Scorpions SC PRE
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU11 · 12 teams · Scorpions SC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:30 AM
Randall's Island, Field 10 ↗ far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.3 for, 1.8 against · 2.19 expected points)
| Season so far | Scorpions SC PRE | Manhattan SC Pre- Red |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-0 | 1-1-2 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 4.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 3.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W | W D L L |
| Biggest win | 5–1 at Connecticut FC Pre l | 2–1 at AC Connecticut Pre- I |
| Worst loss | — | 3–7 at Select Pre- Blue |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.00 | -0.80 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.95 | -0.06 |
Common opponents: SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY — we 3–1; they 1–4.
Game plan
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Swing game — small margins
Win 68% / draw 15% / loss 17%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff 10:30 AM at Randall's Island.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
FSA FC Pre sit 1st on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.A win moves us above FSA FC Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Manhattan SC Pre- Red game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Scorpions SC PRE – Manhattan SC Pre- Red) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 2.33 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 3rd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.00 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 6%
- 2nd 56%
- 3rd 23%
- 4th 8%
- 5th 4%
- 6th 2%
- 7th 1%
- 8th <1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 20 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FSA FC Pre | 3.00 (+0.00) | 1st (2.54) | Win next game |
How the results connect
4 chains · 5 teams
Paths of results that link Scorpions SC PRE to Manhattan SC Pre- Red through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.01 · 8th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 26 10:30 AM no score posted |
Select Pre- Blue 7th · 2-1-2 · GD +5 |
Home Taunton Forekicks |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
3–2 | 1.95 | 2.65 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 24 10:30 AM |
Manhattan SC Pre- Red 8th · 1-1-2 · GD -6 |
Away far trip
Randall's Island |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
3–1 | 2.19 | 2.54 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 08:30 AM |
East Coast Surf Pre 10th · 0-0-2 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
Holy Trinity high school |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.93 | 2.41 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 08:30 AM |
FSA FC Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +15 |
Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–3 | 0.84 | 2.15 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 11:00 AM |
FC Stars Pre- Blue 11th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
FC Stars Soccer Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
3–2 | 2.02 | 2.13 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 09:00 AM |
AC Connecticut Pre- I 6th · 2-0-2 · GD -1 |
Home Walpole Soccer Complex · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–1 | 2.13 | 2.13 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 09:00 AM |
Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue 9th · 0-1-2 · GD -4 |
Home Taunton Forekicks |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
3–1 | 2.35 | 2.16 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 21 09:00 AM |
SUSA FC Pre- l 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Home Medway High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–2 | 1.77 | 2.12 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 01:45 PM |
East Meadow Soccer Club Pre 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Home Walpole Soccer Complex · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.93 | 2.10 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Select Pre- Blue 7th · 2-1-2 · GD +5 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–2 | 1.61 | 2.06 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 5th · 4-1-3 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–1 | 1.63 | 2.03 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 20 09:00 AM |
FC Stars Pre- Blue 11th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Home Taunton Forekicks |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
3–1 | 2.30 | 2.05 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 08:00 AM |
East Meadow Soccer Club Pre 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
East Meadow Field of Dreams |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.61 | 2.02 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- l 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +5 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
2–2 | 1.45 | 1.98 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 09:00 AM |
Manhattan SC Pre- Red 8th · 1-1-2 · GD -6 |
Home Taunton Forekicks |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
3–1 | 2.44 | 2.01 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 18 09:00 AM |
East Coast Surf Pre 10th · 0-0-2 · GD -2 |
Home Taunton Forekicks |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
2–1 | 2.17 | 2.02 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 09:00 AM |
FSA FC Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +15 |
Home Taunton Forekicks |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
2–2 | 1.14 | 1.97 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 09:00 AM |
Connecticut FC Pre l 12th · 0-0-5 · GD -21 |
Home Taunton Forekicks |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
5–1 | 2.83 | 2.01 | Bank it |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue 9th · 0-1-2 · GD -4 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
2–1 | 2.10 | 2.02 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
AC Connecticut Pre- I 6th · 2-0-2 · GD -1 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
2–1 | 1.86 | 2.01 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | FSA FC Pre | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | +0.25 | -0.32 | 100% | 1.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue · Sun Oct 25 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I · Sat Oct 31 vs East Coast Surf Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Scorpions SC PRE | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.95 | -0.01 | 92% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Select Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 24 at Manhattan SC Pre- Red · Sun Oct 25 at East Coast Surf Pre See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | SUSA FC Pre- l | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +5 | 9 | 2.25 | WWLW | -0.20 | -0.04 | 75% | 3.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Select Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 1 vs East Meadow Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | East Meadow Soccer Club Pre | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLWL | -0.20 | -0.00 | 43% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at SUSA FC Pre- l · Sat Nov 7 vs East Coast Surf Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Manhattan SC Pre- Red See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 13 | 1.63 | LWWLD | +0.13 | -0.12 | 39% | 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sat Nov 7 at AC Connecticut Pre- I · Sun Nov 8 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | AC Connecticut Pre- I | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 | 1.50 | WLWL | -0.10 | +0.02 | 8% | 7.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Connecticut FC Pre l · Sun Oct 25 at FSA FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Select Pre- Blue | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 7 | 1.40 | LWWLD | -0.22 | -0.00 | 36% | 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at Scorpions SC PRE · Sat Oct 24 vs SUSA FC Pre- l · Thu Oct 29 at FC Stars Pre- Blue See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Manhattan SC Pre- Red | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 4 | 1.00 | LLDW | -0.06 | +0.08 | 0% | 9.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Scorpions SC PRE · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 31 at East Coast Surf Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | 0.33 | LLD | +0.02 | +0.04 | 0% | 9.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 vs East Coast Surf Pre · Sat Oct 24 at FSA FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Connecticut FC Pre l See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | East Coast Surf Pre | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.01 | +0.02 | 1% | 8.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sun Oct 25 vs Scorpions SC PRE See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | FC Stars Pre- Blue | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +1.93 | -0.07 | 5% | 8.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at East Coast Surf Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Manhattan SC Pre- Red · Thu Oct 29 vs Select Pre- Blue See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Connecticut FC Pre l | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 25 | -21 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.53 | +0.10 | 0% | 12.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I · Sun Oct 25 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue · Sat Oct 31 vs Manhattan SC Pre- Red See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.27 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.