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JaHBat

Elite Academy League · Mid-America U13 · 17 teams · JaHBat (all teams)

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4th
3-0-1 record · 4 played
2.25 points per game
+11 goal diff · 17–6
LWWWlast 4
46% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.9
-0.96 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 8, 08:00 AM

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JaHBat
4th · 2.25 PPG
at
Team Chicago
5th · 1.80 PPG

Team Chicago Soccer Complex, TC Turf ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.6 for, 2.2 against · 1.08 expected points)

Season so farJaHBatTeam Chicago
Position4th5th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-13-0-2
Points per game2.251.80
Goals for / game4.32.4
Goals against / game1.50.6
Clean sheets13
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)W W W LW W W L L
Biggest win9–1 vs Chicago City Soccer Club6–0 vs Indy Premier SC
Worst loss0–3 vs Orland Park Sting FC1–2 at Croatian Eagles SC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.28+1.15
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.96-0.25

Common opponents: Orland Park Sting FC — we 0–3; they 0–1.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Team Chicago concede only 0.6/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 vs Orland Park Sting FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 29%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Team Chicago have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:00 AM at Team Chicago Soccer Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Chicago Empire FC sit 3rd on 2.33 PPG; we are on 2.25.

    A point moves us above Chicago Empire FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Team Chicago game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (JaHBat – Team Chicago) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.80 PPG
5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 3
Win
2.40 PPG
3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds 4th— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG
4th— holds 4th— holds 5th▼ down 1
Loss
1.80 PPG
5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 4th even if every rival loses, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

3% finish 1st
46% top 4
54% below the top 4
4.9 average finish
  1. 1st 3%
  2. 2nd 10%
  3. 3rd 16%
  4. 4th 17%
  5. 5th 18%
  6. 6th 14%
  7. 7th 10%
  8. 8th 6%
  9. 9th 4%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.80 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Croatian Eagles SC 3.00 (+0.75) 1st (2.33) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
2 Orland Park Sting FC 2.50 (+0.25) 3rd (2.08) 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
3 Chicago Empire FC 2.33 (+0.08) 2nd (2.31) A point next game

How the results connect

3 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link JaHBat to Team Chicago through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
2 favour them
-1.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 1–0 9–1 0–8 2–1 2–2 0–1 JaHBat 4th Orland Park Sting FC 2nd Chicago City Soccer… 12th Croatian Eagles SC 1st FC1 Academy 7th Team Chicago 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 11 Oct 17

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.16 · 4th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 8
08:00 AM
Team Chicago
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +9
Away
Team Chicago Soccer Complex · turf
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–2 1.08 2.02 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Chicago Empire FC
3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +14
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
28%
2–2 1.00 1.85 Upside
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Croatian Eagles SC
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +12
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.89 1.71 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Forward Madison
8th · 2-0-2 · GD -5
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.24 1.78 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Indy Premier SC
17th · 0-0-3 · GD -21
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
6–0 2.95 1.91 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
12:00 AM
United Elite SC
10th · 1-2-2 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 2.00 1.92 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club
6th · 1-2-0 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–2 1.84 1.91 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
12:00 AM
Chicago Rush
9th · 2-0-3 · GD +7
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.46 1.87 Swing game
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
FC Stars
14th · 0-0-1 · GD -1
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.03 1.88 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
North Shore United Soccer Club
16th · 0-0-3 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
4–1 2.67 1.94 Bank it
Sat May 15
12:00 AM
FC1 Academy
7th · 3-1-2 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–1 1.57 1.92 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Croatian Eagles SC 4400 142+12 123.00 WWWW -0.45 +0.47 90% 2.3
2 Orland Park Sting FC 4310 104+6 102.50 WWWD +0.42 -0.19 70% 3.7
3 Chicago Empire FC 3210 151+14 72.33 DWW -0.76 -0.05 93% 2.2
4 JaHBat 4301 176+11 92.25 LWWW -0.96 +0.16 46% 4.9
5 Team Chicago 5302 123+9 91.80 LLWWW -0.25 -0.09 56% 4.4
6 Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club 3120 94+5 51.67 WDD -0.49 +0.01 15% 7.0
7 FC1 Academy 6312 96+3 101.67 LDWLW -0.02 -0.12 10% 7.3
8 Forward Madison 4202 38-5 61.50 WLLW +0.48 +0.36 0% 11.6
9 Chicago Rush 5203 158+7 61.20 LLWWL -0.38 +0.02 9% 7.6
10 United Elite SC 5122 66+0 51.00 DDLWL +0.62 -0.37 2% 9.1
11 USA of Indiana 5113 59-4 40.80 LDLWL +0.04 +0.01 0% 12.6
12 Chicago City Soccer Club 4103 528-23 30.75 WLLL +0.86 -0.07 0% 15.2
13 JB Marine Soccer Club 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.36 ——
14 FC Stars 1001 01-1 00.00 L -0.63 +0.02 0% 11.2
15 Hoosier FC 1001 05-5 00.00 L +1.28 -0.14 0% 13.4
16 North Shore United Soccer Club 3003 311-8 00.00 LLL +0.65 +0.36 0% 15.3
17 Indy Premier SC 3003 021-21 00.00 LLL +1.18 -0.10 0% 16.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.07 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.