TableChase Clubs

Force Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Lake Michigan GU11 · 13 teams · Force Football Club (all teams)

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12th
2-0-8 record · 10 played
0.60 points per game
-18 goal diff · 12–30
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.7
-0.29 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 01:30 PM

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Force Pre
12th · 0.60 PPG
vs
Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
6th · 1.86 PPG

Lippold Park, Field 16 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.3 for, 4.4 against · 0.24 expected points)

Season so farForce PreEclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
Position12th6th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-84-1-2
Points per game0.601.86
Goals for / game1.24.9
Goals against / game3.02.1
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless30
Form (recent first)L L L L LL D W W W
Biggest win3–1 vs Evolution Pre12–0 vs Evolution Pre
Worst loss0–6 at Chicago Inter Pre- Red2–6 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.53+2.07
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.29+0.94

Common opponents: Evolution Pre — we 3–1; they 12–0. Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre — we 3–4; they 4–1. Rockford Raptors FC Pre — we 1–3; they 4–0. Chicago Inter Pre- Blue — we 1–3; they 6–0. Chicago Inter Pre- Red — we 0–6; they 2–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre score 4.9/game — well above the league's 2.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–2 at Rockford Raptors FC Pre II, 0–6 at Chicago Inter Pre- Red, 0–2 vs FC 1974 Libertyville Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 5%; a draw (7%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Indiana Elite FC Pre sit 11th on 0.71 PPG; we are on 0.60.

    A point moves us above Indiana Elite FC Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Force Pre – Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.55 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1
Win
0.82 PPG		 11th▲ up 1 12th— holds 12th— holds
Draw
0.64 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1
Loss
0.55 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–4 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
10.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 13%
  10. 10th 29%
  11. 11th 32%
  12. 12th 21%
  13. 13th 4%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 3.00 (+2.40) 1st (2.75) 66 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 61 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 2.50 (+1.90) 5th (1.95) 54 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
3 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 2.40 (+1.80) 6th (1.82) 52 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
4 NWI Lions United Pre 2.25 (+1.65) 4th (2.10) 48 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Chicago Inter Pre- Red 2.17 (+1.57) 2nd (2.30) 47 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 1.86 (+1.26) 3rd (2.17) 39 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II 1.67 (+1.07) 8th (1.19) 35 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
8 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 1.20 (+0.60) 7th (1.27) 23 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
9 FC Wisconsin Pre 1.00 (+0.40) 9th (0.86) 18 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
10 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 0.83 (+0.23) 10th (0.75) 14 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
11 Indiana Elite FC Pre 0.71 (+0.11) 12th (0.57) A point next game

How the results connect

36 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Force Pre to Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
36 favour them
-7.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–4 1–4 0–6 2–2 1–3 0–4 1–3 0–6 3–1 0–12 2–1 3–2 0–2 3–2 1–3 4–0 3–2 0–2 2–1 0–7 6–2 Force Pre 12th Chicago Soccer Acad… 8th Chicago Inter Pre- … 5th Rockford Raptors FC… 2nd Chicago Inter Pre- … 10th Evolution Pre 13th FC Wisconsin Pre 9th FC 1974 Libertyvill… 3rd Rockford Raptors FC… 7th Eclipse Select Socc… 1st Eclipse Select Socc… 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 23 Sep 8 Sep 14 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.66 · 2nd hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
01:30 PM		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
6th · 4-1-2 · GD +19		 Home
Lippold Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 1–4 0.24 0.57 Upside
Sat Nov 7
10:30 AM		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +37		 Home
Lippold Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–6 0.06 0.52 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD		 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre
8th · 4-0-6 · GD -5		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
25%		 1–2 0.92 0.55 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +7		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.40 0.54 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 Indiana Elite FC Pre
11th · 1-2-4 · GD -18		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 2–1 1.75 0.62 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 NWI Lions United Pre
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +21		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
5%		 1–4 0.21 0.60 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 Evolution Pre
13th · 1-0-7 · GD -35		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%		 2–1 1.88 0.67 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 FC Wisconsin Pre
9th · 2-3-4 · GD -14		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
30%		 1–2 1.12 0.70 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II
7th · 3-1-2 · GD -7		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
32%		 1–1 1.20 0.72 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +12		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–3 0.46 0.71 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
6th · 4-1-2 · GD +19		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
3%		 1–5 0.14 0.68 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +37		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
0%		 0–7 0.03 0.65 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD		 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue
10th · 1-2-3 · GD -20		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%		 2–1 1.65 0.70 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD		 Chicago Inter Pre- Red
5th · 4-1-1 · GD +21		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
4%		 1–4 0.19 0.68 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 6600 469+37 183.00 WWWWW +0.56 -0.52 100% 1.0
2 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 6501 197+12 152.50 WLWWW -0.85 +0.33 38% 4.7
3 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 5401 125+7 122.40 WLWWW -0.77 +0.26 16% 5.4
4 NWI Lions United Pre 4301 276+21 92.25 WWLW -1.68 +0.23 69% 3.8
5 Chicago Inter Pre- Red 6411 3211+21 132.17 WWLDW +0.46 -0.24 94% 2.7
6 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 7412 3415+19 131.86 WWWDL +0.94 -0.46 83% 3.4
7 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II 6312 714-7 101.67 LLWWD -0.23 +0.31 0% 7.8
8 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 10406 2429-5 121.20 WLLLL +0.21 +0.15 0% 7.4
9 FC Wisconsin Pre 9234 1327-14 91.00 DLWDL -0.52 +0.65 0% 9.5
10 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 6123 626-20 50.83 DLLLW +0.47 +0.25 0% 10.3
11 Indiana Elite FC Pre 7124 624-18 50.71 LLWLL -0.81 +0.72 0% 11.5
12 Force Pre 10208 1230-18 60.60 LLLLL -0.29 +0.66 0% 10.7
13 Evolution Pre 8107 641-35 30.38 LLLWL -0.12 +0.63 0% 12.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.76 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.