Manhattan SC Pre- Red

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU11 · 12 teams · Manhattan SC (all teams)

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8th

1-1-2 record · 4 played

1.00 points per game

-6 goal diff · 7–13

LLDWlast 4

1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.4

-0.06 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:30 AM

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Manhattan SC Pre- Red
8th · 1.00 PPG

Scorpions SC PRE
2nd · 3.00 PPG

Randall's Island, Field 10 ↗

17% 15% 68%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.8 for, 3.3 against · 0.66 expected points)

Season so far	Manhattan SC Pre- Red	Scorpions SC PRE
Position	8th	2nd
Record (W-D-L)	1-1-2	2-0-0
Points per game	1.00	3.00
Goals for / game	1.8	4.0
Goals against / game	3.3	1.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	W D L L	W W
Biggest win	2–1 at AC Connecticut Pre- I	5–1 at Connecticut FC Pre l
Worst loss	3–7 at Select Pre- Blue	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-0.80	+1.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.06	-0.95

Common opponents: SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY — we 1–4; they 3–1.

Game plan

Respect their attack
Scorpions SC PRE score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.3.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Hard to break down
Scorpions SC PRE concede only 1.0/game with 0 clean sheet(s).
Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 17%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
What a win does
Select Pre- Blue sit 7th on 1.40 PPG; we are on 1.00.
A win moves us above Select Pre- Blue on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Scorpions SC PRE game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Manhattan SC Pre- Red – Scorpions SC PRE) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 0.80 PPG	8th— holds	9th▼ down 1	12th▼ down 4
Win 1.40 PPG	8th— holds	7th▲ up 1	11th▼ down 3
Draw 1.00 PPG	8th— holds	8th— holds	11th▼ down 3
Loss 0.80 PPG	8th— holds	9th▼ down 1	12th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

1% top 4

99% below the top 4

9.4 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd <1%
4th 1%
5th 1%
6th 3%
7th 7%
8th 13%
9th 20%
10th 25%
11th 28%
12th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.64 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	FSA FC Pre	3.00 (+2.00)	1st (2.54)	62 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection
2	Scorpions SC PRE	3.00 (+2.00)	2nd (2.01)	62 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
3	SUSA FC Pre- l	2.25 (+1.25)	3rd (1.83)	46 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
4	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre	1.80 (+0.80)	4th (1.61)	36 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
5	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY	1.63 (+0.63)	5th (1.60)	32 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
6	AC Connecticut Pre- I	1.50 (+0.50)	7th (1.31)	29 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
7	Select Pre- Blue	1.40 (+0.40)	6th (1.56)	Win next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link Manhattan SC Pre- Red to Scorpions SC PRE through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us

4 favour them

-4.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.08 · 2nd hardest of 12

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 10:30 AM	Scorpions SC PRE 2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +6	Home Randall's Island	●●●●● Very tough	17%	1–3	0.66	0.93	Upside
Sun Oct 25 10:30 AM	FC Stars Pre- Blue 11th · 0-0-1 · GD -3	Home Randall's Island	●●●●○ Tough	39%	2–2	1.36	1.00	Upside
Sat Oct 31 11:30 AM	East Coast Surf Pre 10th · 0-0-2 · GD -2	Away far trip Bay Park	●●●●○ Tough	30%	1–1	1.13	1.02	Upside
Sat Oct 31 12:00 PM	Connecticut FC Pre l 12th · 0-0-5 · GD -21	Away far trip CFC Park	●●○○○ Lean win	63%	3–1	2.04	1.15	Swing game
Sun Nov 1 08:30 AM	FSA FC Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +15	Away far trip FSA-Farmington Sports Arena	●●●●● Very tough	5%	1–4	0.22	1.05	Upside
Sat Nov 14 09:00 AM	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4	Home College of Mt. St. Vincent	●●●●○ Tough	26%	2–2	0.96	1.04	Upside
Sun Nov 15 10:30 AM	SUSA FC Pre- l 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +5	Away far trip The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex	●●●●● Very tough	15%	1–3	0.58	1.00	Upside
Sat Mar 6 TBD	East Coast Surf Pre 10th · 0-0-2 · GD -2	Home	●●●●○ Tough	39%	1–1	1.40	1.03	Upside
Sat Mar 13 TBD	Connecticut FC Pre l 12th · 0-0-5 · GD -21	Home	●●○○○ Lean win	73%	3–1	2.32	1.13	Bank it
Sun Mar 14 TBD	FSA FC Pre 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +15	Home	●●●●● Very tough	9%	1–4	0.37	1.07	Upside
Sat Apr 3 TBD	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue 9th · 0-1-2 · GD -4	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	44%	2–2	1.51	1.10	Swing game
Sun Apr 4 TBD	AC Connecticut Pre- I 6th · 2-0-2 · GD -1	Home	●●●●○ Tough	36%	1–2	1.27	1.11	Upside
Sat Apr 10 11:00 PM	Select Pre- Blue 7th · 2-1-2 · GD +5	Home Randall's Island	●●●●○ Tough	25%	2–3	0.92	1.10	Upside
Sat Apr 17 09:00 AM	Scorpions SC PRE 2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +6	Away Taunton Forekicks	●●●●● Very tough	11%	1–3	0.44	1.07	Upside
Sun Apr 18 TBD	FC Stars Pre- Blue 11th · 0-0-1 · GD -3	Away	●●●●○ Tough	29%	2–3	1.03	1.06	Upside
Sat May 1 TBD	SUSA FC Pre- l 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +5	Home	●●●●● Very tough	22%	1–3	0.83	1.05	Upside
Sun May 2 08:00 AM	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre 4th · 3-0-2 · GD +4	Away far trip East Meadow Field of Dreams	●●●●● Very tough	18%	1–3	0.68	1.03	Upside
Sat May 8 TBD	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY 5th · 4-1-3 · GD +2	Away	●●●●● Very tough	20%	1–2	0.76	1.02	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

FSA FC Pre

+15

3.00

WWWWW

+0.25

-0.32

100%

1.1

W	Sun Oct 18	at	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	4–2
W	Sat Oct 17	at	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	5–2
W	Sun Sep 13	at	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	5–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	5–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue · Sun Oct 25 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I · Sat Oct 31 vs East Coast Surf Pre See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	4–1	85%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	3–1	78%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	4–1	88%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	3–1	61%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	5–1	95%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	6–0	97%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	2–1	70%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	4–1	81%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	4–2	75%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	3–1	72%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	3–1	73%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	3–1	68%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	3–1	69%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat May 1	at	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	2–2	50%
·	Sun May 2	at	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	4–1	77%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Scorpions SC PRE

3.00

-0.95

-0.01

92%

2.6

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	3–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	5–1

Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Select Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 24 at Manhattan SC Pre- Red · Sun Oct 25 at East Coast Surf Pre See all 20 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 26 (no score yet)	vs	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	3–2	60%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	3–1	68%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–3	23%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	3–2	62%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	2–1	65%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	3–1	74%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	2–2	53%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	2–2	48%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	3–1	72%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	3–1	78%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	2–1	66%
·	Sat May 1	vs	FSA FC Pre (1st)	2–2	32%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	5–1	93%
·	Sat May 15	at	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	2–1	64%
·	Sun May 16	at	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	2–1	55%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SUSA FC Pre- l

2.25

WWLW

-0.20

-0.04

76%

3.6

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	4–0
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–3
W	Sun Sep 20	at	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	5–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Select Pre- Blue · Sun Nov 1 vs East Meadow Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	2–2	40%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	2–2	51%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	1–1	51%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	3–1	72%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	2–2	29%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	2–2	55%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	3–2	52%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	2–2	40%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	3–1	66%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	2–2	39%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	4–1	84%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–3	18%
·	Sat May 1	at	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	3–1	61%
·	Sun May 2	vs	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat May 8	at	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	2–1	49%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

East Meadow Soccer Club Pre

1.80

WWLWL

-0.20

-0.00

41%

5.0

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	FSA FC Pre (1st)	2–4
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	4–1
L	Sun Oct 4	vs	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	3–5
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	2–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	3–0

Next: Sun Nov 1 at SUSA FC Pre- l · Sat Nov 7 vs East Coast Surf Pre · Sat Nov 14 at Manhattan SC Pre- Red See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	2–2	30%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	2–1	57%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	2–2	57%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	2–3	35%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	2–2	50%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	2–1	44%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	2–2	34%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	3–2	61%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–3	14%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	3–1	81%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat May 1	at	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	1–1	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	3–1	67%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	3–2	47%
·	Sun May 23	at	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	2–1	53%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY

1.63

LWWLD

+0.13

-0.12

38%

5.2

D	Sun Oct 18	at	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	0–0
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	1–3
W	Sun Oct 4	at	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	5–3
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	4–1
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–5
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	4–1

Next: Sun Nov 1 at FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sat Nov 7 at AC Connecticut Pre- I · Sun Nov 8 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue See all 14 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	2–2	46%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	1–1	42%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	2–2	44%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	2–1	57%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	1–2	29%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	1–1	44%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	2–1	60%
·	Sun May 2	vs	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	2–1	63%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

AC Connecticut Pre- I

-1

1.50

WLWL

-0.10

+0.02

7.3

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	1–2
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	4–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	1–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Connecticut FC Pre l · Sun Oct 25 at FSA FC Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	2–1	68%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	1–1	36%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	1–1	41%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	1–1	37%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	2–1	44%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–3	15%
·	Sat May 1	at	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	1–2	25%
·	Sun May 2	at	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	1–2	27%
·	Sat May 8	vs	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	1–2	31%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	1–2	25%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	3–1	77%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Select Pre- Blue

1.40

LWWLD

-0.22

-0.00

36%

5.3

D	Sun Oct 18	vs	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	0–0
L	Sat Oct 17	at	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	2–4
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	7–3
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	8–1
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–5

Next: Sat Sep 26 at Scorpions SC PRE · Sat Oct 24 vs SUSA FC Pre- l · Thu Oct 29 at FC Stars Pre- Blue See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 26 (no score yet)	at	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	2–3	25%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	2–2	42%
·	Thu Oct 29	at	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	3–2	52%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	2–2	56%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	3–2	48%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	2–2	38%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	2–3	31%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	3–2	64%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	FSA FC Pre (1st)	2–4	14%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	4–1	84%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	3–2	59%
·	Sat May 1	vs	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	2–1	57%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	3–1	67%
·	Sun May 9	vs	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat May 15	at	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	2–1	49%
·	Sun May 16	at	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	2–3	36%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Manhattan SC Pre- Red

-6

1.00

LLDW

-0.06

+0.08

9.4

W	Sun Oct 18	at	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	2–1
D	Sat Oct 17	at	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	1–1
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	1–4
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	3–7

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Scorpions SC PRE · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sat Oct 31 at East Coast Surf Pre See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	1–3	17%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	2–2	39%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	1–1	30%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	3–1	63%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	2–2	26%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	1–3	15%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	3–1	73%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–4	9%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	2–2	44%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	1–2	36%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	2–3	25%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	1–3	11%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	2–3	29%
·	Sat May 1	vs	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	1–3	22%
·	Sun May 2	at	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	1–3	18%
·	Sat May 8	at	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	1–2	20%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue

-4

0.33

LLD

+0.02

+0.04

9.6

D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	1–1
L	Sat Oct 3	at	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	3–5

Next: Sun Sep 13 vs East Coast Surf Pre · Sat Oct 24 at FSA FC Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Connecticut FC Pre l See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 13 (no score yet)	vs	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–4	6%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	2–1	62%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	2–2	27%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	1–2	29%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	2–2	30%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	1–3	13%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	2–2	36%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	1–1	31%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	2–2	40%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	3–1	72%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–3	11%
·	Sat May 1	at	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	1–2	21%
·	Sun May 2	at	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	1–3	19%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	1–2	19%
·	Sun May 23	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	1–2	28%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

East Coast Surf Pre

-2

0.00

+0.01

+0.02

8.9

L	Sat Sep 19	at	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	0–1

Next: Sun Sep 13 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Stars Pre- Blue · Sun Oct 25 vs Scorpions SC PRE See all 20 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 13 (no score yet)	at	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	1–1	42%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	1–1	48%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	1–1	27%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–2	14%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	2–1	70%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	1–1	38%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	1–1	45%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	1–1	33%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	1–2	16%
·	Sat May 1	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	1–1	31%
·	Sun May 2	at	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	1–2	20%
·	Sun May 9	at	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	1–2	30%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Stars Pre- Blue

-3

0.00

+1.93

-0.07

8.0

Sat Oct 3

FSA FC Pre (1st)

2–5

Next: Sat Oct 24 at East Coast Surf Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Manhattan SC Pre- Red · Thu Oct 29 vs Select Pre- Blue See all 21 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	1–1	36%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	2–2	43%
·	Thu Oct 29	vs	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	2–3	32%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	2–2	34%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	3–1	71%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	2–3	22%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	2–2	51%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	2–2	33%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	2–2	28%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	1–2	25%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	2–3	22%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	1–3	15%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	1–3	19%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	2–3	23%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	1–2	33%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	1–1	46%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	3–2	55%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Connecticut FC Pre l (12th)	4–1	80%
·	Sun May 2	vs	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–4	12%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Connecticut FC Pre l

-21

0.00

LLLLL

+0.53

+0.10

11.9

L	Sun Oct 18	at	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	0–4
L	Sat Oct 17	at	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	1–4
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	1–5
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	1–8
L	Sat Sep 12	at	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	1–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AC Connecticut Pre- I · Sun Oct 25 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue · Sat Oct 31 vs Manhattan SC Pre- Red See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	1–3	21%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	1–2	19%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	1–3	16%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	FSA FC Pre (1st)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	FSA FC Pre (1st)	0–6	1%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Manhattan SC Pre- Red (8th)	1–3	14%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	East Coast Surf Pre (10th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY (5th)	1–3	11%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Select Pre- Blue (7th)	1–4	8%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	SUSA FC Pre- l (3rd)	1–4	7%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	East Meadow Soccer Club Pre (4th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Oakwood Soccer Club Pre Blue (9th)	1–3	14%
·	Sat May 1	at	FC Stars Pre- Blue (11th)	1–4	10%
·	Sun May 2	at	Scorpions SC PRE (2nd)	1–5	3%
·	Sat May 22	at	AC Connecticut Pre- I (6th)	1–3	10%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.27 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.