TableChase Clubs

Dynamo

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U15 · 13 teams · Dynamo (all teams)

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10th
2-1-4 record · 7 played
1.00 points per game
-16 goal diff · 10–26
WLWLDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.3
-0.04 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:30 AM

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Dynamo
10th · 1.00 PPG
at
Central Coast Surf Soccer
8th · 1.00 PPG

Talley Fields, Field #1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.4 for, 4.5 against · 0.26 expected points)

Season so farDynamoCentral Coast Surf Soccer
Position10th8th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-42-0-4
Points per game1.001.00
Goals for / game1.43.2
Goals against / game3.71.8
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless31
Form (recent first)D L W L WL L L W W
Biggest win3–1 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club8–0 vs Central Cal Aztecs 2
Worst loss0–8 vs Valley United Soccer Club1–4 vs ALBION SC SCV
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.59+0.89
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.04+0.40

Common opponents: Oxnard United Soccer Club — we 3–1; they 7–0. Valley United Soccer Club — we 0–8; they 0–2. Oaks FC 2 — we 4–7; they 2–3.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Central Coast Surf Soccer score 3.2/game — well above the league's 2.2.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–1 vs TFA-SGV, 0–7 at Unico Futbol Club, 0–8 vs Valley United Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 6%; a draw (8%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Central Coast Surf Soccer have lost 3 straight (form: WWLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:30 AM at Talley Fields.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:30 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Oxnard United Soccer Club sit 9th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above Oxnard United Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Central Coast Surf Soccer game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dynamo – Central Coast Surf Soccer) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.88 PPG		 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1
Win
1.25 PPG		 8th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 3 9th▲ up 1
Draw
1.00 PPG		 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1
Loss
0.88 PPG		 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 11th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–4 loss we finish as high as 9th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 19%
  10. 10th 29%
  11. 11th 44%
  12. 12th 5%
  13. 13th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.42 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Valley United Soccer Club 3.00 (+2.00) 1st (2.56) 65 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Central Coast United Soccer Club 2.57 (+1.57) 2nd (2.45) 55 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 ALBION SC SCV 2.25 (+1.25) 4th (2.10) 47 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
4 Unico Futbol Club 2.17 (+1.17) 3rd (2.12) 46 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
5 TFA-SGV 1.75 (+0.75) 6th (1.63) 35 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
6 Oaks FC 2 1.63 (+0.63) 7th (1.51) 33 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
7 FC Man United 1.29 (+0.29) 8th (1.31) 24 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
8 Central Coast Surf Soccer 1.00 (+0.00) 5th (1.64) A point next game
9 Oxnard United Soccer Club 1.00 (+0.00) 10th (0.88) A point next game

How the results connect

24 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Dynamo to Central Coast Surf Soccer through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
2 even
18 favour them
-3.5 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–7 3–2 3–1 0–7 0–8 2–0 2–1 0–3 0–1 0–1 1–1 1–3 4–1 1–3 1–2 1–0 4–0 0–8 0–3 0–7 2–0 Dynamo 10th Oaks FC 2 6th Oxnard United Socce… 9th Valley United Socce… 1st ALBION SC Antelope … 11th TFA-SGV 5th LA Surf SC SFV 13th Unico Futbol Club 4th ALBION SC SCV 3rd Central Cal Aztecs 2 12th Central Coast Surf … 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.19 · 3rd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
09:30 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
8th · 2-0-4 · GD +8		 Away
Talley Fields		 ●●●●● Very tough
6%		 1–4 0.26 0.91 Upside
Sat Oct 31
04:30 PM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +24		 Home
Van Nuys / Sherman Oaks Rec Center		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–5 0.11 0.82 Upside
Sun Nov 1
11:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
3rd · 6-0-2 · GD +12		 Home
Ribet Academy · grass		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 0–3 0.36 0.77 Upside
Sat Nov 7
04:30 PM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -24		 Home
Van Nuys / Sherman Oaks Rec Center		 ●●○○○ Lean win
64%		 3–1 2.08 0.89 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
02:30 PM		 TFA-SGV
5th · 4-2-2 · GD +2		 Away
Azusa High School · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 0–2 0.54 0.86 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Unico Futbol Club
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +14		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 1–4 0.24 0.81 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -14		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
33%		 2–2 1.18 0.84 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +22		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–4 0.07 0.79 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
7th · 3-0-4 · GD -4		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
25%		 1–2 0.94 0.80 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -6		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–2 0.98 0.81 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
6th · 4-1-3 · GD +9		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
14%		 1–3 0.54 0.79 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
13th · 0-1-7 · GD -27		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
62%		 3–1 2.01 0.86 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
8th · 2-0-4 · GD +8		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–3 0.42 0.84 Upside
Sat Apr 24
02:00 PM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +24		 Away
CMT Ranch		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–6 0.06 0.80 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
3rd · 6-0-2 · GD +12		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 0–3 0.23 0.77 Upside
Sun May 2
01:00 PM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -24		 Away
Kern County Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
53%		 2–2 1.77 0.82 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
7th · 3-0-4 · GD -4		 Away
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 1–3 0.68 0.81 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Valley United Soccer Club 7700 242+22 213.00 WWWWW -0.39 -0.08 100% 1.5
2 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7601 317+24 182.57 WWWWW -0.10 -0.26 100% 1.8
3 ALBION SC SCV 8602 197+12 182.25 WWLLW +0.19 -0.20 90% 3.6
4 Unico Futbol Club 6411 217+14 132.17 DWWLW +0.24 -0.23 93% 3.4
5 TFA-SGV 8422 108+2 141.75 WWWDL +0.21 -0.12 6% 5.9
6 Oaks FC 2 8413 2516+9 131.63 DLWWW -0.75 +0.32 3% 6.6
7 FC Man United 7304 1216-4 91.29 WLWLW +0.18 -0.07 0% 7.8
8 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6204 1911+8 61.00 WWLLL +0.40 -0.22 8% 5.8
9 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7214 923-14 71.00 DWLWL +0.02 +0.16 0% 9.9
10 Dynamo 7214 1026-16 71.00 WLWLD -0.04 +0.19 0% 10.3
11 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6114 612-6 40.67 WLLLD -0.28 +0.17 0% 9.6
12 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7106 731-24 30.43 LLLLL -0.30 +0.44 0% 12.4
13 LA Surf SC SFV 8017 835-27 10.13 LLLLD +0.31 +0.19 0% 12.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.