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United Elite SC

Elite Academy League · Mid-America U13 · 17 teams · United Elite SC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 20 hours ago.
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10th
1-2-2 record · 5 played
1.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 6–6
DDLWLlast 5
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.1
+0.62 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 8, 08:00 AM

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United Elite SC
10th · 1.00 PPG
vs
FC Stars
14th · 0.00 PPG

315 Sports Park, Field 1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.6 for, 1.1 against · 1.72 expected points)

Season so farUnited Elite SCFC Stars
Position10th14th
Record (W-D-L)1-2-20-0-1
Points per game1.000.00
Goals for / game1.20.0
Goals against / game1.21.0
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)L W L D DL
Biggest win3–0 at Forward Madison—
Worst loss0–2 at Croatian Eagles SC0–1 at Forward Madison
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.15-0.27
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.62-0.63

Common opponents: Forward Madison — we 3–0; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    FC Stars average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.1); blanked in 1 of 1.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at Croatian Eagles SC, 0–1 vs USA of Indiana.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 49% / draw 25% / loss 26%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Chicago Rush sit 9th on 1.20 PPG; we are on 1.00.

    A point moves us above Chicago Rush on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Stars game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (United Elite SC – FC Stars) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.00 PPG
10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 4
Win
1.33 PPG
9th▲ up 1 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1
Draw
1.00 PPG
10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 4
Loss
0.83 PPG
11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2 14th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 8th if every rival drops points, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
9.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 4%
  6. 6th 6%
  7. 7th 10%
  8. 8th 14%
  9. 9th 20%
  10. 10th 19%
  11. 11th 13%
  12. 12th 7%
  13. 13th 3%
  14. 14th 1%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th
  17. 17th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.38 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Croatian Eagles SC 3.00 (+2.00) 1st (2.33) 43 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
2 Orland Park Sting FC 2.50 (+1.50) 3rd (2.08) 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
3 Chicago Empire FC 2.33 (+1.33) 2nd (2.31) 33 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
4 JaHBat 2.25 (+1.25) 5th (1.92) 31 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
5 Team Chicago 1.80 (+0.80) 4th (1.97) 24 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6 Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club 1.67 (+0.67) 6th (1.66) 22 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
7 FC1 Academy 1.67 (+0.67) 7th (1.64) 22 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
8 Forward Madison 1.50 (+0.50) 12th (1.10) 19 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
9 Chicago Rush 1.20 (+0.20) 8th (1.58) A point next game

How the results connect

1 chain · 3 teams

Paths of results that link United Elite SC to FC Stars through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
0 favour them
+4.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 1–0 United Elite SC 10th Forward Madison 8th FC Stars 14th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.37 · 17th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 8
08:00 AM
FC Stars
14th · 0-0-1 · GD -1
Home
315 Sports Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
1–1 1.72 1.12 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
12:00 AM
Chicago City Soccer Club
12th · 1-0-3 · GD -23
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.46 1.31 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
12:00 AM
North Shore United Soccer Club
16th · 0-0-3 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.14 1.41 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
JaHBat
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +11
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.81 1.35 Upside
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
Team Chicago
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +9
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
24%
0–1 0.96 1.31 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
FC1 Academy
7th · 3-1-2 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–1 1.35 1.31 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Orland Park Sting FC
2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +6
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–1 1.11 1.30 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Indy Premier SC
17th · 0-0-3 · GD -21
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
3–0 2.71 1.40 Bank it
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
JB Marine Soccer Club
13th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.35 1.40 Upside
Sat May 8
12:00 AM
Chicago Rush
9th · 2-0-3 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.98 1.37 Upside
Sun May 16
12:00 AM
Hoosier FC
15th · 0-0-1 · GD -5
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.13 1.42 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Croatian Eagles SC 4400 142+12 123.00 WWWW -0.45 +0.47 90% 2.3
2 Orland Park Sting FC 4310 104+6 102.50 WWWD +0.42 -0.19 70% 3.8
3 Chicago Empire FC 3210 151+14 72.33 DWW -0.76 -0.05 92% 2.2
4 JaHBat 4301 176+11 92.25 LWWW -0.96 +0.16 45% 4.9
5 Team Chicago 5302 123+9 91.80 LLWWW -0.25 -0.09 55% 4.5
6 Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club 3120 94+5 51.67 WDD -0.49 +0.01 14% 7.1
7 FC1 Academy 6312 96+3 101.67 LDWLW -0.02 -0.12 11% 7.3
8 Forward Madison 4202 38-5 61.50 WLLW +0.48 +0.36 0% 11.6
9 Chicago Rush 5203 158+7 61.20 LLWWL -0.38 +0.02 10% 7.6
10 United Elite SC 5122 66+0 51.00 DDLWL +0.62 -0.37 2% 9.1
11 USA of Indiana 5113 59-4 40.80 LDLWL +0.04 +0.01 0% 12.5
12 Chicago City Soccer Club 4103 528-23 30.75 WLLL +0.86 -0.07 0% 15.2
13 JB Marine Soccer Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.36 ——
14 FC Stars 1001 01-1 00.00 L -0.63 +0.02 0% 11.2
15 Hoosier FC 1001 05-5 00.00 L +1.28 -0.14 0% 13.4
16 North Shore United Soccer Club 3003 311-8 00.00 LLL +0.65 +0.36 0% 15.3
17 Indy Premier SC 3003 021-21 00.00 LLL +1.18 -0.10 0% 16.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.07 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.