TableChase Clubs

Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Lake Michigan GU11 · 13 teams · Eclipse Select Soccer Club (all teams)

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5th
5-1-2 record · 8 played
2.00 points per game
+24 goal diff · 39–15
WWDLWlast 5
91% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.1
+0.60 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
5th · 2.00 PPG
vs

Oak Brook Park District, Turf ↗ · turf

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.4 for, 1.6 against · 2.28 expected points)

Season so farEclipse Select Soccer Club II PreFC 1974 Libertyville Pre
Position5th6th
Record (W-D-L)5-1-24-0-2
Points per game2.002.00
Goals for / game4.92.3
Goals against / game1.91.8
Clean sheets43
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W L D W WL W W W L
Biggest win12–0 vs Evolution Pre4–0 vs Chicago Inter Pre- Blue
Worst loss2–6 vs Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre2–6 at Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.24+0.35
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.60+0.20

Common opponents: Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre — we 2–6, 4–6; they 2–6. Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre — we 4–1; they 3–2. Chicago Inter Pre- Blue — we 6–0; they 4–0. Chicago Inter Pre- Red — we 2–2; they 1–3.

Game plan

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 71% chance; likely score 3–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC 1974 Libertyville Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre – FC 1974 Libertyville Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.11 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Win
2.11 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Draw
1.89 PPG
5th— holds 5th— holds 6th▼ down 1
Loss
1.78 PPG
6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 7th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
91% top 4
9% below the top 4
3.1 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 31%
  3. 3rd 36%
  4. 4th 24%
  5. 5th 8%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 3.00 (+1.00) 1st (2.78) 56 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 2.50 (+0.50) 5th (1.97) 44 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
3 NWI Lions United Pre 2.25 (+0.25) 4th (2.11) 38 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
4 Chicago Inter Pre- Red 2.17 (+0.17) 2nd (2.30) 37 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection

How the results connect

30 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre to FC 1974 Libertyville Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

26 favour us
2 even
2 favour them
+3.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–6 6–2 4–6 2–2 3–1 6–0 0–4 4–1 2–3 3–7 5–0 1–1 1–7 0–8 1–2 0–2 0–12 4–3 Eclipse Select Socc… 5th Eclipse Select Socc… 1st Chicago Inter Pre- … 4th Chicago Inter Pre- … 10th Chicago Soccer Acad… 8th FC Wisconsin Pre 9th Force Pre 12th FC 1974 Libertyvill… 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

16 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 23 Sep 8 Sep 14 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.46 · 12th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Sep 19
09:00 AM
no score posted
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II
7th · 3-1-2 · GD -7
Away far trip
Mercyhealth Sportscore Two
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.49 2.05 Bank it
Sat Oct 24
11:00 AM
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
6th · 4-0-2 · GD +3
Home
Oak Brook Park District · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.28 2.08 Bank it
Sat Oct 31
08:00 AM
NWI Lions United Pre
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +21
Home
Oak Brook Park District · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
3–3 1.74 2.05 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
01:30 PM
Force Pre
12th · 2-0-8 · GD -18
Away far trip
Lippold Park
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
4–1 2.72 2.10 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM
Indiana Elite FC Pre
11th · 1-2-4 · GD -18
Home
Oak Brook Park District · turf
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
5–0 2.90 2.16 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Chicago Inter Pre- Red
4th · 4-1-1 · GD +21
Away
●●●●○ Tough
36%
3–3 1.23 2.10 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Chicago Inter Pre- Blue
10th · 1-2-3 · GD -20
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
5–1 2.81 2.14 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Indiana Elite FC Pre
11th · 1-2-4 · GD -18
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
4–1 2.82 2.19 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
TBD
NWI Lions United Pre
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +21
Away
●●●●○ Tough
40%
3–3 1.35 2.14 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Force Pre
12th · 2-0-8 · GD -18
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
5–1 2.83 2.18 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre
8th · 4-0-6 · GD -5
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
84%
4–1 2.61 2.20 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD
Rockford Raptors FC Pre II
7th · 3-1-2 · GD -7
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.49 2.21 Bank it
Sun May 9
TBD
Rockford Raptors FC Pre
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +12
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–2 1.68 2.19 Swing game
Sat May 15
TBD
FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
6th · 4-0-2 · GD +3
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
3–1 2.00 2.18 Swing game
Sun May 16
TBD
FC Wisconsin Pre
9th · 2-3-5 · GD -19
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
4–1 2.71 2.20 Bank it
Sun May 23
TBD
Evolution Pre
13th · 1-0-7 · GD -35
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
97%
6–1 2.94 2.23 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 7700 5211+41 213.00 WWWWW +0.57 -0.63 100% 1.0
2 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 6501 197+12 152.50 WLWWW -0.85 +0.30 37% 4.6
3 NWI Lions United Pre 4301 276+21 92.25 WWLW -1.71 +0.22 72% 3.8
4 Chicago Inter Pre- Red 6411 3211+21 132.17 WWLDW +0.42 -0.25 93% 2.8
5 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 8512 3915+24 162.00 WWDLW +0.60 -0.46 91% 3.1
6 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 6402 1411+3 122.00 LWWWL +0.20 +0.03 6% 5.8
7 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II 6312 714-7 101.67 LLWWD -0.26 +0.28 0% 7.7
8 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 10406 2429-5 121.20 WLLLL +0.18 +0.13 0% 7.4
9 FC Wisconsin Pre 10235 1332-19 90.90 LWDLL -0.19 +0.52 0% 9.7
10 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 6123 626-20 50.83 DLLLW +0.43 +0.24 0% 10.3
11 Indiana Elite FC Pre 7124 624-18 50.71 LLWLL -0.89 +0.71 0% 11.4
12 Force Pre 10208 1230-18 60.60 LLLLL -0.34 +0.65 0% 10.7
13 Evolution Pre 8107 641-35 30.38 LLLWL -0.12 +0.59 0% 12.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.78 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.