TableChase Clubs

Rockford Raptors FC Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Lake Michigan GU11 · 13 teams · Rockford Raptors FC (all teams)

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2nd
5-0-1 record · 6 played
2.50 points per game
+12 goal diff · 19–7
WLWWWlast 5
34% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.7
-0.85 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:30 PM

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Rockford Raptors FC Pre
2nd · 2.50 PPG
vs
NWI Lions United Pre
4th · 2.25 PPG

Mercyhealth Sportscore Two, FIELD-TBA (9v9) ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.6 for, 2.9 against · 1.23 expected points)

Season so farRockford Raptors FC PreNWI Lions United Pre
Position2nd4th
Record (W-D-L)5-0-13-0-1
Points per game2.502.25
Goals for / game3.26.8
Goals against / game1.21.5
Clean sheets31
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W W W L WW L W W
Biggest win7–0 at Evolution Pre12–3 vs FC Wisconsin Pre
Worst loss0–4 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre1–2 vs Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.99+2.25
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.85-1.68

Common opponents: Evolution Pre — we 7–0; they 8–0. Force Pre — we 3–1; they 6–1. Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre — we 3–2; they 1–2. FC Wisconsin Pre — we 2–0; they 12–3.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    NWI Lions United Pre score 6.8/game — well above the league's 2.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 35%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the NWI Lions United Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Rockford Raptors FC Pre – NWI Lions United Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.29 PPG		 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1 4th▼ down 2
Win
2.57 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.29 PPG		 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1 4th▼ down 2
Loss
2.14 PPG		 5th▼ down 3 4th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
34% top 4
66% below the top 4
4.7 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 4%
  3. 3rd 10%
  4. 4th 19%
  5. 5th 40%
  6. 6th 26%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 3.00 (+0.50) 1st (2.75) 57 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection

How the results connect

22 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Rockford Raptors FC Pre to NWI Lions United Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
3 even
13 favour them
-1.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
7–0 0–8 3–2 2–1 3–1 1–6 2–0 3–12 0–4 12–0 4–1 1–3 4–0 2–0 3–4 3–0 5–1 Rockford Raptors FC… 2nd Evolution Pre 13th Chicago Soccer Acad… 8th Force Pre 12th FC Wisconsin Pre 9th Eclipse Select Socc… 6th Rockford Raptors FC… 7th NWI Lions United Pre 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 23 Sep 8 Sep 14 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.33 · 5th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Sep 19
12:00 PM
no score posted		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +37		 Home
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two		 ●●●●● Very tough
16%		 2–3 0.61 2.23 Upside
Sat Oct 24
03:30 PM		 NWI Lions United Pre
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +21		 Home
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 2–2 1.23 2.11 Upside
Sat Oct 24
11:30 AM		 Indiana Elite FC Pre
11th · 1-2-4 · GD -18		 Home
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two		 ●○○○○ Favorable
88%		 3–0 2.71 2.17 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
10:00 AM		 Evolution Pre
13th · 1-0-7 · GD -35		 Home
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two		 ●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 5–0 2.88 2.24 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
10:00 AM		 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +7		 Away far trip
LTSC		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 1–1 1.36 2.16 Upside
Sat Nov 14
04:00 PM		 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue
10th · 1-2-3 · GD -20		 Home
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two		 ●○○○○ Favorable
87%		 4–1 2.70 2.21 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
10:00 AM		 Chicago Inter Pre- Red
5th · 4-1-1 · GD +21		 Home
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 2–2 1.12 2.13 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II
7th · 3-1-2 · GD -7		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
64%		 2–1 2.10 2.12 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +7		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 1–1 1.64 2.09 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 FC Wisconsin Pre
9th · 2-3-4 · GD -14		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
80%		 3–1 2.53 2.12 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 Indiana Elite FC Pre
11th · 1-2-4 · GD -18		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
82%		 3–1 2.56 2.14 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 NWI Lions United Pre
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +21		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
25%		 2–3 0.91 2.08 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre
8th · 4-0-6 · GD -5		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
59%		 2–1 1.94 2.07 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 Force Pre
12th · 2-0-8 · GD -18		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
75%		 3–1 2.40 2.09 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
TBD		 Chicago Inter Pre- Red
5th · 4-1-1 · GD +21		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
22%		 2–3 0.82 2.02 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD		 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue
10th · 1-2-3 · GD -20		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
81%		 3–1 2.53 2.05 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +37		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
16%		 2–3 0.61 1.99 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
6th · 4-1-2 · GD +19		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
35%		 2–2 1.24 1.95 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 6600 469+37 183.00 WWWWW +0.56 -0.52 100% 1.0
2 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 6501 197+12 152.50 WLWWW -0.85 +0.33 34% 4.7
3 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 5401 125+7 122.40 WLWWW -0.77 +0.26 15% 5.4
4 NWI Lions United Pre 4301 276+21 92.25 WWLW -1.68 +0.23 72% 3.8
5 Chicago Inter Pre- Red 6411 3211+21 132.17 WWLDW +0.46 -0.24 95% 2.6
6 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 7412 3415+19 131.86 WWWDL +0.94 -0.46 84% 3.4
7 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II 6312 714-7 101.67 LLWWD -0.23 +0.31 0% 7.8
8 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 10406 2429-5 121.20 WLLLL +0.21 +0.15 0% 7.4
9 FC Wisconsin Pre 9234 1327-14 91.00 DLWDL -0.52 +0.65 0% 9.5
10 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 6123 626-20 50.83 DLLLW +0.47 +0.25 0% 10.3
11 Indiana Elite FC Pre 7124 624-18 50.71 LLWLL -0.81 +0.72 0% 11.5
12 Force Pre 10208 1230-18 60.60 LLLLL -0.29 +0.66 0% 10.7
13 Evolution Pre 8107 641-35 30.38 LLLWL -0.12 +0.63 0% 12.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.76 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.