Reds FC

Elite Academy League · Southwest (South) U14 · 16 teams · SoCal Reds FC (all teams)

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8th

2-0-1 record · 3 played

2.00 points per game

-2 goal diff · 6–8

WWLlast 3

1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.5

+0.02 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:45 PM

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Reds FC
8th · 2.00 PPG

City SC Southwest
16th · 0.00 PPG

Patricia Birdsall Sport Park, Field 3 ↗

65% 15% 20%

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.5 for, 2.1 against · 2.09 expected points)

Season so far	Reds FC	City SC Southwest
Position	8th	16th
Record (W-D-L)	2-0-1	0-0-3
Points per game	2.00	0.00
Goals for / game	2.0	1.0
Goals against / game	2.7	6.3
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	2
Form (recent first)	L W W	L L L
Biggest win	2–1 vs ALBION SC Riverside	—
Worst loss	1–5 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire	0–8 at ALBION SC Santa Ana
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-0.38	-2.22
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.02	+1.23

Game plan

They struggle to score
City SC Southwest average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 2 of 3.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
They leak goals — be greedy
City SC Southwest concede 6.3/game; worst result 0–8 at ALBION SC Santa Ana.
Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
Swing game — small margins
Win 65% / draw 15% / loss 20%.
Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
Confidence is low on their side
City SC Southwest have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).
Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
Away game
Kickoff 02:45 PM at Patricia Birdsall Sport Park.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
BOCA OC sit 7th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.
A point moves us above BOCA OC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the City SC Southwest game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Reds FC – City SC Southwest) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.25 PPG	7th▲ up 1	7th▲ up 1	8th— holds
Win 2.25 PPG	7th▲ up 1	7th▲ up 1	8th— holds
Draw 1.75 PPG	8th— holds	8th— holds	9th▼ down 1
Loss 1.50 PPG	8th— holds	8th— holds	9th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

1% top 4

99% below the top 4

8.5 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd <1%
4th 1%
5th 2%
6th 5%
7th 15%
8th 34%
9th 23%
10th 10%
11th 6%
12th 2%
13th 1%
14th <1%
15th <1%
16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.80 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	ALBION SC Santa Ana	3.00 (+1.00)	1st (2.56)	39 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
2	Strikers FC North	3.00 (+1.00)	4th (2.20)	39 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
3	Total Futbol Academy - OC	3.00 (+1.00)	3rd (2.23)	39 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
4	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire	2.50 (+0.50)	2nd (2.25)	32 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
5	Inland Surf	2.33 (+0.33)	6th (1.82)	29 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
6	City SC - San Diego	2.33 (+0.33)	5th (2.04)	29 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
7	BOCA OC	2.00 (+0.00)	7th (1.77)	A point next game

Position over the season

7 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.02 · 5th hardest of 16

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 02:45 PM	City SC Southwest 16th · 0-0-3 · GD -16	Away Patricia Birdsall Sport Park	●●○○○ Lean win	65%	3–2	2.09	2.02	Swing game
Sat Oct 31 09:00 AM	Strikers FC North 2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +13	Away OC Great Park	●●●●● Very tough	10%	1–4	0.39	1.70	Upside
Sat Nov 7 05:00 PM	ALBION SC Santa Ana 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +19	Home Orange County Great Park	●●●●● Very tough	7%	1–3	0.32	1.47	Upside
Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM	CITY SC San Marcos 9th · 1-0-2 · GD -3	Home TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	48%	2–2	1.62	1.49	Swing game
Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM	California Football Academy 15th · 0-0-3 · GD -13	Away TBD	●●○○○ Lean win	61%	2–1	2.01	1.55	Swing game
Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM	Elite FC 14th · 0-0-3 · GD -11	Home TBD	●●○○○ Lean win	68%	2–1	2.20	1.63	Swing game
Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM	Laguna United 12th · 0-0-3 · GD -5	Home TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	54%	2–1	1.81	1.64	Swing game
Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM	Inland Surf 5th · 2-1-0 · GD +8	Away TBD	●●●●● Very tough	16%	1–3	0.63	1.55	Upside
Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM	City SC - San Diego 6th · 2-1-0 · GD +7	Home TBD	●●●●● Very tough	20%	1–2	0.77	1.49	Upside
Sun Apr 11 09:30 AM	BOCA OC 7th · 2-0-1 · GD +2	Away El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)	●●●●● Very tough	22%	1–2	0.85	1.44	Upside
Sat May 1 12:00 AM	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 11th · 0-1-3 · GD -11	Away TBD	●●●○○ Toss-up	48%	2–2	1.63	1.45	Swing game
Tue May 25 12:00 AM	Total Futbol Academy - OC 3rd · 3-0-0 · GD +11	Away Gladstone Middle School · turf	●●●●● Very tough	11%	1–4	0.42	1.38	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

ALBION SC Santa Ana

+19

3.00

WWWW

-1.22

+0.21

98%

1.6

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	BOCA OC (7th)	2–0
W	Sun Oct 11	at	California Football Academy (15th)	5–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Elite FC (14th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	City SC Southwest (16th)	8–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Riverside · Sat Oct 31 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 7 at Reds FC See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	ALBION SC Riverside (10th)	3–1	85%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (4th)	1–1	47%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Reds FC (8th)	3–1	83%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	ALBION SC San Diego (13th)	4–0	92%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (3rd)	2–1	60%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	CITY SC San Marcos (9th)	3–1	84%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	City SC - San Diego (6th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (11th)	5–0	95%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Strikers FC North (2nd)	3–1	68%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Laguna United (12th)	3–0	85%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Inland Surf (5th)	3–1	74%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Strikers FC North

+13

3.00

WWW

-1.67

+0.23

71%

3.6

W	Sat Oct 17	at	City SC Southwest (16th)	7–3
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (11th)	6–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Elite FC (14th)	4–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at CITY SC San Marcos · Sat Oct 31 vs Reds FC · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC San Diego See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	CITY SC San Marcos (9th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Reds FC (8th)	4–1	80%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	ALBION SC San Diego (13th)	4–1	85%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	City SC - San Diego (6th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	BOCA OC (7th)	2–1	60%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Laguna United (12th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Inland Surf (5th)	3–2	59%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (4th)	2–2	29%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	California Football Academy (15th)	5–1	94%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana (1st)	1–3	17%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC (3rd)	3–2	51%
·	Tue May 25	vs	ALBION SC Riverside (10th)	4–1	83%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Total Futbol Academy - OC

+11

3.00

WWW

-0.60

-0.02

79%

3.2

W	Sat Oct 10	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (9th)	6–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	ALBION SC Riverside (10th)	6–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Laguna United (12th)	4–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at City SC - San Diego · Sat Oct 31 vs Elite FC · Sat Nov 7 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	City SC - San Diego (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Elite FC (14th)	4–1	92%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (11th)	5–1	89%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	California Football Academy (15th)	5–1	94%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (1st)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Inland Surf (5th)	3–2	44%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (4th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	City SC Southwest (16th)	6–1	92%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	BOCA OC (7th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (13th)	5–1	91%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Strikers FC North (2nd)	2–3	33%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Reds FC (8th)	4–1	79%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FLYTE SC- Inland Empire

+13

2.50

WDWW

-0.47

-0.02

77%

3.3

W	Sun Oct 18	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (11th)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Reds FC (8th)	5–1
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	City SC - San Diego (6th)	0–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (13th)	7–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Elite FC · Sat Oct 31 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sat Nov 7 at CITY SC San Marcos See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Elite FC (14th)	3–0	86%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (1st)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	CITY SC San Marcos (9th)	3–1	74%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Laguna United (12th)	2–0	76%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	ALBION SC Riverside (10th)	3–1	83%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (3rd)	2–2	45%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Strikers FC North (2nd)	2–2	54%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Inland Surf (5th)	2–1	52%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	City SC Southwest (16th)	5–0	95%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	California Football Academy (15th)	4–0	89%
·	Tue May 25	at	BOCA OC (7th)	1–1	53%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Inland Surf

2.33

DWW

-1.50

+0.26

18%

5.9

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Elite FC (14th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	California Football Academy (15th)	6–1
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (11th)	3–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Laguna United · Sat Oct 31 at ALBION SC San Diego · Sat Nov 7 vs City SC - San Diego See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Laguna United (12th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	ALBION SC San Diego (13th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	City SC - San Diego (6th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	ALBION SC Riverside (10th)	3–1	63%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	City SC Southwest (16th)	4–1	85%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC (3rd)	2–3	39%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Strikers FC North (2nd)	2–3	26%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Reds FC (8th)	3–1	70%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (4th)	1–2	29%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	CITY SC San Marcos (9th)	3–1	61%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	BOCA OC (7th)	1–1	40%
·	Tue May 25	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana (1st)	1–3	12%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

City SC - San Diego

2.33

WDW

-0.46

-0.01

43%

4.7

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (11th)	5–1
D	Sat Sep 19	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (4th)	0–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	California Football Academy (15th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC · Sun Oct 25 vs CITY SC San Marcos · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Riverside See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC (3rd)	2–2	45%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (9th)	2–1	73%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	ALBION SC Riverside (10th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Inland Surf (5th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Strikers FC North (2nd)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Elite FC (14th)	3–0	84%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	BOCA OC (7th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana (1st)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	ALBION SC San Diego (13th)	3–1	76%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Reds FC (8th)	2–1	62%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Laguna United (12th)	2–0	75%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	City SC Southwest (16th)	4–1	91%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

BOCA OC

2.00

WWL

+0.50

-0.16

14%

6.3

L	Sat Oct 17	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana (1st)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Laguna United (12th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	CITY SC San Marcos (9th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC San Diego · Sat Oct 31 at City SC Southwest · Sat Nov 7 at Elite FC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (13th)	2–1	73%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	City SC Southwest (16th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Elite FC (14th)	2–0	67%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (11th)	2–1	70%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Strikers FC North (2nd)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	City SC - San Diego (6th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	California Football Academy (15th)	2–0	78%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	ALBION SC Riverside (10th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (3rd)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Reds FC (8th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Inland Surf (5th)	1–1	38%
·	Tue May 25	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (4th)	1–1	24%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Reds FC

-2

2.00

WWL

+0.02

8.5

L	Sat Oct 17	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (4th)	1–5
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (13th)	3–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	ALBION SC Riverside (10th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at City SC Southwest · Sat Oct 31 at Strikers FC North · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	City SC Southwest (16th)	3–2	65%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Strikers FC North (2nd)	1–4	10%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (1st)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (9th)	2–2	48%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	California Football Academy (15th)	2–1	61%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Elite FC (14th)	2–1	68%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Laguna United (12th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Inland Surf (5th)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	City SC - San Diego (6th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	BOCA OC (7th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat May 1	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (11th)	2–2	48%
·	Tue May 25	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (3rd)	1–4	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

CITY SC San Marcos

-3

1.00

LWL

+0.01

+0.02

10.0

L	Sat Oct 10	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (3rd)	2–6
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	City SC Southwest (16th)	4–0
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	BOCA OC (7th)	0–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Strikers FC North · Sun Oct 25 at City SC - San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at California Football Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Strikers FC North (2nd)	1–3	15%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	City SC - San Diego (6th)	1–2	12%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	California Football Academy (15th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (4th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Reds FC (8th)	2–2	34%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Laguna United (12th)	2–1	42%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (1st)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (13th)	3–2	61%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Elite FC (14th)	2–1	57%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Inland Surf (5th)	1–3	23%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	ALBION SC Riverside (10th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat May 8	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (11th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC Riverside

-4

1.00

LLW

+0.12

-0.02

10.1

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Laguna United (12th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC (3rd)	2–6
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Reds FC (8th)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sun Nov 1 vs City SC - San Diego · Sat Nov 7 at City SC Southwest See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (1st)	1–3	6%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	City SC - San Diego (6th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	City SC Southwest (16th)	3–2	61%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Inland Surf (5th)	1–3	21%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (4th)	1–3	7%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	California Football Academy (15th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Elite FC (14th)	2–1	64%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	BOCA OC (7th)	1–2	27%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	ALBION SC San Diego (13th)	2–2	48%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (11th)	2–2	44%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (9th)	2–2	44%
·	Tue May 25	at	Strikers FC North (2nd)	1–4	8%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire

-11

0.25

DLLL

+1.36

-0.42

11.4

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (4th)	1–3
L	Sat Oct 17	at	City SC - San Diego (6th)	1–5
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Strikers FC North (2nd)	1–6
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Inland Surf (5th)	3–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 at California Football Academy · Sat Oct 31 vs Laguna United · Sat Nov 7 at Total Futbol Academy - OC See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	California Football Academy (15th)	2–2	50%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Laguna United (12th)	2–1	43%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (3rd)	1–5	5%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	City SC Southwest (16th)	3–2	64%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	BOCA OC (7th)	1–2	14%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (13th)	3–2	51%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana (1st)	0–5	2%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	ALBION SC Riverside (10th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Reds FC (8th)	2–2	34%
·	Sat May 8	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Elite FC (14th)	2–1	58%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Laguna United

-5

0.00

LLL

+0.42

-0.09

12.2

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	ALBION SC Riverside (10th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	BOCA OC (7th)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC (3rd)	1–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Inland Surf · Sat Oct 31 at FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sun Nov 8 at California Football Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Inland Surf (5th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (11th)	1–2	37%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	California Football Academy (15th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (4th)	0–2	10%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (9th)	1–2	37%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Strikers FC North (2nd)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Reds FC (8th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Elite FC (14th)	1–1	56%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	City SC Southwest (16th)	2–1	52%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	City SC - San Diego (6th)	0–2	10%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (1st)	0–3	5%
·	Tue May 25	at	ALBION SC San Diego (13th)	2–2	40%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

ALBION SC San Diego

-8

0.00

+0.63

-0.03

12.8

L	Sat Sep 19	at	Reds FC (8th)	2–3
L	Sat Sep 12	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (4th)	0–7

Next: Sat Oct 24 at BOCA OC · Sat Oct 31 vs Inland Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs Strikers FC North See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	BOCA OC (7th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Inland Surf (5th)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Strikers FC North (2nd)	1–4	7%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (1st)	0–4	3%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (11th)	2–3	32%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	City SC Southwest (16th)	3–2	61%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	CITY SC San Marcos (9th)	2–3	23%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	City SC - San Diego (6th)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	ALBION SC Riverside (10th)	2–2	34%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (3rd)	1–5	4%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Elite FC (14th)	2–1	44%
·	Sun May 2	at	California Football Academy (15th)	2–2	46%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Laguna United (12th)	2–2	40%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Elite FC

-11

0.00

LLL

+1.65

-0.33

13.9

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Inland Surf (5th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (1st)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Strikers FC North (2nd)	0–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire · Sat Oct 31 at Total Futbol Academy - OC · Sat Nov 7 vs BOCA OC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (4th)	0–3	5%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (3rd)	1–4	3%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	BOCA OC (7th)	0–2	14%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	City SC Southwest (16th)	2–2	46%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	City SC - San Diego (6th)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Reds FC (8th)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	ALBION SC Riverside (10th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Laguna United (12th)	1–1	23%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (9th)	1–2	24%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	California Football Academy (15th)	1–1	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (13th)	1–2	35%
·	Tue May 25	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (11th)	1–2	24%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

California Football Academy

-13

0.00

LLL

+1.51

-0.25

13.9

L	Sun Oct 11	vs	ALBION SC Santa Ana (1st)	0–5
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Inland Surf (5th)	1–6
L	Sat Sep 12	at	City SC - San Diego (6th)	0–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sun Nov 1 vs CITY SC San Marcos · Sun Nov 8 vs Laguna United See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (11th)	2–2	32%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	CITY SC San Marcos (9th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Laguna United (12th)	1–2	30%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC (3rd)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Reds FC (8th)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	ALBION SC Riverside (10th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	BOCA OC (7th)	0–2	9%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Strikers FC North (2nd)	1–5	2%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Elite FC (14th)	1–1	43%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (4th)	0–4	4%
·	Sun May 2	vs	ALBION SC San Diego (13th)	2–2	35%
·	Tue May 25	at	City SC Southwest (16th)	2–2	36%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

City SC Southwest

-16

0.00

LLL

+1.23

-0.15

14.5

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Strikers FC North (2nd)	3–7
L	Sat Sep 19	at	CITY SC San Marcos (9th)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 12	at	ALBION SC Santa Ana (1st)	0–8

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Reds FC · Sat Oct 31 vs BOCA OC · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Riverside See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Reds FC (8th)	2–3	20%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	BOCA OC (7th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	ALBION SC Riverside (10th)	2–3	24%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire (11th)	2–3	21%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Elite FC (14th)	2–2	34%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Inland Surf (5th)	1–4	7%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	ALBION SC San Diego (13th)	2–3	24%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC (3rd)	1–6	4%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Laguna United (12th)	1–2	30%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (4th)	0–5	2%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	City SC - San Diego (6th)	1–4	3%
·	Tue May 25	vs	California Football Academy (15th)	2–2	46%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.33 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.