1.17 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 9th▼ down 2
Loss
1.00 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 9th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 6th if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
99% below the top 4
7.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th 16%
  7. 7th 44%
  8. 8th 23%
  9. 9th 8%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.59 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Culver City 3.00 (+1.80) 1st (2.72) 60 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Autobahn SA 2.50 (+1.30) 2nd (2.53) 49 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 2.50 (+1.30) 4th (1.86) 49 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
4 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 2.00 (+0.80) 5th (1.79) 38 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
5 Bell Gardens Football Club 1.83 (+0.63) 3rd (1.90) 35 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
6 Downey United Football Club 1.43 (+0.23) 6th (1.53) A point next game

How the results connect

13 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Pride FC to Los Angeles SC 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
1 even
4 favour them
+1.9 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–5 4–0 1–3 3–0 3–0 2–2 5–0 2–0 0–7 4–0 2–1 1–11 6–0 1–2 2–1 0–8 1–2 5–0 Pride FC 7th Bell Gardens Footba… 5th Downey United Footb… 6th FC Golden State For… 12th City SC Los Angeles… 8th Total Futbol Academ… 3rd Sporting So-Cal Soc… 4th Autobahn SA 2nd Los Angeles SC 2 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.16 · 3rd hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 11
05:25 PM
no score posted
FC Premier
9th · 0-2-1 · GD -4
Home
Borchard Community Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.75 1.29 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
03:00 PM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0-1-5 · GD -19
Away
West Covina High School
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
2–1 2.28 1.43 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
10:30 AM
LAIFC (2)
10th · 1-1-5 · GD -8
Away
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–1 1.59 1.45 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
Autobahn SA
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +26
Home
Borchard Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.34 1.33 Upside
Sat Nov 7
04:40 PM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +7
Away
John Ferraro Athletic Fields · turf
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.83 1.28 Upside
Sun Nov 8
10:25 AM
Culver City
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +24
Home
Borchard Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
7%
0–3 0.31 1.19 Upside
Sat Nov 14
11:30 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
12th · 0-1-5 · GD -31
Away
Rio Hondo College · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.57 1.31 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +7
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.11 1.29 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -12
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.13 1.35 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:05 PM
Downey United Football Club
6th · 3-1-3 · GD +3
Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 1.00 1.33 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.19 1.32 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:20 PM
FC Premier
9th · 0-2-1 · GD -4
Away
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●●●○ Tough
42%
2–1 1.45 1.33 Upside
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +9
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.90 1.30 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0-1-5 · GD -19
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
2–0 2.48 1.37 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
10th · 1-1-5 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.88 1.39 Swing game
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +26
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.21 1.33 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Culver City
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +24
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.20 1.28 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Culver City 6600 251+24 183.00 WWWWW -0.21 -0.28 100% 1.3
2 Autobahn SA 6501 315+26 152.50 WWWWW -0.19 -0.29 100% 1.8
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6501 1712+5 152.50 WLWWW +0.03 -0.10 64% 4.2
4 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6402 1811+7 122.00 WLWWL -0.25 +0.02 52% 4.5
5 Bell Gardens Football Club 6321 156+9 111.83 WDWLW -0.07 -0.10 73% 3.9
6 Downey United Football Club 7313 1411+3 101.43 DWWLW +0.11 -0.11 10% 5.9
7 Pride FC 5203 1010+0 61.20 WWLLL -0.42 +0.16 2% 7.2
8 City SC Los Angeles 2 6204 618-12 61.00 LWLLW +0.12 +0.10 0% 9.3
9 FC Premier 3021 48-4 20.67 DDL +0.60 -0.05 0% 8.0
10 LAIFC (2) 7115 1119-8 40.57 LDLLL +0.07 +0.05 0% 9.1
11 Los Angeles SC 2 6015 221-19 10.17 LDLLL +0.04 +0.22 0% 11.2
12 FC Golden State Force (2) 6015 334-31 10.17 LDLLL +0.60 +0.20 0% 11.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.