TableChase Clubs

NWI Lions United Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Lake Michigan GU11 · 13 teams · NWI Lions United (all teams)

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4th
3-0-1 record · 4 played
2.25 points per game
+21 goal diff · 27–6
WWLWlast 4
72% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.8
-1.68 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 03:30 PM

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NWI Lions United Pre
4th · 2.25 PPG
at
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
2nd · 2.50 PPG

Mercyhealth Sportscore Two, FIELD-TBA (9v9) ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.9 for, 2.6 against · 1.59 expected points)

Season so farNWI Lions United PreRockford Raptors FC Pre
Position4th2nd
Record (W-D-L)3-0-15-0-1
Points per game2.252.50
Goals for / game6.83.2
Goals against / game1.51.2
Clean sheets13
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W L W WW W W L W
Biggest win12–3 vs FC Wisconsin Pre7–0 at Evolution Pre
Worst loss1–2 vs Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre0–4 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.25+0.99
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-1.68-0.85

Common opponents: FC Wisconsin Pre — we 12–3; they 2–0. Force Pre — we 6–1; they 3–1. Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre — we 1–2; they 3–2. Evolution Pre — we 8–0; they 7–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Rockford Raptors FC Pre concede only 1.2/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 47% / draw 17% / loss 35%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • They arrive in form
    Rockford Raptors FC Pre have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 03:30 PM at Mercyhealth Sportscore Two.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    FC 1974 Libertyville Pre sit 3rd on 2.40 PPG; we are on 2.25.

    A win moves us above FC 1974 Libertyville Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Rockford Raptors FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NWI Lions United Pre – Rockford Raptors FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 12 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.00 PPG		 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 2
Win
2.40 PPG		 2nd▲ up 2 3rd▲ up 1 4th— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG		 5th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 2
Loss
1.80 PPG		 6th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 2 7th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
72% top 4
28% below the top 4
3.8 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 15%
  3. 3rd 25%
  4. 4th 31%
  5. 5th 19%
  6. 6th 9%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 20 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 3.00 (+0.75) 1st (2.75) 63 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 58 for their projection
2 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 2.50 (+0.25) 5th (1.95) 51 of 60 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
3 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 2.40 (+0.15) 6th (1.82) Win next game

How the results connect

22 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link NWI Lions United Pre to Rockford Raptors FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

13 favour us
3 even
6 favour them
+1.7 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
8–0 0–7 1–2 2–3 6–1 1–3 12–3 0–2 0–12 4–0 3–1 1–4 0–2 0–4 4–3 1–2 1–5 0–3 NWI Lions United Pre 4th Evolution Pre 13th Chicago Soccer Acad… 8th Force Pre 12th FC Wisconsin Pre 9th Eclipse Select Socc… 6th Rockford Raptors FC… 7th Rockford Raptors FC… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 23 Sep 8 Sep 14 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.23 · 9th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 18
TBD
no score posted		 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +7		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
62%		 3–1 2.03 2.21 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
03:30 PM		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +12		 Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 2–2 1.59 2.10 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
10:00 AM		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II
7th · 3-1-2 · GD -7		 Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two		 ●○○○○ Favorable
79%		 3–1 2.48 2.16 Bank it
Sat Oct 31
08:00 AM		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
6th · 4-1-2 · GD +19		 Away far trip
Oak Brook Park District · turf		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 3–3 1.23 2.04 Upside
Sat Oct 31
11:00 AM		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +37		 Away far trip
Oak Brook Park District · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
15%		 2–5 0.54 1.87 Upside
Sat Nov 7
10:00 AM		 Indiana Elite FC Pre
11th · 1-2-4 · GD -18		 Away
Elite Sports Complex 		●○○○○ Favorable
93%		 5–1 2.82 1.97 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
03:00 PM		 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue
10th · 1-2-3 · GD -20		 Home
Crown Point Sportsplex · turf		 ●○○○○ Favorable
96%		 6–1 2.90 2.05 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
12:00 PM		 Chicago Inter Pre- Red
5th · 4-1-1 · GD +21		 Home
Crown Point Sportsplex · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 3–3 1.49 2.01 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
TBD		 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +7		 Away far trip
LTSC		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
51%		 2–2 1.71 1.98 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 Indiana Elite FC Pre
11th · 1-2-4 · GD -18		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
96%		 6–1 2.91 2.05 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre
8th · 4-0-6 · GD -5		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
75%		 4–2 2.36 2.07 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 Force Pre
12th · 2-0-8 · GD -18		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
88%		 4–1 2.72 2.11 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II
7th · 3-1-2 · GD -7		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
86%		 4–1 2.67 2.14 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +12		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
59%		 3–2 1.94 2.13 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +37		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
24%		 3–4 0.84 2.06 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
6th · 4-1-2 · GD +19		 Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%		 3–3 1.62 2.04 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
TBD		 FC Wisconsin Pre
9th · 2-3-4 · GD -14		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
86%		 4–1 2.66 2.07 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD		 Evolution Pre
13th · 1-0-7 · GD -35		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
99%		 8–1 2.97 2.11 Bank it
Sat May 22
TBD		 Chicago Inter Pre- Red
5th · 4-1-1 · GD +21		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
32%		 3–4 1.10 2.07 Upside
Sun May 23
TBD		 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue
10th · 1-2-3 · GD -20		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
92%		 5–1 2.81 2.10 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 6600 469+37 183.00 WWWWW +0.56 -0.52 100% 1.0
2 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 6501 197+12 152.50 WLWWW -0.85 +0.33 34% 4.7
3 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 5401 125+7 122.40 WLWWW -0.77 +0.26 15% 5.4
4 NWI Lions United Pre 4301 276+21 92.25 WWLW -1.68 +0.23 72% 3.8
5 Chicago Inter Pre- Red 6411 3211+21 132.17 WWLDW +0.46 -0.24 95% 2.6
6 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 7412 3415+19 131.86 WWWDL +0.94 -0.46 84% 3.4
7 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II 6312 714-7 101.67 LLWWD -0.23 +0.31 0% 7.8
8 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 10406 2429-5 121.20 WLLLL +0.21 +0.15 0% 7.4
9 FC Wisconsin Pre 9234 1327-14 91.00 DLWDL -0.52 +0.65 0% 9.5
10 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 6123 626-20 50.83 DLLLW +0.47 +0.25 0% 10.3
11 Indiana Elite FC Pre 7124 624-18 50.71 LLWLL -0.81 +0.72 0% 11.5
12 Force Pre 10208 1230-18 60.60 LLLLL -0.29 +0.66 0% 10.7
13 Evolution Pre 8107 641-35 30.38 LLLWL -0.12 +0.63 0% 12.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.76 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.