Chicago Inter Pre- Red
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Lake Michigan GU11 · 13 teams · Chicago Inter (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM
Stuart Sports Complex, Field 52 ↗ far trip
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 7–1 (expected goals 7.1 for, 1.1 against · 2.95 expected points)
| Season so far | Chicago Inter Pre- Red | Evolution Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 13th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-1 | 1-0-7 |
| Points per game | 2.17 | 0.38 |
| Goals for / game | 5.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 5.1 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 4 |
| Form (recent first) | W D L W W | L W L L L |
| Biggest win | 11–0 at Indiana Elite FC Pre | 3–1 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre |
| Worst loss | 3–7 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre | 0–12 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.42 | -3.28 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.46 | -0.12 |
Common opponents: Indiana Elite FC Pre — we 11–0; they 3–1. FC Wisconsin Pre — we 7–1; they 0–3. Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre — we 2–2; they 0–12. Force Pre — we 6–0; they 1–3.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Evolution Pre average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.8); blanked in 4 of 8.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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They leak goals — be greedy
Evolution Pre concede 5.1/game; worst result 0–12 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 98% chance; likely score 7–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at Stuart Sports Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
NWI Lions United Pre sit 4th on 2.25 PPG; we are on 2.17.A point moves us above NWI Lions United Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Evolution Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Chicago Inter Pre- Red – Evolution Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.29 PPG |
4th▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 2 | 5th— holds |
| Win 2.29 PPG |
4th▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 2 | 5th— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 7th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.86 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 7th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 7–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 3%
- 2nd 53%
- 3rd 26%
- 4th 12%
- 5th 5%
- 6th 1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.79 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre | 3.00 (+0.83) | 1st (2.75) | 59 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection |
| 2 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre | 2.50 (+0.33) | 5th (1.95) | 47 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection |
| 3 | FC 1974 Libertyville Pre | 2.40 (+0.23) | 6th (1.82) | 45 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 4 | NWI Lions United Pre | 2.25 (+0.08) | 4th (2.10) | A point next game |
How the results connect
28 chains · 11 teams
Paths of results that link Chicago Inter Pre- Red to Evolution Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
15 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.24 · 11th hardest of 13
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Oct 20 06:00 PM no score posted |
Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 10th · 1-2-3 · GD -20 |
Home Chicago Inter Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 96% |
6–1 | 2.91 | 2.27 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM |
Evolution Pre 13th · 1-0-7 · GD -35 |
Away far trip
Stuart Sports Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 98% |
7–1 | 2.95 | 2.36 | Bank it |
| Sun Oct 25 09:00 AM |
Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 8th · 4-0-6 · GD -5 |
Home Chicago Inter Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
5–1 | 2.64 | 2.39 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 14 02:30 PM |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II 7th · 3-1-2 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
3–1 | 2.53 | 2.40 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 14 10:00 AM |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +12 |
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–2 | 1.70 | 2.34 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 21 12:00 PM |
NWI Lions United Pre 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +21 |
Away far trip
Crown Point Sportsplex · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
3–3 | 1.36 | 2.26 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +7 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
3–1 | 2.11 | 2.25 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 10th · 1-2-3 · GD -20 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
5–1 | 2.83 | 2.29 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +37 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
3–4 | 0.97 | 2.20 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 6th · 4-1-2 · GD +19 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
3–2 | 1.74 | 2.17 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
FC Wisconsin Pre 9th · 2-3-4 · GD -14 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
5–1 | 2.83 | 2.21 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
Evolution Pre 13th · 1-0-7 · GD -35 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 99% |
8–0 | 2.98 | 2.25 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +12 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
3–2 | 2.03 | 2.24 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II 7th · 3-1-2 · GD -7 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 88% |
4–1 | 2.70 | 2.26 | Bank it |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 8th · 4-0-6 · GD -5 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
4–2 | 2.43 | 2.27 | Bank it |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Force Pre 12th · 2-0-8 · GD -18 |
Away |
●○○○○ Favorable | 90% |
4–1 | 2.75 | 2.29 | Bank it |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
NWI Lions United Pre 4th · 3-0-1 · GD +21 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
4–3 | 1.76 | 2.27 | Swing game |
| Sun May 23 TBD |
Indiana Elite FC Pre 11th · 1-2-4 · GD -18 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 96% |
6–1 | 2.92 | 2.30 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 46 | 9 | +37 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | +0.56 | -0.52 | 100% | 1.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Wisconsin Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 15 | 2.50 | WLWWW | -0.85 | +0.33 | 37% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs NWI Lions United Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | FC 1974 Libertyville Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 12 | 2.40 | WLWWW | -0.77 | +0.26 | 17% | 5.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 vs FC Wisconsin Pre · Sun Oct 18 at NWI Lions United Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | NWI Lions United Pre | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 6 | +21 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | -1.68 | +0.23 | 71% | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre II See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Chicago Inter Pre- Red | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 11 | +21 | 13 | 2.17 | WWLDW | +0.46 | -0.24 | 94% | 2.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Tue Oct 20 vs Chicago Inter Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 24 at Evolution Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 15 | +19 | 13 | 1.86 | WWWDL | +0.94 | -0.46 | 82% | 3.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre II · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Wisconsin Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Rockford Raptors FC Pre II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 10 | 1.67 | LLWWD | -0.23 | +0.31 | 0% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Indiana Elite FC Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs NWI Lions United Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 12 | 1.20 | WLLLL | +0.21 | +0.15 | 0% | 7.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Chicago Inter Pre- Blue · Sun Oct 25 at Chicago Inter Pre- Red · Sat Mar 20 at Force Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | FC Wisconsin Pre | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 | 1.00 | DLWDL | -0.52 | +0.65 | 0% | 9.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at FC 1974 Libertyville Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Chicago Inter Pre- Blue | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 26 | -20 | 5 | 0.83 | DLLLW | +0.47 | +0.25 | 0% | 10.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Tue Oct 20 at Chicago Inter Pre- Red · Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Indiana Elite FC Pre | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 | 0.71 | LLWLL | -0.81 | +0.72 | 0% | 11.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre II · Sat Oct 24 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Evolution Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Force Pre | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 30 | -18 | 6 | 0.60 | LLLLL | -0.29 | +0.66 | 0% | 10.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre · Sat Mar 20 vs Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Evolution Pre | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 41 | -35 | 3 | 0.38 | LLLWL | -0.12 | +0.63 | 0% | 12.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Chicago Inter Pre- Red · Sun Oct 25 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre II · Sun Oct 25 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.76 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.