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FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire

Elite Academy League · Southwest (South) U14 · 16 teams · FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (all teams)

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11th
0-1-3 record · 4 played
0.25 points per game
-11 goal diff · 6–17
DLLLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.3
+1.36 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:30 AM

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FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire
11th · 0.25 PPG
at

Aliso Niguel High School, Stadium Field ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.2 against · 1.67 expected points)

Season so farFLYTE SC Blue- Inland EmpireCalifornia Football Academy
Position11th15th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-30-0-3
Points per game0.250.00
Goals for / game1.50.3
Goals against / game4.34.7
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)L L L DL L L
Biggest win——
Worst loss1–6 at Strikers FC North1–6 at Inland Surf
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.17-1.81
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.36+1.51

Common opponents: Inland Surf — we 3–3; they 1–6. City SC - San Diego — we 1–5; they 0–3.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    California Football Academy average 0.3 goals/game (league avg 2.3); blanked in 2 of 3.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    California Football Academy concede 4.7/game; worst result 1–6 at Inland Surf.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 50% / draw 18% / loss 32%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    California Football Academy have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:30 AM at Aliso Niguel High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:30 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the California Football Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire – California Football Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.40 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 15th▼ down 4
Win
0.80 PPG
11th— holds 9th▲ up 2 12th▼ down 1
Draw
0.40 PPG
11th— holds 11th— holds 15th▼ down 4
Loss
0.20 PPG
12th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 1 16th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 7%
  9. 9th 11%
  10. 10th 17%
  11. 11th 18%
  12. 12th 16%
  13. 13th 12%
  14. 14th 10%
  15. 15th 4%
  16. 16th 3%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.27 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 ALBION SC Santa Ana 3.00 (+2.75) 1st (2.56) 44 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Strikers FC North 3.00 (+2.75) 4th (2.20) 44 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 3.00 (+2.75) 3rd (2.23) 44 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
4 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 2.50 (+2.25) 2nd (2.25) 37 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
5 Inland Surf 2.33 (+2.08) 6th (1.82) 34 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6 City SC - San Diego 2.33 (+2.08) 5th (2.04) 34 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
7 BOCA OC 2.00 (+1.75) 7th (1.77) 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
8 Reds FC 2.00 (+1.75) 8th (1.38) 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
9 CITY SC San Marcos 1.00 (+0.75) 9th (1.14) 14 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
10 ALBION SC Riverside 1.00 (+0.75) 10th (1.14) 14 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection

How the results connect

3 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire to California Football Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 favour them
+1.7 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–5 3–0 3–3 6–1 1–3 0–0 FLYTE SC Blue- Inla… 11th City SC - San Diego 6th Inland Surf 5th FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 4th California Football… 15th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 16th Sep 12 Sep 20 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.42 · 16th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
08:30 AM
California Football Academy
15th · 0-0-3 · GD -13
Away
Aliso Niguel High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–2 1.67 0.53 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
10:30 AM
Laguna United
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -5
Home
San Bernardino Valley College · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–1 1.49 0.69 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
03:00 PM
Total Futbol Academy - OC
3rd · 3-0-0 · GD +11
Away
Gladstone Middle School · turf
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–5 0.21 0.62 Upside
Sat Nov 14
10:45 AM
City SC Southwest
16th · 0-0-3 · GD -16
Home
RJRSP
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
3–2 2.07 0.80 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
09:30 AM
BOCA OC
7th · 2-0-1 · GD +2
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–2 0.58 0.78 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego
13th · 0-0-2 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
3–2 1.69 0.87 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +19
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–5 0.09 0.80 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.31 0.84 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Reds FC
8th · 2-0-1 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
2–2 1.19 0.87 Upside
Sat May 8
12:00 AM
CITY SC San Marcos
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 0.90 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Elite FC
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -11
Home
RJRSP
●●○○○ Lean win
58%
2–1 1.92 0.96 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 ALBION SC Santa Ana 4400 190+19 123.00 WWWW -1.22 +0.21 98% 1.6
2 Strikers FC North 3300 174+13 93.00 WWW -1.67 +0.23 72% 3.5
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 3300 165+11 93.00 WWW -0.60 -0.02 75% 3.4
4 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 4310 152+13 102.50 WDWW -0.47 -0.02 80% 3.2
5 Inland Surf 3210 124+8 72.33 DWW -1.50 +0.26 18% 5.9
6 City SC - San Diego 3210 81+7 72.33 WDW -0.46 -0.01 44% 4.7
7 BOCA OC 3201 42+2 62.00 WWL +0.50 -0.16 12% 6.3
8 Reds FC 3201 68-2 62.00 WWL +0.02 +0.02 1% 8.5
9 CITY SC San Marcos 3102 69-3 31.00 LWL +0.01 +0.02 0% 10.0
10 ALBION SC Riverside 3102 59-4 31.00 LLW +0.12 -0.02 0% 10.2
11 FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 4013 617-11 10.25 DLLL +1.36 -0.42 0% 11.3
12 Laguna United 3003 27-5 00.00 LLL +0.42 -0.09 0% 12.3
13 ALBION SC San Diego 2002 210-8 00.00 LL +0.63 -0.03 0% 12.8
14 Elite FC 3003 011-11 00.00 LLL +1.65 -0.33 0% 13.9
15 California Football Academy 3003 114-13 00.00 LLL +1.51 -0.25 0% 13.8
16 City SC Southwest 3003 319-16 00.00 LLL +1.23 -0.15 0% 14.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.33 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.