TableChase Clubs

Autobahn SA

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U15 · 12 teams · Autobahn SA (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
2nd
5-0-1 record · 6 played
2.50 points per game
+26 goal diff · 31–5
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.8
-0.19 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:15 PM

Open the match preview →

Autobahn SA
2nd · 2.50 PPG
vs
LAIFC (2)
10th · 0.57 PPG

Historic Belmar Park, Historic Belmar Park ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 5–1 (expected goals 5.1 for, 1.0 against · 2.85 expected points)

Season so farAutobahn SALAIFC (2)
Position2nd10th
Record (W-D-L)5-0-11-1-5
Points per game2.500.57
Goals for / game5.21.6
Goals against / game0.82.7
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)W W W W WL L L D L
Biggest win11–1 at FC Golden State Force (2)3–0 at FC Golden State Force (2)
Worst loss0–2 vs Culver City0–5 vs Culver City
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.79-0.78
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.19+0.07

Common opponents: Culver City — we 0–2; they 0–5. Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 — we 8–0; they 1–3. FC Golden State Force (2) — we 11–1; they 3–0. Downey United Football Club — we 2–1; they 2–3. Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club — we 4–1; they 2–3.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 vs Culver City.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 94% chance; likely score 5–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    LAIFC (2) have lost 3 straight (form: LDLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LAIFC (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Autobahn SA – LAIFC (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.57 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1
Win
2.57 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1
Draw
2.29 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1
Loss
2.14 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1 4th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 5–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

23% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.8 average finish
  1. 1st 23%
  2. 2nd 75%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.86 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Culver City 3.00 (+0.50) 1st (2.72) 51 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection

How the results connect

23 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Autobahn SA to LAIFC (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

21 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
+4.7 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 3–2 0–2 5–0 4–1 3–2 11–1 0–3 8–0 3–1 1–2 2–2 2–1 1–2 6–0 0–4 0–4 2–2 4–0 Autobahn SA 2nd Downey United Footb… 6th Culver City 1st Sporting So-Cal Soc… 4th FC Golden State For… 12th Total Futbol Academ… 3rd Los Angeles SC 2 11th Bell Gardens Footba… 5th LAIFC (2) 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 6 Sep 13 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.29 · 12th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
02:15 PM
LAIFC (2)
10th · 1-1-5 · GD -8
Home
Historic Belmar Park
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
5–1 2.85 2.55 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
10:30 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -12
Home
Historic Belmar Park
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
5–0 2.91 2.60 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM
Pride FC
7th · 2-0-3 · GD +0
Away
Borchard Community Park
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–1 2.56 2.59 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
10:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +9
Home
John Adams Middle School (
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.22 2.55 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
02:45 PM
Downey United Football Club
6th · 3-1-3 · GD +3
Home
Historic Belmar Park
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.54 2.55 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
06:40 PM
Culver City
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +24
Away
Culver City High School
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 1.00 2.42 Upside
Sat Mar 6
11:45 AM
FC Premier
9th · 0-2-1 · GD -4
Home
Lincoln Middle Schol
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
4–1 2.81 2.45 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
11th · 0-1-5 · GD -19
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
6–0 2.96 2.49 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.35 2.48 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:20 PM
FC Premier
9th · 0-2-1 · GD -4
Away
St John Bosco High School · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
4–1 2.68 2.49 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
12th · 0-1-5 · GD -31
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
100%
8–0 2.99 2.52 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
4th · 4-0-2 · GD +7
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
3–1 2.51 2.52 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
10th · 1-1-5 · GD -8
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
4–1 2.75 2.53 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
8th · 2-0-4 · GD -12
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
4–0 2.83 2.55 Bank it
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Pride FC
7th · 2-0-3 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
4–1 2.72 2.56 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +9
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.96 2.53 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Culver City 6600 251+24 183.00 WWWWW -0.21 -0.28 100% 1.2
2 Autobahn SA 6501 315+26 152.50 WWWWW -0.19 -0.29 100% 1.8
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 6501 1712+5 152.50 WLWWW +0.03 -0.10 62% 4.2
4 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6402 1811+7 122.00 WLWWL -0.25 +0.02 53% 4.5
5 Bell Gardens Football Club 6321 156+9 111.83 WDWLW -0.07 -0.10 73% 3.9
6 Downey United Football Club 7313 1411+3 101.43 DWWLW +0.11 -0.11 11% 5.9
7 Pride FC 5203 1010+0 61.20 WWLLL -0.42 +0.16 1% 7.3
8 City SC Los Angeles 2 6204 618-12 61.00 LWLLW +0.12 +0.10 0% 9.3
9 FC Premier 3021 48-4 20.67 DDL +0.60 -0.05 0% 7.9
10 LAIFC (2) 7115 1119-8 40.57 LDLLL +0.07 +0.05 0% 9.1
11 Los Angeles SC 2 6015 221-19 10.17 LDLLL +0.04 +0.22 0% 11.2
12 FC Golden State Force (2) 6015 334-31 10.17 LDLLL +0.60 +0.20 0% 11.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.