TableChase Clubs

LA Surf SC SFV

Elite Academy League 2 · LA North U15 · 13 teams · LA Surf SC SFV (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
13th
0-1-7 record · 8 played
0.13 points per game
-27 goal diff · 8–35
LLLLDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 12.5
+0.31 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

Open the match preview →

LA Surf SC SFV
13th · 0.13 PPG
at
Oxnard United Soccer Club
9th · 1.00 PPG

River Ridge Playfields, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.7 for, 2.9 against · 0.79 expected points)

Season so farLA Surf SC SFVOxnard United Soccer Club
Position13th9th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-72-1-4
Points per game0.131.00
Goals for / game1.01.3
Goals against / game4.43.3
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless23
Form (recent first)D L L L LL W L W D
Biggest win—4–0 at Central Cal Aztecs 2
Worst loss0–12 at Central Coast United Soccer Club0–7 vs Central Coast Surf Soccer
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.37-1.30
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.31+0.02

Common opponents: Central Cal Aztecs 2 — we 3–4; they 4–0. ALBION SC SCV — we 1–3; they 0–3. Oaks FC 2 — we 1–3; they 2–2. Central Coast United Soccer Club — we 0–12; they 0–7. Dynamo — we 1–1; they 1–3.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 vs FC Man United, 0–12 at Central Coast United Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 21%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at River Ridge Playfields.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Central Cal Aztecs 2 sit 12th on 0.43 PPG; we are on 0.13.

    A point moves us above Central Cal Aztecs 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Oxnard United Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LA Surf SC SFV – Oxnard United Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.11 PPG		 13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds
Win
0.44 PPG		 12th▲ up 1 12th▲ up 1 13th— holds
Draw
0.22 PPG		 13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds
Loss
0.11 PPG		 13th— holds 13th— holds 13th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 13th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
12.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 4%
  12. 12th 41%
  13. 13th 54%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.04 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Valley United Soccer Club 3.00 (+2.87) 1st (2.56) 71 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 61 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Central Coast United Soccer Club 2.57 (+2.44) 2nd (2.45) 61 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 ALBION SC SCV 2.25 (+2.12) 4th (2.10) 53 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Unico Futbol Club 2.17 (+2.04) 3rd (2.12) 52 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 TFA-SGV 1.75 (+1.62) 6th (1.63) 41 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
6 Oaks FC 2 1.63 (+1.50) 7th (1.51) 39 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
7 FC Man United 1.29 (+1.16) 8th (1.31) 30 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
8 Central Coast Surf Soccer 1.00 (+0.87) 5th (1.64) 23 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
9 Oxnard United Soccer Club 1.00 (+0.87) 10th (0.88) 23 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
10 Dynamo 1.00 (+0.87) 11th (0.81) 23 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
11 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 0.67 (+0.54) 9th (0.91) 16 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
12 Central Cal Aztecs 2 0.43 (+0.30) 12th (0.40) A point next game

How the results connect

32 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link LA Surf SC SFV to Oxnard United Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

13 favour us
3 even
16 favour them
-0.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 3–0 1–1 3–1 1–3 2–2 0–12 7–0 3–4 0–4 2–1 1–2 0–2 3–1 1–2 1–3 1–0 1–0 8–1 LA Surf SC SFV 13th ALBION SC SCV 3rd Dynamo 10th Oaks FC 2 6th Central Coast Unite… 2nd Central Cal Aztecs 2 12th FC Man United 7th TFA-SGV 5th ALBION SC Antelope … 11th Oxnard United Socce… 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.19 · 4th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -14		 Away
River Ridge Playfields		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 1–2 0.79 0.20 Upside
Sun Oct 25
10:55 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -6		 Away
Lancaster National Soccer Center		 ●●●●● Very tough
16%		 1–2 0.66 0.25 Upside
Sun Nov 1
02:05 PM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
8th · 2-0-4 · GD +8		 Home
Moorpark HS · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 1–4 0.22 0.24 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:45 AM		 Unico Futbol Club
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +14		 Away
Santa Barbara High School · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–5 0.06 0.23 Upside
Sat Nov 14
12:10 PM		 Central Cal Aztecs 2
12th · 1-0-6 · GD -24		 Home
Calabasas HS · turf?		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
48%		 2–2 1.63 0.34 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
10:15 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
9th · 2-1-4 · GD -14		 Home
Moorpark HS · turf?		 ●●●●○ Tough
29%		 1–2 1.07 0.39 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC SCV
3rd · 6-0-2 · GD +12		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–4 0.12 0.37 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
6th · 4-1-3 · GD +9		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–4 0.30 0.37 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
7th · 3-0-4 · GD -4		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–3 0.41 0.37 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
1st · 7-0-0 · GD +22		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–5 0.03 0.35 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM		 Central Coast United Soccer Club
2nd · 6-0-1 · GD +24		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 0–6 0.05 0.33 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 Dynamo
10th · 2-1-4 · GD -16		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 1–3 0.82 0.36 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2)
11th · 1-1-4 · GD -6		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–2 0.89 0.38 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
5th · 4-2-2 · GD +2		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 0–2 0.35 0.38 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
8th · 2-0-4 · GD +8		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 1–5 0.13 0.37 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 Unico Futbol Club
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +14		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–5 0.12 0.36 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Valley United Soccer Club 7700 242+22 213.00 WWWWW -0.39 -0.08 100% 1.5
2 Central Coast United Soccer Club 7601 317+24 182.57 WWWWW -0.10 -0.26 100% 1.8
3 ALBION SC SCV 8602 197+12 182.25 WWLLW +0.19 -0.20 90% 3.6
4 Unico Futbol Club 6411 217+14 132.17 DWWLW +0.24 -0.23 93% 3.4
5 TFA-SGV 8422 108+2 141.75 WWWDL +0.21 -0.12 6% 5.9
6 Oaks FC 2 8413 2516+9 131.63 DLWWW -0.75 +0.32 2% 6.5
7 FC Man United 7304 1216-4 91.29 WLWLW +0.18 -0.07 0% 7.7
8 Central Coast Surf Soccer 6204 1911+8 61.00 WWLLL +0.40 -0.22 8% 5.8
9 Oxnard United Soccer Club 7214 923-14 71.00 DWLWL +0.02 +0.16 0% 9.9
10 Dynamo 7214 1026-16 71.00 WLWLD -0.04 +0.19 0% 10.3
11 ALBION SC Antelope Valley (2) 6114 612-6 40.67 WLLLD -0.28 +0.17 0% 9.7
12 Central Cal Aztecs 2 7106 731-24 30.43 LLLLL -0.30 +0.44 0% 12.4
13 LA Surf SC SFV 8017 835-27 10.13 LLLLD +0.31 +0.19 0% 12.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.19 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.