TableChase Clubs

Valley United Soccer Club

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U15 · 13 teams · Valley United Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
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1st
7-0-0 record · 7 played
3.00 points per game
+22 goal diff · 24–2
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.4
-0.39 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 02:20 PM

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Valley United Soccer Club
1st · 3.00 PPG
vs
Central Coast United Soccer Club
2nd · 2.57 PPG

Valley United Soccer Complex, Olivar ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 for, 1.5 against · 1.71 expected points)

Season so farValley United Soccer ClubCentral Coast United Soccer Club
Position1st2nd
Record (W-D-L)7-0-06-0-1
Points per game3.002.57
Goals for / game3.44.4
Goals against / game0.31.0
Clean sheets54
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W W W W WW W W W W
Biggest win8–0 at Dynamo12–0 vs LA Surf SC SFV
Worst loss—0–5 at ALBION SC SCV
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.12+2.44
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.39-0.10

Common opponents: Central Coast Surf Soccer — we 2–0; they 2–1. FC Man United — we 2–1; they 3–0. LA Surf SC SFV — we 7–1; they 12–0. ALBION SC SCV — we 1–0; they 0–5. TFA-SGV — we 1–0; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Central Coast United Soccer Club score 4.4/game — well above the league's 2.2.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Central Coast United Soccer Club concede only 1.0/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 50% / draw 21% / loss 29%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • They arrive in form
    Central Coast United Soccer Club have won 6 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Central Coast United Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Valley United Soccer Club – Central Coast United Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG		 1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG		 1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.75 PPG		 1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.63 PPG		 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

62% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.4 average finish
  1. 1st 62%
  2. 2nd 31%
  3. 3rd 5%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

27 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Valley United Soccer Club to Central Coast United Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

11 favour us
16 favour them
-1.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–0 0–2 2–0 1–2 2–1 0–3 1–0 5–0 7–1 0–12 2–1 0–2 3–0 2–2 1–3 7–0 0–7 1–1 1–5 Valley United Socce… 1st TFA-SGV 5th Central Coast Surf … 8th FC Man United 7th ALBION SC SCV 3rd LA Surf SC SFV 13th ALBION SC Antelope … 11th Oxnard United Socce… 9th Unico Futbol Club 4th Central Coast Unite… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.08 · 8th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
02:20 PM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +24		 Home
Valley United Soccer Complex		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
50%		 2–1 1.71 2.84 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
01:00 PM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -24		 Away
Kern County Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
96%		 5–0 2.92 2.85 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
02:20 PM		 Unico Futbol Club
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +14		 Home
Birmingham High School		 ●●○○○ Lean win
61%		 2–1 2.04 2.77 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -14		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
94%		 4–0 2.85 2.77 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
12:00 PM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
8th · 2-0-4 · GD +8		 Away
Talley Fields		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 2–1 2.12 2.72 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
10:55 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -6		 Away
Lancaster National Soccer Center		 ●○○○○ Favorable
82%		 2–0 2.57 2.71 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
7th · 3-0-4 · GD -4		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
85%		 3–0 2.64 2.70 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
10th · 2-1-4 · GD -16		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
96%		 4–0 2.90 2.72 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
6th · 4-1-3 · GD +9		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
71%		 2–1 2.29 2.69 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
13th · 0-1-7 · GD -27		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
98%		 5–0 2.95 2.71 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
3rd · 6-0-2 · GD +12		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
58%		 1–0 1.97 2.66 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
5th · 4-2-2 · GD +2		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
62%		 1–0 2.08 2.63 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -24		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
98%		 5–0 2.96 2.65 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
02:00 PM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +24		 Away
CMT Ranch		 ●●●●○ Tough
40%		 1–1 1.43 2.59 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Unico Futbol Club
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +14		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 2–1 1.77 2.56 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -14		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
90%		 3–0 2.76 2.56 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
6th · 4-1-3 · GD +9		 Home
Valley United Soccer Complex		 ●○○○○ Favorable
79%		 3–1 2.50 2.56 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Valley United Soccer Club 7700 242+22 213.00 WWWWW -0.39 -0.08 100% 1.4
2 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7601 317+24 182.57 WWWWW -0.10 -0.26 100% 1.8
3 ALBION SC SCV 8602 197+12 182.25 WWLLW +0.19 -0.20 90% 3.6
4 Unico Futbol Club 6411 217+14 132.17 DWWLW +0.24 -0.23 93% 3.4
5 TFA-SGV 8422 108+2 141.75 WWWDL +0.21 -0.12 6% 6.0
6 Oaks FC 2 8413 2516+9 131.63 DLWWW -0.75 +0.32 2% 6.5
7 FC Man United 7304 1216-4 91.29 WLWLW +0.18 -0.07 0% 7.7
8 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6204 1911+8 61.00 WWLLL +0.40 -0.22 9% 5.8
9 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7214 923-14 71.00 DWLWL +0.02 +0.16 0% 9.9
10 Dynamo 7214 1026-16 71.00 WLWLD -0.04 +0.19 0% 10.3
11 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6114 612-6 40.67 WLLLD -0.28 +0.17 0% 9.7
12 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7106 731-24 30.43 LLLLL -0.30 +0.44 0% 12.4
13 LA Surf SC SFV 8017 835-27 10.13 LLLLD +0.31 +0.19 0% 12.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.