TableChase Clubs

FC Man United

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U15 · 13 teams · FC Man United (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 16 minutes ago.
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7th
3-0-4 record · 7 played
1.29 points per game
-4 goal diff · 12–16
WLWLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.7
+0.18 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:50 AM

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FC Man United
7th · 1.29 PPG
at
ALBION SC SCV
3rd · 2.25 PPG

Turf - West Ranch High School, Stadium ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.4 against · 0.58 expected points)

Season so farFC Man UnitedALBION SC SCV
Position7th3rd
Record (W-D-L)3-0-46-0-2
Points per game1.292.25
Goals for / game1.72.4
Goals against / game2.30.9
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)W L W L WW L L W W
Biggest win5–1 vs Central Cal Aztecs 25–0 vs Central Coast United Soccer Club
Worst loss0–7 at Unico Futbol Club0–2 at Unico Futbol Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.27+1.08
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.18+0.19

Common opponents: Unico Futbol Club — we 0–7; they 0–2. Central Coast United Soccer Club — we 0–3; they 5–0. Oaks FC 2 — we 3–1; they 2–1. Valley United Soccer Club — we 1–2; they 0–1. LA Surf SC SFV — we 2–0; they 3–1. Central Cal Aztecs 2 — we 5–1; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    ALBION SC SCV concede only 0.9/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–7 at Unico Futbol Club, 0–3 at Central Coast United Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 13%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:50 AM at Turf - West Ranch High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC SCV game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Man United – ALBION SC SCV) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.13 PPG		 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 3
Win
1.50 PPG		 7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Draw
1.25 PPG		 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 2
Loss
1.13 PPG		 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
7.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th 8%
  7. 7th 21%
  8. 8th 54%
  9. 9th 10%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Valley United Soccer Club 3.00 (+1.71) 1st (2.56) 63 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Central Coast United Soccer Club 2.57 (+1.28) 2nd (2.45) 53 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
3 ALBION SC SCV 2.25 (+0.96) 4th (2.10) 45 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
4 Unico Futbol Club 2.17 (+0.88) 3rd (2.12) 44 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
5 TFA-SGV 1.75 (+0.46) 6th (1.63) 33 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
6 Oaks FC 2 1.63 (+0.34) 7th (1.51) 31 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection

How the results connect

30 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link FC Man United to ALBION SC SCV through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

10 favour us
4 even
16 favour them
-1.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–0 1–3 1–2 1–0 3–1 1–2 5–1 1–2 0–7 2–0 0–3 0–5 3–4 3–2 1–4 1–2 1–1 1–0 3–1 0–1 FC Man United 7th LA Surf SC SFV 13th Valley United Socce… 1st Oaks FC 2 6th Central Cal Aztecs 2 12th Unico Futbol Club 4th Central Coast Unite… 2nd TFA-SGV 5th Central Coast Surf … 8th ALBION SC SCV 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.07 · 7th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
11:50 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
3rd · 6-0-2 · GD +12		 Away
Turf - West Ranch High School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 0–2 0.58 1.20 Upside
Sat Oct 31
02:30 PM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
8th · 2-0-4 · GD +8		 Away
Talley Fields		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 1–2 0.69 1.14 Upside
Sun Nov 1
03:30 PM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -14		 Home
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
63%		 2–1 2.07 1.23 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
10:55 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -6		 Away
Lancaster National Soccer Center		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 1–1 1.52 1.26 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
04:45 PM		 Unico Futbol Club
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +14		 Home
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
16%		 1–2 0.65 1.21 Upside
Sun Nov 15
12:00 PM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +24		 Home
Citrus College · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–3 0.39 1.15 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
6th · 4-1-3 · GD +9		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–2 0.85 1.13 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +22		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 0–3 0.26 1.07 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
13th · 0-1-7 · GD -27		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
78%		 3–1 2.47 1.16 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
10th · 2-1-4 · GD -16		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
57%		 2–1 1.88 1.20 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
5th · 4-2-2 · GD +2		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 1–1 1.21 1.20 Upside
Sun Apr 11
01:00 PM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -24		 Away
Kern County Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
72%		 3–1 2.30 1.26 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
3rd · 6-0-2 · GD +12		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
19%		 1–2 0.77 1.23 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
8th · 2-0-4 · GD +8		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–2 0.95 1.22 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -14		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
53%		 2–1 1.79 1.24 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -6		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 1–1 1.79 1.27 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
10th · 2-1-4 · GD -16		 Home
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
67%		 3–1 2.16 1.31 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Valley United Soccer Club 7700 242+22 213.00 WWWWW -0.39 -0.08 100% 1.4
2 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7601 317+24 182.57 WWWWW -0.10 -0.26 100% 1.8
3 ALBION SC SCV 8602 197+12 182.25 WWLLW +0.19 -0.20 92% 3.6
4 Unico Futbol Club 6411 217+14 132.17 DWWLW +0.24 -0.23 93% 3.4
5 TFA-SGV 8422 108+2 141.75 WWWDL +0.21 -0.12 6% 5.9
6 Oaks FC 2 8413 2516+9 131.63 DLWWW -0.75 +0.32 2% 6.6
7 FC Man United 7304 1216-4 91.29 WLWLW +0.18 -0.07 0% 7.7
8 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6204 1911+8 61.00 WWLLL +0.40 -0.22 8% 5.8
9 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7214 923-14 71.00 DWLWL +0.02 +0.16 0% 9.9
10 Dynamo 7214 1026-16 71.00 WLWLD -0.04 +0.19 0% 10.3
11 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6114 612-6 40.67 WLLLD -0.28 +0.17 0% 9.7
12 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7106 731-24 30.43 LLLLL -0.30 +0.44 0% 12.4
13 LA Surf SC SFV 8017 835-27 10.13 LLLLD +0.31 +0.19 0% 12.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.