TableChase Clubs

FC 1974 Libertyville Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Lake Michigan GU11 · 13 teams · Greater Libertyville Soccer Association (all teams)

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3rd
4-0-1 record · 5 played
2.40 points per game
+7 goal diff · 12–5
WLWWWlast 5
17% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.4
-0.77 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 08:00 AM

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FC 1974 Libertyville Pre
3rd · 2.40 PPG
at
Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
1st · 3.00 PPG

Oak Brook Park District, Turf ↗ · turf far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.6 for, 4.3 against · 0.35 expected points)

Season so farFC 1974 Libertyville PreEclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
Position3rd1st
Record (W-D-L)4-0-16-0-0
Points per game2.403.00
Goals for / game2.47.7
Goals against / game1.01.5
Clean sheets33
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W W L WW W W W W
Biggest win4–0 vs Chicago Inter Pre- Blue12–0 vs Chicago Inter Pre- Blue
Worst loss1–3 vs Chicago Inter Pre- Red—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.67+4.31
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.77+0.56

Common opponents: Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre — we 3–2; they 8–0. Chicago Inter Pre- Red — we 1–3; they 7–3. Chicago Inter Pre- Blue — we 4–0; they 12–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre score 7.7/game — well above the league's 2.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 8%; a draw (9%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre have won 6 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:00 AM at Oak Brook Park District.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Rockford Raptors FC Pre sit 2nd on 2.50 PPG; we are on 2.40.

    A win moves us above Rockford Raptors FC Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC 1974 Libertyville Pre – Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 12 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 2.00 PPG		 5th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 3 7th▼ down 4
Win
2.50 PPG		 3rd— holds 2nd▲ up 1 4th▼ down 1
Draw
2.17 PPG		 5th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 2
Loss
2.00 PPG		 5th▼ down 2 6th▼ down 3 7th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–4 loss we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
17% top 4
83% below the top 4
5.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd 2%
  3. 3rd 4%
  4. 4th 11%
  5. 5th 26%
  6. 6th 55%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 3.00 (+0.60) 1st (2.75) 60 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection
2 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 2.50 (+0.10) 5th (1.95) Win next game

How the results connect

17 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link FC 1974 Libertyville Pre to Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
17 favour them
-7.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 3–7 3–2 0–8 4–0 0–12 0–6 4–6 2–2 1–4 2–6 2–0 3–4 0–2 0–7 1–2 FC 1974 Libertyvill… 3rd Chicago Inter Pre- … 5th Chicago Soccer Acad… 8th Chicago Inter Pre- … 10th Force Pre 12th Eclipse Select Socc… 6th Rockford Raptors FC… 7th Eclipse Select Socc… 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

1st 7th 13th Aug 23 Sep 8 Sep 14 Oct 3 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.26 · 7th hardest of 13

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 11
TBD
no score posted		 FC Wisconsin Pre
9th · 2-3-4 · GD -14		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
75%		 2–1 2.40 2.40 Bank it
Sun Oct 18
TBD
no score posted		 NWI Lions United Pre
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +21		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
22%		 1–3 0.81 2.17 Upside
Sat Oct 24
08:00 AM		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +37		 Away far trip
Oak Brook Park District · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–4 0.35 1.94 Upside
Sat Oct 24
11:00 AM		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
6th · 4-1-2 · GD +19		 Away far trip
Oak Brook Park District · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 1–2 0.83 1.82 Upside
Sun Nov 1
04:00 PM		 FC Wisconsin Pre
9th · 2-3-4 · GD -14		 Away far trip
FC Wisconsin Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
67%		 2–1 2.18 1.86 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
10:00 AM		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +12		 Home
LTSC		 ●●●●○ Tough
40%		 1–1 1.42 1.82 Upside
Sun Nov 8
10:00 AM		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II
7th · 3-1-2 · GD -7		 Home
LTSC		 ●●○○○ Lean win
67%		 2–1 2.19 1.85 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
TBD		 NWI Lions United Pre
4th · 3-0-1 · GD +21		 Home
LTSC		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 2–2 1.11 1.79 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD		 Chicago Inter Pre- Red
5th · 4-1-1 · GD +21		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
19%		 1–3 0.74 1.72 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 Force Pre
12th · 2-0-8 · GD -18		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
78%		 2–0 2.46 1.77 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +12		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
31%		 1–1 1.14 1.73 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II
7th · 3-1-2 · GD -7		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
58%		 2–1 1.96 1.74 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
TBD		 Indiana Elite FC Pre
11th · 1-2-4 · GD -18		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
77%		 2–0 2.43 1.78 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
TBD		 Evolution Pre
13th · 1-0-7 · GD -35		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
88%		 3–0 2.71 1.83 Bank it
Sat May 8
TBD		 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue
10th · 1-2-3 · GD -20		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 3–1 2.40 1.86 Bank it
Sun May 9
TBD		 Evolution Pre
13th · 1-0-7 · GD -35		 Home
●○○○○ Favorable
92%		 4–0 2.82 1.90 Bank it
Sat May 15
TBD		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre
6th · 4-1-2 · GD +19		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
31%		 2–2 1.12 1.87 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD		 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +37		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
14%		 1–3 0.55 1.81 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD		 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre
8th · 4-0-6 · GD -5		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
63%		 2–1 2.07 1.82 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Eclipse Select Soccer Club I Pre 6600 469+37 183.00 WWWWW +0.56 -0.52 100% 1.0
2 Rockford Raptors FC Pre 6501 197+12 152.50 WLWWW -0.85 +0.33 37% 4.7
3 FC 1974 Libertyville Pre 5401 125+7 122.40 WLWWW -0.77 +0.26 17% 5.4
4 NWI Lions United Pre 4301 276+21 92.25 WWLW -1.68 +0.23 71% 3.8
5 Chicago Inter Pre- Red 6411 3211+21 132.17 WWLDW +0.46 -0.24 94% 2.7
6 Eclipse Select Soccer Club II Pre 7412 3415+19 131.86 WWWDL +0.94 -0.46 82% 3.5
7 Rockford Raptors FC Pre II 6312 714-7 101.67 LLWWD -0.23 +0.31 0% 7.8
8 Chicago Soccer Academy (CSA) Pre 10406 2429-5 121.20 WLLLL +0.21 +0.15 0% 7.4
9 FC Wisconsin Pre 9234 1327-14 91.00 DLWDL -0.52 +0.65 0% 9.5
10 Chicago Inter Pre- Blue 6123 626-20 50.83 DLLLW +0.47 +0.25 0% 10.4
11 Indiana Elite FC Pre 7124 624-18 50.71 LLWLL -0.81 +0.72 0% 11.5
12 Force Pre 10208 1230-18 60.60 LLLLL -0.29 +0.66 0% 10.7
13 Evolution Pre 8107 641-35 30.38 LLLWL -0.12 +0.63 0% 12.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.76 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.