TableChase Clubs

Chicago Inter Pre- Blue

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Lake Michigan GU11 · 13 teams · Chicago Inter (all teams)

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10th
1-2-3 record · 6 played
0.83 points per game
-20 goal diff · 6–26
DLLLWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.4
+0.47 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:00 PM

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Chicago Inter Pre- Blue
10th · 0.83 PPG
vs

Chicago Inter Complex, Field 5 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.9 for, 3.1 against · 0.79 expected points)

Season so farChicago Inter Pre- BlueChicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre
Position10th8th
Record (W-D-L)1-2-34-0-6
Points per game0.831.20
Goals for / game1.02.4
Goals against / game4.32.9
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless31
Form (recent first)W L L L DL L L L W
Biggest win3–1 vs Force Pre5–1 vs Evolution Pre
Worst loss0–12 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre0–8 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.01-0.39
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.47+0.21

Common opponents: Indiana Elite FC Pre — we 2–2; they 5–1. FC Wisconsin Pre — we 1–1; they 2–3. FC 1974 Libertyville Pre — we 0–4; they 2–3. Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre — we 0–6; they 1–4. Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre — we 0–12; they 0–8. Force Pre — we 3–1; they 4–3.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–4 at FC 1974 Libertyville Pre, 0–6 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre, 0–12 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 21%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • What a win does
    FC Wisconsin Pre sit 9th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.83.

    A point moves us above FC Wisconsin Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chicago Inter Pre- Blue – Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 12 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.71 PPG
11th▼ down 1 10th— holds 12th▼ down 2
Win
1.14 PPG
8th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 2 11th▼ down 1
Draw
0.86 PPG
10th— holds 9th▲ up 1 12th▼ down 2
Loss
0.71 PPG
11th▼ down 1 10th— holds 12th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 4%
  9. 9th 20%
  10. 10th 30%
  11. 11th 27%
  12. 12th 15%
  13. 13th 3%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.46 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 3.00 (+2.17) 1st (2.75) 67 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 62 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 2.50 (+1.67) 5th (1.95) 55 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
3 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 2.40 (+1.57) 6th (1.82) 53 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
4 NWI Lions United Pre 2.25 (+1.42) 4th (2.10) 49 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
5 Chicago Inter Pre- Red 2.17 (+1.34) 2nd (2.30) 48 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
6 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 1.86 (+1.03) 3rd (2.17) 40 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
7 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II 1.67 (+0.84) 8th (1.19) 36 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
8 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 1.20 (+0.37) 7th (1.27) 24 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
9 FC Wisconsin Pre 1.00 (+0.17) 9th (0.86) A point next game

How the results connect

32 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Chicago Inter Pre- Blue to Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

9 favour us
3 even
20 favour them
-1.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–1 3–4 1–1 3–2 0–6 4–1 0–4 3–2 0–12 8–0 2–2 1–5 3–1 1–5 4–6 2–1 1–3 3–2 0–2 2–1 0–2 Chicago Inter Pre- … 10th Force Pre 12th FC Wisconsin Pre 9th Eclipse Select Socc… 6th FC 1974 Libertyvill… 3rd Eclipse Select Socc… 1st Indiana Elite FC Pre 11th Evolution Pre 13th Rockford Raptors FC… 2nd Rockford Raptors FC… 7th Chicago Soccer Acad… 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 23 Sep 8 Sep 14 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.25 · 8th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Tue Oct 20
06:00 PM
no score posted
Chicago Inter Pre- Red
5th · 4-1-1 · GD +21
Away
Chicago Inter Complex
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–6 0.06 0.72 Upside
Sat Oct 24
02:00 PM
Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre
8th · 4-0-6 · GD -5
Home
Chicago Inter Complex
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–3 0.79 0.73 Upside
Sat Nov 14
04:00 PM
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +12
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.22 0.67 Upside
Sat Nov 14
11:30 AM
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II
7th · 3-1-2 · GD -7
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.83 0.69 Upside
Sat Nov 21
03:00 PM
NWI Lions United Pre
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +21
Away far trip
Crown Point Sportsplex · turf
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–6 0.07 0.63 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Chicago Inter Pre- Red
5th · 4-1-1 · GD +21
Home
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–5 0.13 0.59 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Evolution Pre
13th · 1-0-7 · GD -35
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.80 0.69 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +37
Home
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–7 0.03 0.64 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
6th · 4-1-2 · GD +19
Home
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–5 0.16 0.61 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Evolution Pre
13th · 1-0-7 · GD -35
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
2–1 2.09 0.70 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
TBD
FC Wisconsin Pre
9th · 2-3-4 · GD -14
Home
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–2 1.29 0.73 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II
7th · 3-1-2 · GD -7
Home
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–2 1.09 0.75 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +12
Home
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.36 0.73 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +7
Home
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.46 0.72 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD
Force Pre
12th · 2-0-8 · GD -18
Away
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.14 0.74 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD
Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre
8th · 4-0-6 · GD -5
Away
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.54 0.73 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD
Indiana Elite FC Pre
11th · 1-2-4 · GD -18
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.67 0.77 Swing game
Sun May 23
TBD
NWI Lions United Pre
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +21
Home
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–5 0.14 0.75 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 6600 469+37 183.00 WWWWW +0.56 -0.52 100% 1.0
2 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 6501 197+12 152.50 WLWWW -0.85 +0.33 37% 4.7
3 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 5401 125+7 122.40 WLWWW -0.77 +0.26 17% 5.4
4 NWI Lions United Pre 4301 276+21 92.25 WWLW -1.68 +0.23 71% 3.8
5 Chicago Inter Pre- Red 6411 3211+21 132.17 WWLDW +0.46 -0.24 94% 2.7
6 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 7412 3415+19 131.86 WWWDL +0.94 -0.46 82% 3.5
7 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II 6312 714-7 101.67 LLWWD -0.23 +0.31 0% 7.8
8 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 10406 2429-5 121.20 WLLLL +0.21 +0.15 0% 7.4
9 FC Wisconsin Pre 9234 1327-14 91.00 DLWDL -0.52 +0.65 0% 9.5
10 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 6123 626-20 50.83 DLLLW +0.47 +0.25 0% 10.4
11 Indiana Elite FC Pre 7124 624-18 50.71 LLWLL -0.81 +0.72 0% 11.5
12 Force Pre 10208 1230-18 60.60 LLLLL -0.29 +0.66 0% 10.7
13 Evolution Pre 8107 641-35 30.38 LLLWL -0.12 +0.63 0% 12.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.76 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.