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Rangers FC

Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U17 · 15 teams · Rangers FC (all teams)

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9th
1-0-2 record · 3 played
1.00 points per game
-6 goal diff · 7–13
LWLlast 3
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.0
+0.95 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 01:15 PM

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Rangers FC
9th · 1.00 PPG
at
LAIFC
15th · 0.00 PPG

Silverlakes Sports Complex, Field 4 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.1 for, 2.2 against · 1.84 expected points)

Season so farRangers FCLAIFC
Position9th15th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-20-0-3
Points per game1.000.00
Goals for / game2.30.7
Goals against / game4.34.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)L W LL L L
Biggest win4–2 vs ALBION SC Los Angeles—
Worst loss0–4 at Central Cal Aztecs0–7 vs Central Cal Aztecs
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.68-1.53
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.95+0.81

Common opponents: Central Cal Aztecs — we 0–4; they 0–7.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    LAIFC average 0.7 goals/game (league avg 2.2); blanked in 2 of 3.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    LAIFC concede 4.0/game; worst result 0–7 vs Central Cal Aztecs.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 at Central Cal Aztecs.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 56% / draw 17% / loss 28%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    LAIFC have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:15 PM at Silverlakes Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    LA Surf LC sit 8th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above LA Surf LC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LAIFC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rangers FC – LAIFC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.50 PPG
8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1 9th— holds
Win
1.50 PPG
8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1 9th— holds
Draw
1.00 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 13th▼ down 4
Loss
0.75 PPG
10th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
10.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th 5%
  7. 7th 8%
  8. 8th 9%
  9. 9th 13%
  10. 10th 13%
  11. 11th 15%
  12. 12th 13%
  13. 13th 10%
  14. 14th 6%
  15. 15th 2%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.57 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Central Cal Aztecs 3.00 (+2.00) 1st (2.52) 39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
2 ALBION SC Santa Monica 3.00 (+2.00) 2nd (2.18) 39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
3 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 3.00 (+2.00) 3rd (1.91) 39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
4 LA Surf Futures 2.33 (+1.33) 5th (1.63) 30 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
5 Total Futbol Academy 2.33 (+1.33) 4th (1.77) 30 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
6 FC Golden State Force 2.00 (+1.00) 7th (1.51) 25 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
7 City SC Los Angeles 1.50 (+0.50) 6th (1.54) Win next game
8 LA Surf LC 1.00 (+0.00) 8th (1.28) A point next game

How the results connect

3 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Rangers FC to LAIFC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 even
0 favour them
+2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–4 7–0 4–1 3–2 4–2 0–1 2–0 Rangers FC 9th Central Cal Aztecs 1st ALBION SC Los Angel… 10th FC Golden State For… 6th LA Surf Futures 4th LAIFC 15th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 8th 15th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.20 · 15th hardest of 15

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
01:15 PM
LAIFC
15th · 0-0-3 · GD -10
Away
Silverlakes Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
3–2 1.84 1.21 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
10:00 AM
Los Angeles SC
12th · 0-1-1 · GD -1
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
40%
2–2 1.40 1.25 Upside
Sun Nov 22
10:00 AM
AC Brea
13th · 0-1-1 · GD -1
Home
Fullerton College · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–2 1.34 1.26 Upside
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy
5th · 2-1-0 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–3 0.76 1.19 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
LA Surf Futures
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–2 1.05 1.17 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force
6th · 2-0-1 · GD -1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
27%
2–3 0.97 1.15 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
LA Surf LC
8th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.04 1.14 Upside
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles
7th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
32%
2–3 1.13 1.14 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Oaks FC
14th · 0-0-2 · GD -6
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
3–3 1.54 1.17 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Monica
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +7
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.56 1.12 Upside
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Fram Soccer Club
11th · 0-2-1 · GD -6
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
2–2 1.82 1.17 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Central Cal Aztecs 3300 151+14 93.00 WWW -0.81 +0.03 99% 1.3
2 ALBION SC Santa Monica 2200 81+7 63.00 WW -0.36 -0.04 93% 2.5
3 ALBION SC Antelope Valley 2200 105+5 63.00 WW -0.44 +0.00 70% 3.9
4 LA Surf Futures 3210 52+3 72.33 WWD -0.80 +0.20 31% 5.9
5 Total Futbol Academy 3210 64+2 72.33 WWD -0.13 +0.01 49% 5.0
6 FC Golden State Force 3201 67-1 62.00 LWW +0.06 -0.02 18% 7.1
7 City SC Los Angeles 2101 65+1 31.50 LW +0.00 -0.01 24% 6.6
8 LA Surf LC 3102 45-1 31.00 WLL +0.19 -0.04 5% 8.9
9 Rangers FC 3102 713-6 31.00 LWL +0.95 -0.20 2% 10.0
10 ALBION SC Los Angeles 4103 88+0 30.75 LLLW -0.38 +0.14 2% 9.5
11 Fram Soccer Club 3021 28-6 20.67 DLD +0.45 -0.03 0% 12.3
12 Los Angeles SC 2011 23-1 10.50 DL -0.27 +0.07 2% 10.1
13 AC Brea 2011 12-1 10.50 LD +0.11 +0.00 4% 9.5
14 Oaks FC 2002 410-6 00.00 LL +0.08 +0.10 0% 13.3
15 LAIFC 3003 212-10 00.00 LLL +0.81 -0.06 0% 14.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.15 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.