TableChase Clubs

Orland Park Sting FC

Elite Academy League · Mid-America U13 · 17 teams · Orland Park Sting FC (all teams)

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2nd
3-1-0 record · 4 played
2.50 points per game
+6 goal diff · 10–4
WWWDlast 4
70% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.7
+0.42 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 8, 10:00 AM

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Orland Park Sting FC
2nd · 2.50 PPG
vs

Schussler Park Blue Turf #1, Blue Turf #1 ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.3 for, 1.7 against · 1.75 expected points)

Season so farOrland Park Sting FCChicago KICS Youth Soccer Club
Position2nd6th
Record (W-D-L)3-1-01-2-0
Points per game2.501.67
Goals for / game2.53.0
Goals against / game1.01.3
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)D W W WD D W
Biggest win3–0 at JaHBat6–1 vs North Shore United Soccer Club
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.95+0.70
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.42-0.49

Common opponents: North Shore United Soccer Club — we 4–2; they 6–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club score 3.0/game — well above the league's 2.1.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 52% / draw 20% / loss 28%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Orland Park Sting FC – Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.60 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Win
2.60 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.20 PPG
4th▼ down 2 3rd▼ down 1 4th▼ down 2
Loss
2.00 PPG
5th▼ down 3 4th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

10% finish 1st
70% top 4
30% below the top 4
3.7 average finish
  1. 1st 10%
  2. 2nd 18%
  3. 3rd 22%
  4. 4th 20%
  5. 5th 14%
  6. 6th 8%
  7. 7th 5%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.87 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Croatian Eagles SC 3.00 (+0.50) 1st (2.33) 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection

How the results connect

3 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Orland Park Sting FC to Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
2 favour them
-1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–2 1–6 2–2 1–0 3–0 3–2 1–1 Orland Park Sting FC 2nd North Shore United … 16th FC1 Academy 7th JaHBat 4th USA of Indiana 11th Chicago KICS Youth … 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.19 · 15th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 8
10:00 AM
Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club
6th · 1-2-0 · GD +5
Home
Schussler Park Blue Turf #1 · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.75 2.35 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
12:00 AM
Chicago City Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -23
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
5–1 2.79 2.42 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
Forward Madison
8th · 2-0-2 · GD -5
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–0 2.33 2.41 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Indy Premier SC
17th · 0-0-3 · GD -21
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
5–0 2.91 2.47 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Chicago Rush
9th · 2-0-3 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.41 2.35 Upside
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
FC Stars
14th · 0-0-1 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.16 2.33 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
JB Marine Soccer Club
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
2–1 2.08 2.31 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
United Elite SC
10th · 1-2-2 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
1–1 1.65 2.26 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Croatian Eagles SC
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +12
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.15 2.17 Upside
Sat May 8
12:00 AM
Chicago Empire FC
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +14
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.75 2.07 Upside
Sun May 16
12:00 AM
USA of Indiana
11th · 1-1-3 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–0 2.25 2.08 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Croatian Eagles SC 4400 142+12 123.00 WWWW -0.45 +0.47 90% 2.3
2 Orland Park Sting FC 4310 104+6 102.50 WWWD +0.42 -0.19 70% 3.7
3 Chicago Empire FC 3210 151+14 72.33 DWW -0.76 -0.05 93% 2.2
4 JaHBat 4301 176+11 92.25 LWWW -0.96 +0.16 46% 4.9
5 Team Chicago 5302 123+9 91.80 LLWWW -0.25 -0.09 56% 4.4
6 Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club 3120 94+5 51.67 WDD -0.49 +0.01 15% 7.0
7 FC1 Academy 6312 96+3 101.67 LDWLW -0.02 -0.12 10% 7.3
8 Forward Madison 4202 38-5 61.50 WLLW +0.48 +0.36 0% 11.6
9 Chicago Rush 5203 158+7 61.20 LLWWL -0.38 +0.02 9% 7.6
10 United Elite SC 5122 66+0 51.00 DDLWL +0.62 -0.37 2% 9.1
11 USA of Indiana 5113 59-4 40.80 LDLWL +0.04 +0.01 0% 12.6
12 Chicago City Soccer Club 4103 528-23 30.75 WLLL +0.86 -0.07 0% 15.2
13 JB Marine Soccer Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.36 ——
14 FC Stars 1001 01-1 00.00 L -0.63 +0.02 0% 11.2
15 Hoosier FC 1001 05-5 00.00 L +1.28 -0.14 0% 13.4
16 North Shore United Soccer Club 3003 311-8 00.00 LLL +0.65 +0.36 0% 15.3
17 Indy Premier SC 3003 021-21 00.00 LLL +1.18 -0.10 0% 16.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.07 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.