FC Stars
Elite Academy League · Mid-America U13 · 17 teams · FC Stars (all teams)
Next game — Wed Nov 4, 08:00 PM
Niles West High School (Stadium), STADIUM ↗ · turf?
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.5 for, 2.1 against · 1.02 expected points)
| Season so far | FC Stars | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 14th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-1 | 1-2-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L | D D W |
| Biggest win | — | 6–1 vs North Shore United Soccer Club |
| Worst loss | 0–1 at Forward Madison | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.27 | +0.70 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.63 | -0.49 |
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club score 3.0/game — well above the league's 2.1.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 27%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
JB Marine Soccer Club sit 13th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above JB Marine Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Wednesday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Stars – Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
14th— holds | 14th— holds | 16th▼ down 2 |
| Win 1.50 PPG |
7th▲ up 7 | 8th▲ up 6 | 9th▲ up 5 |
| Draw 0.50 PPG |
13th▲ up 1 | 13th▲ up 1 | 15th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
14th— holds | 14th— holds | 16th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 14th even if every rival loses, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th <1%
- 5th 1%
- 6th 2%
- 7th 3%
- 8th 6%
- 9th 8%
- 10th 14%
- 11th 19%
- 12th 19%
- 13th 14%
- 14th 9%
- 15th 4%
- 16th 1%
- 17th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.80 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatian Eagles SC | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.33) | 45 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 2 | Orland Park Sting FC | 2.50 (+2.50) | 3rd (2.08) | 38 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 3 | Chicago Empire FC | 2.33 (+2.33) | 2nd (2.31) | 35 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 4 | JaHBat | 2.25 (+2.25) | 5th (1.92) | 34 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 5 | Team Chicago | 1.80 (+1.80) | 4th (1.97) | 27 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
| 6 | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club | 1.67 (+1.67) | 6th (1.66) | 26 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection |
| 7 | FC1 Academy | 1.67 (+1.67) | 7th (1.64) | 26 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection |
| 8 | Forward Madison | 1.50 (+1.50) | 12th (1.10) | Win next game |
| 9 | Chicago Rush | 1.20 (+1.20) | 8th (1.58) | A point next game |
| 10 | United Elite SC | 1.00 (+1.00) | 10th (1.42) | A point next game |
| 11 | USA of Indiana | 0.80 (+0.80) | 13th (0.96) | A point next game |
| 12 | Chicago City Soccer Club | 0.75 (+0.75) | 15th (0.55) | A point next game |
| 13 | JB Marine Soccer Club | 0.00 (+0.00) | 9th (1.49) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
1 chain · 4 teams
Paths of results that link FC Stars to Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.02 · 5th hardest of 17
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Nov 4 08:00 PM |
Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club 6th · 1-2-0 · GD +5 |
Home Niles West High School (Stadium) · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–2 | 1.02 | 0.51 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 08:00 AM |
United Elite SC 10th · 1-2-2 · GD +0 |
Away 315 Sports Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–1 | 1.03 | 0.68 | Upside |
| Thu Nov 12 06:00 PM |
FC1 Academy 7th · 3-1-2 · GD +3 |
Home Niles West High School (Stadium) · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–1 | 1.14 | 0.80 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 09:00 AM |
Hoosier FC 15th · 0-0-1 · GD -5 |
Home Niles West High School (Stadium) · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.92 | 1.02 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 12:00 AM |
Chicago Rush 9th · 2-0-3 · GD +7 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.73 | 0.97 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 27 11:00 AM |
Indy Premier SC 17th · 0-0-3 · GD -21 |
Away Trinity Sports Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
3–1 | 2.43 | 1.18 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
North Shore United Soccer Club 16th · 0-0-3 · GD -8 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.94 | 1.28 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
Croatian Eagles SC 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +12 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.59 | 1.20 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM |
Orland Park Sting FC 2nd · 3-1-0 · GD +6 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–2 | 0.66 | 1.15 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Chicago Empire FC 3rd · 2-1-0 · GD +14 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 7% |
0–3 | 0.31 | 1.07 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
JaHBat 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +11 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.79 | 1.05 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 12:00 AM |
Chicago City Soccer Club 12th · 1-0-3 · GD -23 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
3–1 | 2.28 | 1.14 | Bank it |
| Sat May 15 02:00 PM |
USA of Indiana 11th · 1-1-3 · GD -4 |
Home Middle - Niles West High School (Back Grass Fields) · grass |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
1–1 | 1.63 | 1.18 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 12:00 AM |
Team Chicago 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +9 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
0–1 | 0.75 | 1.15 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Croatian Eagles SC | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.45 | +0.47 | 90% | 2.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 22 at Forward Madison · Sat Mar 13 vs JaHBat · Sun Mar 14 vs Chicago Rush See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Orland Park Sting FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 10 | 2.50 | WWWD | +0.42 | -0.19 | 70% | 3.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Sun Nov 22 at Chicago City Soccer Club · Sat Mar 6 vs Forward Madison See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Chicago Empire FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 1 | +14 | 7 | 2.33 | DWW | -0.76 | -0.05 | 92% | 2.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs North Shore United Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 at Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Sun Mar 7 at JaHBat See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | JaHBat | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | -0.96 | +0.16 | 45% | 4.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 at Team Chicago · Sun Mar 7 vs Chicago Empire FC · Sat Mar 13 at Croatian Eagles SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Team Chicago | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | -0.25 | -0.09 | 55% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs JaHBat · Sun Mar 7 vs JB Marine Soccer Club · Sat Mar 20 at Hoosier FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 5 | 1.67 | WDD | -0.49 | +0.01 | 14% | 7.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Nov 4 at FC Stars · Sat Nov 7 vs Chicago Empire FC · Sun Nov 8 at Orland Park Sting FC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC1 Academy | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 | 1.67 | LDWLW | -0.02 | -0.12 | 11% | 7.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Thu Nov 12 at FC Stars · Sat Mar 6 vs JB Marine Soccer Club · Sun Mar 7 vs Forward Madison See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Forward Madison | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 6 | 1.50 | WLLW | +0.48 | +0.36 | 0% | 11.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 21 vs North Shore United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 22 vs Croatian Eagles SC · Sat Mar 6 at Orland Park Sting FC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Chicago Rush | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 6 | 1.20 | LLWWL | -0.38 | +0.02 | 10% | 7.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Indy Premier SC · Sun Nov 8 at Hoosier FC · Sun Nov 22 vs FC Stars See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | United Elite SC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 5 | 1.00 | DDLWL | +0.62 | -0.37 | 2% | 9.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs FC Stars · Sat Nov 21 at Chicago City Soccer Club · Sat Mar 6 vs North Shore United Soccer Club See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | USA of Indiana | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | 0.80 | LDLWL | +0.04 | +0.01 | 0% | 12.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 21 vs Indy Premier SC · Sat Feb 27 at JB Marine Soccer Club · Sun Mar 14 at Chicago Empire FC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Chicago City Soccer Club | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 28 | -23 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +0.86 | -0.07 | 0% | 15.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 at Indy Premier SC · Sat Nov 14 vs Hoosier FC · Sat Nov 21 vs United Elite SC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | JB Marine Soccer Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.36 | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Feb 20 vs Hoosier FC · Sat Feb 27 vs USA of Indiana · Sat Mar 6 at FC1 Academy See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | FC Stars | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | L | -0.63 | +0.02 | 0% | 11.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Wed Nov 4 vs Chicago KICS Youth Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 at United Elite SC · Thu Nov 12 vs FC1 Academy See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | Hoosier FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +1.28 | -0.14 | 0% | 13.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs Chicago Rush · Sat Nov 14 at Chicago City Soccer Club · Sun Nov 15 at FC Stars See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | North Shore United Soccer Club | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.65 | +0.36 | 0% | 15.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Chicago Empire FC · Sat Nov 21 at Forward Madison · Sat Mar 6 at United Elite SC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | Indy Premier SC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 21 | -21 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.18 | -0.10 | 0% | 16.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Chicago Rush · Sun Nov 8 vs Chicago City Soccer Club · Sat Nov 21 at USA of Indiana See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.07 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.