TableChase Clubs

Los Angeles SC

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U17 · 15 teams · Los Angeles SC (all teams)

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12th
0-1-1 record · 2 played
0.50 points per game
-1 goal diff · 2–3
DLlast 2
3% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.1
-0.27 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:15 AM

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Los Angeles SC
12th · 0.50 PPG
at
ALBION SC Los Angeles
10th · 0.75 PPG

Cantwell-Sacred Heart of Mary High School, Cantwell Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.6 for, 2.0 against · 1.12 expected points)

Season so farLos Angeles SCALBION SC Los Angeles
Position12th10th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-11-0-3
Points per game0.500.75
Goals for / game1.02.0
Goals against / game1.52.0
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L DW L L L
Biggest win—5–1 at Oaks FC
Worst loss2–3 vs Total Futbol Academy2–4 at Rangers FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.23-0.01
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.27-0.38

Common opponents: Total Futbol Academy — we 2–3; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 at Fram Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 30%; a draw (22%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:15 AM at Cantwell-Sacred Heart of Mary High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Fram Soccer Club sit 11th on 0.67 PPG; we are on 0.50.

    A point moves us above Fram Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Los Angeles game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Los Angeles SC – ALBION SC Los Angeles) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.67 PPG
11th▲ up 1 12th— holds 15th▼ down 3
Win
1.33 PPG
8th▲ up 4 8th▲ up 4 10th▲ up 2
Draw
0.67 PPG
11th▲ up 1 12th— holds 15th▼ down 3
Loss
0.33 PPG
13th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 1 15th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 11th if every rival drops points, and as low as 15th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
3% top 4
98% below the top 4
10.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 4%
  6. 6th 6%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 11%
  10. 10th 14%
  11. 11th 13%
  12. 12th 15%
  13. 13th 12%
  14. 14th 6%
  15. 15th 2%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.64 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Central Cal Aztecs 3.00 (+2.50) 1st (2.52) 41 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
2 ALBION SC Santa Monica 3.00 (+2.50) 2nd (2.18) 41 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
3 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 3.00 (+2.50) 3rd (1.91) 41 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
4 LA Surf Futures 2.33 (+1.83) 5th (1.63) 32 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
5 Total Futbol Academy 2.33 (+1.83) 4th (1.77) 32 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
6 FC Golden State Force 2.00 (+1.50) 7th (1.51) 27 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
7 City SC Los Angeles 1.50 (+1.00) 6th (1.54) 20 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
8 LA Surf LC 1.00 (+0.50) 8th (1.28) A point next game
9 Rangers FC 1.00 (+0.50) 11th (1.17) A point next game
10 ALBION SC Los Angeles 0.75 (+0.25) 9th (1.20) A point next game
11 Fram Soccer Club 0.67 (+0.17) 13th (0.88) A point next game

How the results connect

2 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link Los Angeles SC to ALBION SC Los Angeles through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
0 favour them
+0.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 2–1 0–0 2–2 1–0 Los Angeles SC 12th Total Futbol Academy 5th Fram Soccer Club 11th LA Surf Futures 4th ALBION SC Los Angel… 10th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

2 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.07 · 4th hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
10:15 AM
ALBION SC Los Angeles
10th · 1-0-3 · GD +0
Away
Cantwell-Sacred Heart of Mary High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.12 0.71 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM
Oaks FC
14th · 0-0-2 · GD -6
Home
West Covina High School
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.98 1.03 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
10:00 AM
Rangers FC
9th · 1-0-2 · GD -6
Away
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
41%
2–2 1.41 1.10 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Antelope Valley
3rd · 2-0-0 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
2–2 1.03 1.09 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
LAIFC
15th · 0-0-3 · GD -10
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.89 1.20 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
LA Surf Futures
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–1 0.98 1.18 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
AC Brea
13th · 0-1-1 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.46 1.21 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.02 1.19 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force
6th · 2-0-1 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.45 1.21 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
LA Surf LC
8th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.47 1.23 Upside
Sat May 15
09:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Monica
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–2 0.57 1.18 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Central Cal Aztecs
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +14
Home
SilverLakes Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–2 0.48 1.13 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Central Cal Aztecs 3300 151+14 93.00 WWW -0.81 +0.03 100% 1.3
2 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2200 81+7 63.00 WW -0.36 -0.04 92% 2.5
3 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2200 105+5 63.00 WW -0.44 +0.00 70% 3.9
4 LA Surf Futures 3210 52+3 72.33 WWD -0.80 +0.20 31% 5.9
5 Total Futbol Academy 3210 64+2 72.33 WWD -0.13 +0.01 49% 4.9
6 FC Golden State Force 3201 67-1 62.00 LWW +0.06 -0.02 17% 7.1
7 City SC Los Angeles 2101 65+1 31.50 LW +0.00 -0.01 23% 6.7
8 LA Surf LC 3102 45-1 31.00 WLL +0.19 -0.04 6% 8.8
9 Rangers FC 3102 713-6 31.00 LWL +0.95 -0.20 2% 10.0
10 ALBION SC Los Angeles 4103 88+0 30.75 LLLW -0.38 +0.14 3% 9.4
11 Fram Soccer Club 3021 28-6 20.67 DLD +0.45 -0.03 1% 12.2
12 Los Angeles SC 2011 23-1 10.50 DL -0.27 +0.07 3% 10.1
13 AC Brea 2011 12-1 10.50 LD +0.11 +0.00 4% 9.5
14 Oaks FC 2002 410-6 00.00 LL +0.08 +0.10 0% 13.4
15 LAIFC 3003 212-10 00.00 LLL +0.81 -0.06 0% 14.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.15 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.